Schollmaier Arena · at TCU
Closing line
TCU -6.5✓ ND covered by 8.5
TCU -6.5✓ ND covered by 8.5Closing total141.5Over by 30.5
 ND | This season | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| 6-3 | Record | 5-2 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 5-2 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 3-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ND 67–75 TCU · ✗ TCU (75%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| ND | 36 | 40 | 11 | 87 |
| TCU | 45 | 31 | 9 | 85 |
1st half: ND 36, TCU 45 (TCU by 9). The model had TCU by 4.4 and a total of 66.4 (actual 81).
Team stats
| ND | TCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-60 55% | Field goals | 29-60 48% |
| 12-26 46% | 3-pointers | 12-29 41% |
| 9-20 45% | Free throws | 15-23 65% |
| 36 8 off | Rebounds | 28 5 off |
| 27 | Assists | 20 |
| 2 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 20 | Fouls | 18 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| ND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Braeden Shrewsberry G | 38 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 5-10 | 3-7 |
| Jalen Haralson G | 38 | 20 | 5 | 9 | 8-12 | 0-1 |
| Carson Towt F | 33 | 13 | 9 | 4 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Garrett Sundra F | 23 | 6 | 5 | 2 | 2-2 | 2-2 |
| Markus Burton G | 10 | 6 | 0 | 5 | 3-6 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cole Certa G | 33 | 20 | 2 | 1 | 6-14 | 6-12 |
| Logan Imes G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Brady Koehler F | 13 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Kebba Njie F | 12 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Sir Mohammed G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Ryder Frost, Brady Stevens, Tommy Ahneman, Luke Devine, Matthew MacLellan
| TCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayden Pierre G | 39 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 6-12 | 4-7 |
| David Punch F | 38 | 20 | 7 | 1 | 6-11 | 1-3 |
| Brock Harding G | 36 | 12 | 2 | 8 | 5-10 | 2-5 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius F | 24 | 7 | 5 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-5 |
| Xavier Edmonds F | 18 | 5 | 3 | 3 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Micah Robinson G | 31 | 13 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 2-4 |
| Jace Posey G | 19 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Tanner Toolson G | 19 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-2 |
| Vianney Salatchoum C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Trey Stuart, RJ Jones, Ashton Simmons, Adam Stewart, Drew McElroy, Kayden Edwards, Malick Diallo
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketTCU -6.5
ModelTCU -7.6
Model edgeTCU +1.1
L ND covered
Total
Market141.5
Model141.6
Model edgeOver 0.1
W Over
Projected score
ND 67 · TCU 74.6
ND 87 · TCU 85
Win probability
TCU 75%
1st half
Spread
TCU -4.4
TCU -9.0
Total
66.4
81 points
Projected score
ND 31 · TCU 35.4
ND 36 · TCU 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenTCU -6.5
no move
CloseTCU -6.5
No change since the open
Total
Open139.5
▲ 2
Close141.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
ND +250 · TCU -310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened TCU -6.5 · unchangedmodel TCU -7.5
model TCU -7.5
Opened 139.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 2 upmodel 141.5 matches the line
model 141.5 = line ✓
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NDlast 9 | 6-3 67% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
| TCUlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 5-2 71% | 3-4 43% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Notre Dame
9 games played
Straight up
6-3
67% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −0.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LIU | W 89-67 | -15.5 | W +6.5 | 135.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 7 | vs DETM | W 102-70 | -21.5 | W +10.5 | 147.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 11 | vs EIU | W 78-58 | -23.5 | L −3.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 16 | @ OSU | L 63-64 | +9.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 19 | vs BELL | W 86-79 | -24.5 | L −17.5 | 150.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 24 | vs KU | L 61-71 | +5.5 | L −4.5 | 143.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 25 | vs RUTG | W 68-63 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 140.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 26 | vs HOU | L 56-66 | +11.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 2 | vs MIZ | W 76-71 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+6.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 102-70
+10.5
11
vsEIU
EIUW 78-58
−3.5
16
@OSU
OSUL 63-64
+8.5
19
vsBELL
BELLW 86-79
−17.5
24
vsKU
KUL 61-71
−4.5
25
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-63
−1.5
26
vsHOU
HOUL 56-66
+1.5
2
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-71
+6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+20.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 102-70
+24.5
11
vsEIU
EIUW 78-58
−7.5
16
@OSU
OSUL 63-64
−29.5
19
vsBELL
BELLW 86-79
+14.5
24
vsKU
KUL 61-71
−11.5
25
vsRUTG
RUTGW 68-63
−9.5
26
vsHOU
HOUL 56-66
−10.5
2
vsMIZ
MIZW 76-71
+0.5
over 4under 5avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
TCU
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +4.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs NOLA | L 74-78 | -21.5 | L −25.5 | 149.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 6 | vs SFPA | W 104-63 | -27.5 | W +13.5 | 153.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 10 | vs LAM | W 78-65 | -18.5 | L −5.5 | 147.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 14 | vs MICH | L 63-67 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs KC | W 81-45 | -23.5 | W +12.5 | 150.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 27 | vs FLA | W 84-80 | +11.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 28 | vs WIS | W 74-63 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
−25.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−5.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
+3.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
+12.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+15.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
+16.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +4.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
+2.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−4.5
14
vsMICH
MICHL 63-67
−34.5
19
vsKC
KCW 81-45
−24.5
27
vsFLA
FLAW 84-80
+8.5
28
vsWIS
WISW 74-63
−20.5
over 3under 4avg −8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Notre Dame
6-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Missouri76–71
- Lvs Houston56–66
- Wvs Rutgers68–63
- Lvs Kansas61–71
- Wvs Bellarmine86–79
3 days since their last game.
TCU
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wisconsin74–63
- Wvs Florida84–80
- Wvs Kansas City81–45
- Lvs Michigan63–67
- Wvs Lamar78–65
A week or more of rest.