College Basketball Games Wed, Dec 10, 2025

Day in numbers29 finalFavorites 14-15 ATS6 upsetsO/U 13-16Model Favorite 20-9OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games2929 final · 0 to play

Lines moved191+ pt since the open · 29 with a line

Totals moved241+ pt since the open

Favorites ATS14-1548% covered

Upsets6outright

Over / Under13-1645% over

Model Favorite20-969% won

Game	Spread, open → close	Moved	Total	Moved
JKST @ HOU	HOU -34.5 → HOU -40.5	6 → HOU	134.5 → 137.5	▲ 3
LIB @ NCSU	NCSU -11.5 → NCSU -12.5	1 → NCSU	157.5 → 149.5	▼ 8
UAPB @ TLSA	TLSA -21.5 → TLSA -25.5	4 → TLSA	156.5 → 155.5	▼ 1
FRES @ CSUN	CSUN -2.5 → CSUN -3.5	1 → CSUN	153.5 → 161.5	▲ 8
WEB @ KC	WEB -4.5 → WEB -7.5	3 → WEB	148.5 → 150.5	▲ 2
WIS @ NEB	WIS -1.5 → NEB -1.5	3 → NEB	160.5 → 158.5	▼ 2
DEL @ GW	GW -21.5 → GW -21.5	no move	158.5 → 152.5	▼ 6
UNM @ VCU	VCU -10.5 → VCU -8.5	2 → UNM	152.5 → 157.5	▲ 5
MASS vs BC	BC -2.5 → BC -1.5	1 → MASS	138.5 → 143.5	▲ 5
M-OH @ UNCA	M-OH -4.5 → M-OH -6.5	2 → M-OH	152.5 → 152.5	no move

Top 10 of 25; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.

Line moved	Covered	Cover rate
1+ pts	5579-5698-5	49%
2+ pts	2172-2236-2	49%
3+ pts	880-908	49%
5+ pts	139-149	48%

Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.

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FinalNon-conference

Norfolk St

1-6 · #319

Baylor

6-2 · #29

Spread

BAY -26.5

✓ BAY W ATS

Total

148.5 ▲1

▲ Over 164

Projected

65–87

✓ BAY won

Model: NORF by 3.8 ✗ Model: Over 3.6 ✓

FinalNon-conference · Neutral site

UAlbany

0-7 · #301

Yale

8-1 · #126

Spread

YALE -17.5

✓ UALB W ATS

Total

145.5 ▼4

▲ Over 175

Projected

67–85

✓ YALE won

Model: YALE by 0.4 ✗ Model: Over 6.7 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Merrimack

5-6 · #225

Princeton

2-9 · #135

Spread

PRIN -2.5

✓ MRMK W ATS

Total

134.5

▼ Under 115

Projected

67–71

✗ PRIN lost

Model: PRIN by 1.1 ✗ Model: Over 3.0 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Miami OH

6-0 · #125

UNC Asheville

3-5 · #271

Spread

M-OH -6.5

✓ UNCA W ATS

Total

152.5

▲ Over 177

Projected

79–76

✓ M-OH won

Model: UNCA by 3.6 ✓ Model: Over 2.8 ✓

FinalConference

Minnesota

5-4 · #70

Purdue

8-1 · #23 AP #6

Spread

PUR -19.5

✓ PUR W ATS

Total

143.5 ▲3

▼ Under 142

Projected

62–82

✓ PUR won

Model: PUR by 0.4 ✓ Model: Over 0.4 ✗

FinalNon-conference

New Haven

2-5 · #355

NJIT

3-7 · #316

Spread

NHVN -2.5

✓ NJIT W ATS

Total

130.5

▲ Over 134

Projected

67–66

✗ NHVN lost

Model: NJIT by 1.3 ✓ Model: Over 2.5 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Charleston

3-5 · #117

South Florida

5-4 · #84

Spread

USF -13.5

✓ COFC W ATS

Total

160.5 ▲4

▼ Under 156

Projected

74–87

✓ USF won

Model: COFC by 0.6 ✓ Model: Over 0.9 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Western KY

5-2 · #129

Marshall

5-4 · #231

Spread

MRSH -1.5

✓ MRSH W ATS

Total

159.5 ▼3

▼ Under 138

Projected

82–80

✗ WKU lost

Model: WKU by 3.7 ✗ Model: Over 1.7 ✗

FinalNon-conference

New Mexico

6-2 · #82

VCU

6-3 · #61

Spread

VCU -8.5

✓ UNM W ATS

Total

157.5 ▲5

▲ Over 159

Projected

73–80

✗ VCU lost

Model: UNM by 1.4 ✓ Model: Under 4.8 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Maine

0-11 · #323

Boston U

3-6 · #261

Spread

BU -8.5

✓ ME W ATS

Total

128.5

▼ Under 128

Projected

63–71

✗ BU lost

Model: ME by 0.1 ✓ Model: Over 5.8 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Bryant

2-7 · #290

Iona

7-3 · #233

Spread

IONA -8.5

✓ BRY W ATS

Total

146.5 ▼2

▼ Under 132

Projected

73–78

✓ IONA won

Model: BRY by 2.8 ✓ Model: Over 4.2 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Idaho

4-3 · #247

Notre Dame

7-3 · #71

Spread

ND -11.5

✓ ND W ATS

Total

144.5

▲ Over 145

Projected

67–81

✓ ND won

Model: ND by 3.0 ✓ Model: Over 3.3 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Liberty

4-2 · #160

NC State

6-3 · #48

Spread

NCSU -12.5

✓ NCSU W ATS

Total

149.5 ▼8

▼ Under 130

Projected

72–84

✓ NCSU won

Model: LIB by 0.5 ✗ Model: Over 5.4 ✗

FinalNon-conference · Neutral site

UMass

6-3 · #209

Boston College

5-5 · #95

Spread

BC -1.5

✓ MASS W ATS

Total

143.5 ▲5

▲ Over 150

Projected

72–75

✗ BC lost

Model: BC by 1.4 ✗ Model: Over 4.1 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Colgate

4-4 · #211

St Bonaventure

8-1 · #142

Spread

SBU -9.5

✓ COLG W ATS

Total

142.5 ▲1

▲ Over 162

Projected

69–77

✓ SBU won

Model: COLG by 1.0 ✓ Model: Over 3.5 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Delaware

2-5 · #206

G Washington

8-2 · #101

Spread

GW -21.5

✓ DEL W ATS

Total

152.5 ▼6

▼ Under 128

Projected

70–90

✗ GW lost

Model: DEL by 0.9 ✓ Model: Over 7.2 ✗

FinalNon-conference

FDU

0-7 · #356

Fordham

3-4 · #100

Spread

FOR -11.5

✓ FOR W ATS

Total

141.5 ▼1

▼ Under 129

Projected

66–80

✓ FOR won

Model: FOR by 2.5 ✓ Model: Over 4.5 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Jackson St

1-7 · #280

Houston

8-1 · #2 AP #7

Spread

HOU -40.5

✓ HOU W ATS

Total

137.5 ▲3

▼ Under 118

Projected

51–87

✓ HOU won

Model: JKST by 4.6 ✗ Model: Over 0.2 ✗

FinalNon-conference

UT Martin

5-2 · #341

S Illinois

4-4 · #195

Spread

SIU -8.5

✓ SIU W ATS

Total

146.5 ▼4

▼ Under 137

Projected

70–79

✓ SIU won

Model: SIU by 0.1 ✓ Model: Over 2.6 ✗

FinalNon-conference

E Kentucky

0-7 · #294

E Illinois

1-6 · #361

Spread

EKU -6.5

✓ EKU W ATS

Total

149.5 ▼3

▼ Under 127

Projected

78–75

✓ EKU won

Model: EIU by 3.8 ✗ Model: Over 3.0 ✗

FinalNon-conference

AR-Pine Bluff

1-9 · #363

Tulsa

6-1 · #108

117

Spread

TLSA -25.5

✓ TLSA W ATS

Total

155.5 ▼1

▲ Over 201

Projected

68–91

✓ TLSA won

Model: UAPB by 2.7 ✗ Model: Over 3.8 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Weber St

3-5 · #313

Kansas City

0-8 · #335

Spread

WEB -7.5

✓ KC W ATS

Total

150.5 ▲2

▼ Under 124

Projected

79–73

✓ WEB won

Model: KC by 2.1 ✓ Model: Over 1.3 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Idaho St

4-4 · #344

Utah Valley

4-3 · #150

Spread

UVU -9.5

✓ IDST W ATS

Total

141.5 ▼2

▲ Over 142

Projected

67–76

✓ UVU won

Model: IDST by 0.2 ✓ Model: Over 1.7 ✓

FinalNon-conference

E Michigan

5-4 · #188

Purdue FW

2-6 · #249

Spread

PFW -3.5

✓ PFW W ATS

Total

147.5 ▼2

▼ Under 145

Projected

74–76

✓ PFW won

Model: EMU by 2.4 ✗ Model: Over 2.5 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Southern

1-5 · #309

Texas St

4-5 · #103

Spread

TXST -3.5

✓ SOU W ATS

Total

142.5 ▲3

▲ Over 169

Projected

73–76

✓ TXST won

Model: SOU by 0.4 ✓ Model: Over 5.9 ✓

FinalConference

Wisconsin

7-2 · #41

Nebraska

9-0 · #27 AP #23

Spread

NEB -1.5

✓ NEB W ATS

Total

158.5 ▼2

▼ Under 150

Projected

79–79

✗ WIS lost

Model: WIS by 2.5 ✗ Model: Under 0.6 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Duquesne

5-3 · #107

Boise St

5-2 · #86

Spread

BOIS -14.5

✓ BOIS W ATS

Total

150.5 ▲2

▼ Under 150

Projected

69–81

✓ BOIS won

Model: DUQ by 2.3 ✗ Model: Under 0.1 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Lamar

3-3 · #293

San Diego St

4-3 · #75

Spread

SDSU -17.5

✓ SDSU W ATS

Total

135.5 ▼2

▲ Over 160

Projected

60–77

✓ SDSU won

Model: LAM by 0.9 ✗ Model: Over 2.0 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Fresno St

5-4 · #174

CSU Northridge

3-5 · #194

Spread

CSUN -3.5

✓ FRES W ATS

Total

161.5 ▲8

▲ Over 176

Projected

78–77

✗ FRES lost

Model: FRES by 4.8 ✓ Model: Under 6.1 ✗

Status	Matchup	Spread	Total	Model line	Spread edge	Model total	Total edge	Win prob	Model
Final	Norfolk St 1-6 · #319 67 Baylor 6-2 · #29 97	BAY -26.5	148.5	BAY -22.7	NORF +3.8	152.1	Over 3.6	98% BAY	L W	›
Final	UAlbany 0-7 · #301 82 Yale 8-1 · #126 93	YALE -17.5	145.5	YALE -17.9	YALE +0.4	152.2	Over 6.7	94% YALE	L W	›
Final	Merrimack 5-6 · #225 59 Princeton 2-9 · #135 56	PRIN -2.5	134.5	PRIN -3.6	PRIN +1.1	137.5	Over 3.0	62% PRIN	L L	›
Final	Miami OH 6-0 · #125 90 UNC Asheville 3-5 · #271 87	M-OH -6.5	152.5	M-OH -2.9	UNCA +3.6	155.3	Over 2.8	60% M-OH	W W	›
Final	Minnesota 5-4 · #70 57 Purdue 8-1 · #23 85	PUR -19.5	143.5	PUR -19.9	PUR +0.4	143.9	Over 0.4	96% PUR	W L	›
Final	New Haven 2-5 · #355 64 NJIT 3-7 · #316 70	NHVN -2.5	130.5	NHVN -1.2	NJIT +1.3	133.0	Over 2.5	54% NHVN	W W	›
Final	Charleston 3-5 · #117 75 South Florida 5-4 · #84 81	USF -13.5	160.5	USF -12.9	COFC +0.6	161.4	Over 0.9	87% USF	W L	›
Final	Western KY 5-2 · #129 61 Marshall 5-4 · #231 77	MRSH -1.5	159.5	WKU -2.2	WKU +3.7	161.2	Over 1.7	58% WKU	L L	›
Final	New Mexico 6-2 · #82 81 VCU 6-3 · #61 78	VCU -8.5	157.5	VCU -7.1	UNM +1.4	152.7	Under 4.8	73% VCU	W L	›
Final	Maine 0-11 · #323 69 Boston U 3-6 · #261 59	BU -8.5	128.5	BU -8.4	ME +0.1	134.3	Over 5.8	77% BU	W L	›
Final	Bryant 2-7 · #290 63 Iona 7-3 · #233 69	IONA -8.5	146.5	IONA -5.7	BRY +2.8	150.7	Over 4.2	69% IONA	W L	›
Final	Idaho 4-3 · #247 65 Notre Dame 7-3 · #71 80	ND -11.5	144.5	ND -14.5	ND +3.0	147.8	Over 3.3	90% ND	W W	›
Final	Liberty 4-2 · #160 45 NC State 6-3 · #48 85	NCSU -12.5	149.5	NCSU -12.0	LIB +0.5	154.9	Over 5.4	85% NCSU	L L	›
Final	UMass 6-3 · #209 76 Boston College 5-5 · #95 74	BC -1.5	143.5	BC -2.9	BC +1.4	147.6	Over 4.1	60% BC	L W	›
Final	Colgate 4-4 · #211 77 St Bonaventure 8-1 · #142 85	SBU -9.5	142.5	SBU -8.5	COLG +1.0	146.0	Over 3.5	77% SBU	W W	›
Final	Delaware 2-5 · #206 70 G Washington 8-2 · #101 58	GW -21.5	152.5	GW -20.6	DEL +0.9	159.7	Over 7.2	96% GW	W L	›
Final	FDU 0-7 · #356 54 Fordham 3-4 · #100 75	FOR -11.5	141.5	FOR -14.0	FOR +2.5	146.0	Over 4.5	89% FOR	W L	›
Final	Jackson St 1-7 · #280 38 Houston 8-1 · #2 80	HOU -40.5	137.5	HOU -35.9	JKST +4.6	137.7	Over 0.2	100% HOU	L L	›
Final	UT Martin 5-2 · #341 54 S Illinois 4-4 · #195 83	SIU -8.5	146.5	SIU -8.6	SIU +0.1	149.1	Over 2.6	77% SIU	W L	›
Final	E Kentucky 0-7 · #294 68 E Illinois 1-6 · #361 59	EKU -6.5	149.5	EKU -2.7	EIU +3.8	152.5	Over 3.0	59% EKU	L L	›
Final	AR-Pine Bluff 1-9 · #363 84 Tulsa 6-1 · #108 117	TLSA -25.5	155.5	TLSA -22.8	UAPB +2.7	159.3	Over 3.8	98% TLSA	L W	›
Final	Weber St 3-5 · #313 64 Kansas City 0-8 · #335 60	WEB -7.5	150.5	WEB -5.4	KC +2.1	151.8	Over 1.3	68% WEB	W L	›
Final	Idaho St 4-4 · #344 69 Utah Valley 4-3 · #150 73	UVU -9.5	141.5	UVU -9.3	IDST +0.2	143.2	Over 1.7	79% UVU	W W	›
Final	E Michigan 5-4 · #188 65 Purdue FW 2-6 · #249 80	PFW -3.5	147.5	PFW -1.1	EMU +2.4	150.0	Over 2.5	54% PFW	L L	›
Final	Southern 1-5 · #309 83 Texas St 4-5 · #103 86	TXST -3.5	142.5	TXST -3.1	SOU +0.4	148.4	Over 5.9	61% TXST	W W	›
Final	Wisconsin 7-2 · #41 60 Nebraska 9-0 · #27 90	NEB -1.5	158.5	WIS -1.0	WIS +2.5	157.9	Under 0.6	53% WIS	L W	›
Final	Duquesne 5-3 · #107 64 Boise St 5-2 · #86 86	BOIS -14.5	150.5	BOIS -12.2	DUQ +2.3	150.4	Under 0.1	86% BOIS	L W	›
Final	Lamar 3-3 · #293 71 San Diego St 4-3 · #75 89	SDSU -17.5	135.5	SDSU -16.6	LAM +0.9	137.5	Over 2.0	93% SDSU	L W	›
Final	Fresno St 5-4 · #174 87 CSU Northridge 3-5 · #194 89	CSUN -3.5	161.5	FRES -1.4	FRES +4.8	155.4	Under 6.1	55% FRES	W L	›

Day in numbers29 finalFavorites 14-15 ATS6 upsetsO/U 13-16Model Favorite 20-9OpenClose

The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record

NCAAB games · Wednesday, December 10, 2025

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