Schollmaier Arena · at TCU
Closing line
MICH -7.5✓ TCU covered by 3.5
MICH -7.5✓ TCU covered by 3.5Closing total164.5Under by 34.5
| MICH | This season | TCU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-0 | Record | 2-1 |
| 1-1 | ATS | 1-2 |
| 2-0 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MICH 87–76 TCU · ✓ MICH (83%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MICH | 33 | 34 | 67 |
| TCU | 35 | 28 | 63 |
1st half: MICH 33, TCU 35 (TCU by 2). The model had MICH by 6.7 and a total of 76.0 (actual 68).
Team stats
| MICH | TCU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-53 43% | Field goals | 23-62 37% |
| 5-16 31% | 3-pointers | 7-24 29% |
| 16-20 80% | Free throws | 10-15 67% |
| 44 15 off | Rebounds | 23 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 11 |
| 5 | Steals | 11 |
| 7 | Blocks | 8 |
| 22 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 16 | Fouls | 20 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 29 | 14 | 10 | 4 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 26 | 3 | 5 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-3 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 25 | 10 | 12 | 1 | 5-11 | 0-0 |
| Aday Mara C | 20 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 18 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 29 | 10 | 3 | 6 | 3-8 | 0-1 |
| Trey McKenney G | 23 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| L.J. Cason G | 16 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| Will Tschetter F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Ricky Liburd, Oscar Goodman, Malick Kordel, Howard Eisley Jr., Winters Grady, Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May
| TCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brock Harding G | 32 | 15 | 6 | 4 | 7-14 | 1-4 |
| David Punch F | 31 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Pierre G | 30 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 3-13 | 2-7 |
| Liutauras Lelevicius F | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Xavier Edmonds F | 20 | 4 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tanner Toolson G | 23 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 4-9 | 1-4 |
| Micah Robinson G | 22 | 12 | 3 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-3 |
| Jace Posey G | 14 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Vianney Salatchoum C | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Drew McElroy, Adam Stewart, Ashton Simmons, RJ Jones, Trey Stuart, Kayden Edwards, Malick Diallo
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -6.5
1 → MICH
CloseMICH -7.5
1 pt toward MICH
Total
Open155.5
▲ 9
Close164.5
Up 9 since the open
Moneyline
MICH -380 · TCU +290
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -6.5 · closed MICH -7.5 · moved 1 toward MICHmodel MICH -11
model MICH -11
Opened 155.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 9 upmodel 162
model 162
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -7.5 | MICH -10.8 | MICH +3.3 | L TCU covered |
| Total | 164.5 | 162.2 | Under 2.3 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MICH 86.5 · TCU 75.7 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -6.7 | TCU -2.0 |
| 1H total | 76.0 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | MICH 41.3 · TCU 34.6 | MICH 33 · TCU 35 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MICHlast 2 | 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% |
| TCUlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% | 2-1 67% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MICH 1–0 TCUMICH leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · MICH 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 15, 2024-25 | TCU 64 @ MICH 76 | MICH -6.5 | MICH W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Michigan
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +21.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
OAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vs
WAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
over 2under 0avg +21.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
TCU
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −5.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NOLA
NOLAL 74-78
−25.5
6
vs
SFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vs
LAM
LAMW 78-65
−5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNOLA
NOLAL 74-78
+2.5
6
vsSFPA
SFPAW 104-63
+13.5
10
vsLAM
LAMW 78-65
−4.5
over 2under 1avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Michigan
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wake Forest85–84
- Wvs Oakland121–78
3 days since their last game.
TCU
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lamar78–65
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves104–63
- Lvs LSU N Orleans74–78
4 days since their last game.