NCAAB

Monday, December 15, 2025

Day in numbers7 finalFavorites 2-5 ATS2 upsetsO/U 3-4Model Favorite 5-2Open
Games77 final · 0 to play
Lines moved61+ pt since the open · 7 with a line
Totals moved71+ pt since the open
Favorites ATS2-529% covered
Upsets2outright
Over / Under3-443% over
Model Favorite5-271% won
GameSpread, open → closeMovedTotalMoved
UNA @ AAMUUNA -1.5 → UNA -4.53 → UNA135.5 → 140.5▲ 5
UIW @ TCUTCU -17.5 → TCU -19.52 → TCU145.5 → 143.5▼ 2
WOF @ GWEBWOF -9.5 → WOF -10.51 → WOF153.5 → 155.5▲ 2
NIA @ VCUVCU -29.5 → VCU -30.51 → VCU141.5 → 143.5▲ 2
WYO vs SDSTWYO -4.5 → WYO -3.51 → SDST151.5 → 149.5▼ 2
MCN @ HCUMCN -13.5 → MCN -14.51 → MCN138.5 → 137.5▼ 1
ETAM @ SELASELA -4.5 → SELA -4.5no move139.5 → 137.5▼ 2
Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.
Line movedCoveredCover rate
1+ pts5579-5698-549%
2+ pts2172-2236-249%
3+ pts880-90849%
5+ pts139-14948%
Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.
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FinalNon-conference
Wofford
5-4 · #248
83
Gardner-Webb
0-10 · #348
57
Spread
WOF -10.5
✓ WOF W ATS
Total
155.5 ▲2
▼ Under 140
Projected
81–72
✓ WOF won
Model: GWEB by 1.1 ✗ Model: Under 2.1 ✓
Game card ›
FinalNon-conference
Niagara
2-8 · #346
58
VCU
6-4 · #61
84
Spread
VCU -30.5
✓ NIA W ATS
Total
143.5 ▲2
▼ Under 142
Projected
56–85
✓ VCU won
Model: NIA by 1.8 ✓ Model: Under 2.6 ✓
Game card ›
FinalConference
East Texas A&M
3-5 · #342
70
SE Louisiana
3-6 · #252
69
Spread
SELA -4.5
✓ ETAM W ATS
Total
137.5 ▼2
▲ Over 139
Projected
68–73
✗ SELA lost
Model: SELA by 0.7 ✗ Model: Over 3.1 ✓
Game card ›
FinalNon-conference · Neutral site
Wyoming
7-2 · #122
87
S Dakota St
4-5 · #201
72
Spread
WYO -3.5
✓ WYO W ATS
Total
149.5 ▼2
▲ Over 159
Projected
79–72
✓ WYO won
Model: WYO by 2.7 ✓ Model: Over 1.4 ✓
Game card ›
FinalNon-conference
North Alabama
3-4 · #292
60
Alabama A&M
3-4 · #328
68
Spread
UNA -4.5
✓ AAMU W ATS
Total
140.5 ▲5
▼ Under 128
Projected
75–69
✗ UNA lost
Model: UNA by 1.2 ✗ Model: Over 3.2 ✗
Game card ›
FinalConference
McNeese
7-2 · #127
78
Hou Christian
3-5 · #300
68
Spread
MCN -14.5
✓ HCU W ATS
Total
137.5 ▼1
▲ Over 146
Projected
77–64
✓ MCN won
Model: HCU by 2.0 ✓ Model: Over 3.1 ✓
Game card ›
FinalNon-conference
Incarnate Word
2-5 · #289
65
TCU
6-3 · #40
69
Spread
TCU -19.5
✓ UIW W ATS
Total
143.5 ▼2
▼ Under 134
Projected
64–83
✓ TCU won
Model: UIW by 0.1 ✓ Model: Over 3.8 ✗
Game card ›
StatusMatchupSpreadTotalModel lineSpread edgeModel totalTotal edgeWin probModel
Final
Wofford
5-4 · #248
83
Gardner-Webb
0-10 · #348
57
 WOF -10.5 155.5 WOF -9.4 GWEB +1.1 153.4 Under 2.1 79% WOF L W ›
Final
Niagara
2-8 · #346
58
VCU
6-4 · #61
84
 VCU -30.5 143.5 VCU -28.7 NIA +1.8 140.9 Under 2.6 99% VCU W W ›
Final
East Texas A&M
3-5 · #342
70
SE Louisiana
3-6 · #252
69
 SELA -4.5 137.5 SELA -5.2 SELA +0.7 140.6 Over 3.1 68% SELA L W ›
Final
Wyoming
7-2 · #122
87
S Dakota St
4-5 · #201
72
 WYO -3.5 149.5 WYO -6.2 WYO +2.7 150.9 Over 1.4 71% WYO W W ›
Final
North Alabama
3-4 · #292
60
Alabama A&M
3-4 · #328
68
 UNA -4.5 140.5 UNA -5.7 UNA +1.2 143.7 Over 3.2 69% UNA L L ›
Final
McNeese
7-2 · #127
78
Hou Christian
3-5 · #300
68
 MCN -14.5 137.5 MCN -12.5 HCU +2.0 140.6 Over 3.1 86% MCN W W ›
Final
Incarnate Word
2-5 · #289
65
TCU
6-3 · #40
69
 TCU -19.5 143.5 TCU -19.4 UIW +0.1 147.3 Over 3.8 96% TCU W L ›
The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record