College Basketball Games Tue, Dec 9, 2025

Day in numbers23 finalFavorites 11-12 ATS3 upsetsO/U 14-9Model Favorite 18-5OpenClose

Day in numbers

Tap a number to filter the games below

Games2323 final · 0 to play

Lines moved151+ pt since the open · 23 with a line

Totals moved191+ pt since the open

Favorites ATS11-1248% covered

Upsets3outright

Over / Under14-961% over

Model Favorite18-578% won

Game	Spread, open → close	Moved	Total	Moved
L-MD @ VMI	VMI -1.5 → L-MD -2.5	4 → L-MD	150.5 → 151.5	▲ 1
NCCU @ UK	UK -38.5 → UK -42.5	4 → UK	148.5 → 148.5	no move
LR @ WVU	WVU -23.5 → WVU -27.5	4 → WVU	130.5 → 132.5	▲ 2
BRWN @ PROV	PROV -15.5 → PROV -19.5	4 → PROV	146.5 → 145.5	▼ 1
ILL @ OSU	ILL -3.5 → ILL -3.5	no move	154.5 → 162.5	▲ 8
VILL @ MICH	MICH -15.5 → MICH -17.5	2 → MICH	150.5 → 156.5	▲ 6
SDAK @ WYO	WYO -11.5 → WYO -14.5	3 → WYO	157.5 → 161.5	▲ 4
BUF @ UMBC	BUF -1.5 → BUF -3.5	2 → BUF	147.5 → 145.5	▼ 2
COPP @ JOES	JOES -20.5 → JOES -22.5	2 → JOES	146.5 → 146.5	no move
SDST @ BALL	SDST -6.5 → SDST -5.5	1 → BALL	138.5 → 142.5	▲ 4

Top 10 of 21; the Line move and Total move filters show the rest. Biggest moves since the open, in points. A move says where the market went, not where it should have.

Line moved	Covered	Cover rate
1+ pts	5579-5698-5	49%
2+ pts	2172-2236-2	49%
3+ pts	880-908	49%
5+ pts	139-149	48%

Did the side the line moved toward cover the closing number? Since 2023-24, when ESPN's opening lines begin. A break-even bet at standard prices needs 52.4%.

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FinalNon-conference

Buffalo

7-1 · #237

UMBC

4-3 · #264

Spread

BUF -3.5

✓ BUF W ATS

Total

145.5 ▼2

▲ Over 162

Projected

75–76

✗ UMBC lost

Model: UMBC by 4.7 ✗ Model: Over 5.6 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Loyola MD

2-6 · #314

VMI

1-7 · #320

Spread

L-MD -2.5

✓ VMI W ATS

Total

151.5 ▲1

▲ Over 156

Projected

76–75

✗ L-MD lost

Model: VMI by 2.0 ✓ Model: Under 0.6 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Villanova

7-1 · #32

Michigan

8-0 · #8 AP #2

Spread

MICH -17.5

✓ MICH W ATS

Total

156.5 ▲6

▼ Under 150

Projected

66–86

✓ MICH won

Model: MICH by 2.1 ✓ Model: Under 5.1 ✓

FinalNon-conference · Neutral site

Clemson

7-2 · #35

BYU

7-1 · #24 AP #10

Spread

BYU -4.5

✓ CLEM W ATS

Total

152.5 ▲2

▼ Under 131

Projected

74–81

✓ BYU won

Model: BYU by 2.7 ✗ Model: Over 3.2 ✗

FinalNon-conference

MD Eastern

2-8 · #364

Virginia

8-1 · #20 AP #24

Spread

UVA -36.5

✓ UMES W ATS

Total

134.5 ▼1

▲ Over 144

Projected

53–84

✓ UVA won

Model: UMES by 6.1 ✓ Model: Over 2.4 ✓

FinalNon-conference

NC Central

0-8 · #357

Kentucky

5-4 · #19

103

Spread

UK -42.5

✓ NCCU W ATS

Total

148.5

▲ Over 170

Projected

57–92

✓ UK won

Model: NCCU by 7.2 ✓ Model: Over 0.8 ✓

FinalNon-conference · Neutral site

NC A&T

3-3 · #275

Howard

2-5 · #197

Spread

NCAT -2.5

✓ HOW W ATS

Total

149.5 ▲3

▼ Under 142

Projected

76–74

✗ NCAT lost

Model: HOW by 0.5 ✓ Model: Under 0.4 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Coppin St

1-10 · #352

Saint Joseph's

4-3 · #114

Spread

JOES -22.5

✓ COPP W ATS

Total

146.5

▲ Over 152

Projected

63–85

✓ JOES won

Model: COPP by 0.8 ✓ Model: Over 1.8 ✓

FinalNon-conference

S Dakota St

3-5 · #201

Ball State

2-6 · #181

Spread

SDST -5.5

✓ BALL W ATS

Total

142.5 ▲4

▼ Under 132

Projected

74–68

✓ SDST won

Model: SDST by 0.8 ✗ Model: Under 1.1 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Little Rock

1-7 · #222

West Virginia

7-3 · #47

Spread

WVU -27.5

✓ WVU W ATS

Total

132.5 ▲2

▲ Over 148

Projected

51–78

✓ WVU won

Model: LR by 0.8 ✗ Model: Under 3.6 ✗

FinalNon-conference

Columbia

8-1 · #170

Stony Brook

4-3 · #191

Spread

COLU -4.5

✓ STBK W ATS

Total

146.5 ▼1

▲ Over 150

Projected

77–72

✗ COLU lost

Model: Over 1.9 ✓

FinalNon-conference

McNeese

5-2 · #127

Rhode Island

7-3 · #105

Spread

MCN -1.5

✓ MCN W ATS

Total

146.5 ▲4

▼ Under 130

Projected

73–72

✓ MCN won

Model: URI by 0.6 ✗ Model: Under 2.1 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Bucknell

2-9 · #299

Rider

0-7 · #347

Spread

BUCK -2.5

✓ BUCK W ATS

Total

135.5 ▼4

▼ Under 89

Projected

71–70

✓ BUCK won

Model: RID by 1.4 ✗ Model: Over 4.6 ✗

FinalConference

Illinois

7-2 · #4 AP #13

Ohio State

7-1 · #33

Spread

ILL -3.5

✓ ILL W ATS

Total

162.5 ▲8

▲ Over 168

Projected

84–80

✓ ILL won

Model: ILL by 0.5 ✓ Model: Over 1.7 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Brown

4-6 · #156

Providence

6-4 · #52

Spread

PROV -19.5

✓ BRWN W ATS

Total

145.5 ▼1

▲ Over 165

Projected

67–86

✓ PROV won

Model: BRWN by 0.2 ✓ Model: Over 8.1 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Morgan St

0-7 · #345

DePaul

6-3 · #66

Spread

DEP -21.5

✓ DEP W ATS

Total

150.5 ▼2

▼ Under 141

Projected

67–88

✓ DEP won

Model: MORG by 0.7 ✗ Model: Over 3.7 ✗

FinalConference

Penn State

8-1 · #78

Indiana

7-2 · #38

113

Spread

IU -14.5

✓ IU W ATS

Total

152.5 ▲3

▲ Over 185

Projected

71–83

✓ IU won

Model: PSU by 2.2 ✗ Model: Over 1.6 ✓

FinalNon-conference

South Dakota

4-5 · #291

Wyoming

6-2 · #122

106

Spread

WYO -14.5

✓ WYO W ATS

Total

161.5 ▲4

▲ Over 185

Projected

75–89

✓ WYO won

Model: SDAK by 1.3 ✗ Model: Over 2.3 ✓

FinalNon-conference

USC

8-1 · #36

San Diego

2-5 · #146

Spread

USC -14.5

✓ USD W ATS

Total

158.5 ▼4

▲ Over 175

Projected

90–74

✓ USC won

Model: USC by 1.3 ✗ Model: Over 5.3 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Dartmouth

2-4 · #251

Colorado St

7-2 · #87

Spread

CSU -20.5

✓ CSU W ATS

Total

153.5 ▼4

▼ Under 131

Projected

68–86

✓ CSU won

Model: DART by 2.8 ✗ Model: Over 0.8 ✗

FinalNon-conference

N Arizona

2-4 · #321

Arizona St

7-2 · #60

Spread

ASU -16.5

✓ ASU W ATS

Total

154.5

▼ Under 121

Projected

67–84

✓ ASU won

Model: ASU by 0.8 ✓ Model: Under 3.6 ✓

FinalNon-conference · Neutral site

Florida

5-3 · #1 AP #18

UConn

8-1 · #6 AP #5

Spread

CONN -4.5

✓ FLA W ATS

Total

145.5

▲ Over 150

Projected

77–75

✗ FLA lost

Model: FLA by 6.2 ✓ Model: Over 5.9 ✓

FinalNon-conference

Long Beach St

1-8 · #297

San José St

3-5 · #143

Spread

SJSU -7.5

✓ LBSU W ATS

Total

141.5 ▼1

▲ Over 172

Projected

67–77

✓ SJSU won

Model: SJSU by 2.6 ✗ Model: Over 1.7 ✓

Status	Matchup	Spread	Total	Model line	Spread edge	Model total	Total edge	Win prob	Model
Final	Buffalo 7-1 · #237 83 UMBC 4-3 · #264 79	BUF -3.5	145.5	UMBC -1.2	UMBC +4.7	151.1	Over 5.6	54% UMBC	L W	›
Final	Loyola MD 2-6 · #314 70 VMI 1-7 · #320 86	L-MD -2.5	151.5	L-MD -0.5	VMI +2.0	150.9	Under 0.6	52% L-MD	W L	›
Final	Villanova 7-1 · #32 61 Michigan 8-0 · #8 89	MICH -17.5	156.5	MICH -19.6	MICH +2.1	151.4	Under 5.1	96% MICH	W W	›
Final	Clemson 7-2 · #35 64 BYU 7-1 · #24 67	BYU -4.5	152.5	BYU -7.2	BYU +2.7	155.7	Over 3.2	73% BYU	L L	›
Final	MD Eastern 2-8 · #364 60 Virginia 8-1 · #20 84	UVA -36.5	134.5	UVA -30.4	UMES +6.1	136.9	Over 2.4	100% UVA	W W	›
Final	NC Central 0-8 · #357 67 Kentucky 5-4 · #19 103	UK -42.5	148.5	UK -35.3	NCCU +7.2	149.3	Over 0.8	100% UK	W W	›
Final	NC A&T 3-3 · #275 69 Howard 2-5 · #197 73	NCAT -2.5	149.5	NCAT -2.0	HOW +0.5	149.1	Under 0.4	57% NCAT	W W	›
Final	Coppin St 1-10 · #352 65 Saint Joseph's 4-3 · #114 87	JOES -22.5	146.5	JOES -21.7	COPP +0.8	148.3	Over 1.8	97% JOES	W W	›
Final	S Dakota St 3-5 · #201 68 Ball State 2-6 · #181 64	SDST -5.5	142.5	SDST -6.3	SDST +0.8	141.4	Under 1.1	71% SDST	L W	›
Final	Little Rock 1-7 · #222 58 West Virginia 7-3 · #47 90	WVU -27.5	132.5	WVU -26.7	LR +0.8	128.9	Under 3.6	99% WVU	L L	›
Final	Columbia 8-1 · #170 73 Stony Brook 4-3 · #191 77	COLU -4.5	146.5	COLU -4.5	—	148.4	Over 1.9	65% COLU	W	›
Final	McNeese 5-2 · #127 66 Rhode Island 7-3 · #105 64	MCN -1.5	146.5	MCN -0.9	URI +0.6	144.4	Under 2.1	53% MCN	L W	›
Final	Bucknell 2-9 · #299 51 Rider 0-7 · #347 38	BUCK -2.5	135.5	BUCK -1.1	RID +1.4	140.1	Over 4.6	54% BUCK	L L	›
Final	Illinois 7-2 · #4 88 Ohio State 7-1 · #33 80	ILL -3.5	162.5	ILL -4.0	ILL +0.5	164.2	Over 1.7	64% ILL	W W	›
Final	Brown 4-6 · #156 79 Providence 6-4 · #52 86	PROV -19.5	145.5	PROV -19.3	BRWN +0.2	153.6	Over 8.1	95% PROV	W W	›
Final	Morgan St 0-7 · #345 49 DePaul 6-3 · #66 92	DEP -21.5	150.5	DEP -20.8	MORG +0.7	154.2	Over 3.7	97% DEP	L L	›
Final	Penn State 8-1 · #78 72 Indiana 7-2 · #38 113	IU -14.5	152.5	IU -12.3	PSU +2.2	154.1	Over 1.6	86% IU	L W	›
Final	South Dakota 4-5 · #291 79 Wyoming 6-2 · #122 106	WYO -14.5	161.5	WYO -13.3	SDAK +1.3	163.8	Over 2.3	88% WYO	L W	›
Final	USC 8-1 · #36 94 San Diego 2-5 · #146 81	USC -14.5	158.5	USC -15.8	USC +1.3	163.8	Over 5.3	92% USC	L W	›
Final	Dartmouth 2-4 · #251 55 Colorado St 7-2 · #87 76	CSU -20.5	153.5	CSU -17.7	DART +2.8	154.3	Over 0.8	94% CSU	L L	›
Final	N Arizona 2-4 · #321 48 Arizona St 7-2 · #60 73	ASU -16.5	154.5	ASU -17.3	ASU +0.8	150.9	Under 3.6	94% ASU	W W	›
Final	Florida 5-3 · #1 73 UConn 8-1 · #6 77	CONN -4.5	145.5	FLA -1.6	FLA +6.2	151.4	Over 5.9	56% FLA	W W	›
Final	Long Beach St 1-8 · #297 83 San José St 3-5 · #143 89	SJSU -7.5	141.5	SJSU -10.1	SJSU +2.6	143.2	Over 1.7	81% SJSU	L W	›

Day in numbers23 finalFavorites 11-12 ATS3 upsetsO/U 14-9Model Favorite 18-5OpenClose

The # beside a record is the team’s power rank today, from the Rankings; AP is the poll. Spread is the market line (the favorite shows the minus). Model line and Model edge are from the model, never the market. Lines are pre-tip-off: after tip-off a tile shows the closing line. Model record

NCAAB games · Tuesday, December 9, 2025

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