Purcell Pavilion · at Notre Dame
Closing line
ND -23.5✓ EIU covered by 3.5
ND -23.5✓ EIU covered by 3.5Closing total143.5Under by 7.5
 EIU | This season | ND |
|---|---|---|
| 1-1 | Record | 2-0 |
| 2-0 | ATS | 2-0 |
| 0-2 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: EIU 60–83 ND · ✓ ND (97%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EIU | 28 | 30 | 58 |
| ND | 31 | 47 | 78 |
1st half: EIU 28, ND 31 (ND by 3). The model had ND by 13.3 and a total of 66.9 (actual 59).
Team stats
| EIU | ND | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-54 39% | Field goals | 29-60 48% |
| 6-21 29% | 3-pointers | 9-28 32% |
| 10-12 83% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 24 9 off | Rebounds | 40 17 off |
| 8 | Assists | 13 |
| 2 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 17 | Fouls | 15 |
| 18 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| EIU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Fruster G | 36 | 11 | 4 | 3 | 4-14 | 0-4 |
| Preston Turner G | 36 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-4 |
| Kooper Jacobi F | 35 | 20 | 3 | 0 | 8-16 | 4-8 |
| Prince Johnson F | 23 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Meechie White G | 20 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Malik Olafioye G | 20 | 1 | 5 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Terry McMorris F | 14 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Andrew Austin F | 12 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Markus Blackwell G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Shane Sims, Kyle Layton, JT Elder, Nazareth Fisher, Andre Washington
| ND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Markus Burton G | 38 | 21 | 0 | 3 | 8-19 | 1-6 |
| Braeden Shrewsberry G | 30 | 18 | 2 | 2 | 6-9 | 6-8 |
| Sir Mohammed G | 26 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Carson Towt F | 24 | 5 | 11 | 3 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Garrett Sundra F | 15 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jalen Haralson G | 26 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Logan Imes G | 17 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-6 |
| Kebba Njie F | 9 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cole Certa G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Ryder Frost F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Brady Koehler F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Matthew MacLellan, Tommy Ahneman, Luke Devine, Brady Stevens
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketND -23.5
ModelND -22.2
Model edgeEIU +1.3
W EIU covered
Total
Market143.5
Model142.7
Model edgeUnder 0.8
W Under
Projected score
EIU 60.2 · ND 82.5
EIU 58 · ND 78
Win probability
ND 97%
1st half
Spread
ND -13.3
ND -3.0
Total
66.9
59 points
Projected score
EIU 26.8 · ND 40.1
EIU 28 · ND 31
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenND -23.5
no move
CloseND -23.5
No change since the open
Total
Open144.5
▼ 1
Close143.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
EIU +2500 · ND -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened ND -23.5 · unchangedmodel ND -22
model ND -22
Opened 144.5 · closed 143.5 · moved 1 downmodel 142.5
model 142.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| EIUlast 2 | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% | 0-2 0% |
| NDlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% | 2-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
E Illinois
2 games played
Straight up
1-1
50% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-2
0% overs · avg −14.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@
VAL
VALL 63-66
+2.5
7
vs
NICH
NICHW 65-57
+10.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@VAL
VALL 63-66
−15.5
7
vsNICH
NICHW 65-57
−13.5
over 0under 2avg −14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Notre Dame
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-0
100% covers · avg +8.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +22.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
LIU
LIUW 89-67
+6.5
7
vs
DETM
DETMW 102-70
+10.5
covered 2didn’t cover 0avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLIU
LIUW 89-67
+20.5
7
vsDETM
DETMW 102-70
+24.5
over 2under 0avg +22.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
E Illinois
1-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ohio Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Nicholls65–57
- L@ Valparaiso63–66
4 days since their last game.
Notre Dame
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Detroit Mercy102–70
- Wvs Long Island89–67
4 days since their last game.