Amica Mutual Pavilion · at Providence
Closing line
PROV -19.5✓ BRWN covered by 12.5
PROV -19.5✓ BRWN covered by 12.5Closing total145.5Over by 19.5
 BRWN | This season | PROV |
|---|---|---|
| 4-6 | Record | 6-4 |
| 6-4 | ATS | 6-4 |
| 4-6 | O/U | 7-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BRWN 67–86 PROV · ✓ PROV (95%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRWN | 37 | 42 | 79 |
| PROV | 42 | 44 | 86 |
1st half: BRWN 37, PROV 42 (PROV by 5). The model had PROV by 11.5 and a total of 71.9 (actual 79).
Team stats
| BRWN | PROV | |
|---|---|---|
| 28-65 43% | Field goals | 30-65 46% |
| 8-21 38% | 3-pointers | 8-26 31% |
| 15-20 75% | Free throws | 18-21 86% |
| 33 8 off | Rebounds | 44 13 off |
| 17 | Assists | 16 |
| 9 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 4 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 19 | Fouls | 18 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| BRWN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Landon Lewis F | 33 | 17 | 8 | 2 | 6-15 | 0-0 |
| Jeremiah Jenkins G | 32 | 7 | 7 | 8 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| N'famara Dabo F | 22 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Luke Paragon G | 22 | 15 | 1 | 0 | 5-8 | 5-7 |
| Isaiah Langham G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Adrian Uchidiuno G | 26 | 12 | 2 | 0 | 5-10 | 2-6 |
| David Rochester G | 25 | 12 | 4 | 4 | 5-11 | 0-1 |
| Malcolm Wrisby-Jefferson G | 21 | 7 | 1 | 2 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Brady Loughlin G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Wyatt DeGraaf, AJ Lesburt Jr., Drew Kania, Jerrell Barron Jr., Jonah Drezner, Charlie O'Sullivan
| PROV | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jaylin Sellers G | 32 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 3-5 |
| Corey Floyd Jr. G | 30 | 6 | 8 | 3 | 2-7 | 0-4 |
| Stefan Vaaks G | 30 | 10 | 2 | 4 | 3-13 | 1-11 |
| Ryan Mela G | 21 | 10 | 6 | 3 | 4-10 | 2-2 |
| Oswin Erhunmwunse F | 15 | 7 | 7 | 0 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jason Edwards G | 23 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 4-10 | 2-3 |
| Cole Hargrove F | 21 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Jamier Jones G | 19 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 7-8 | 0-0 |
| Duncan Powell F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Peteris Pinnis F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jaylen Harrell, Rich Barron, Nilavan Daniels, Daquan Davis, Jack Williams
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPROV -15.5
4 → PROV
ClosePROV -19.5
4 pts toward PROV
Total
Open146.5
▼ 1
Close145.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
BRWN +1300 · PROV -2800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PROV -15.5 · closed PROV -19.5 · moved 4 toward PROVmodel PROV -19.5 matches the line
model PROV -19.5 = line ✓
Opened 146.5 · closed 145.5 · moved 1 downmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | PROV -19.5 | PROV -19.3 | BRWN +0.2 | W BRWN covered |
| Total | 145.5 | 153.6 | Over 8.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | BRWN 67.1 · PROV 86.4 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | PROV -11.5 | PROV -5.0 |
| 1H total | 71.9 | 79 |
| 1H projected score | BRWN 30.2 · PROV 41.7 | BRWN 37 · PROV 42 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BRWN | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 4-6 40% |
| PROV | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 7-3 70% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
BRWN 0–1 PROVPROV leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · BRWN 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 10, 2023-24 | BRWN 54 @ PROV 74 | PROV -15.5 | PROV W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Brown
10 games played
Straight up
4-6
40% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg +0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg −3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | vs SIE | L 46-62 | +3.5 | L −12.5 | 142.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 9 | vs UVM | L 84-89 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 131.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 12 | @ BU | L 77-90 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 129.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 14 | vs HAMP | L 63-72 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 18 | vs HC | W 68-49 | -2.5 | W +16.5 | 141.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 20 | @ STBK | L 70-80 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 23 | @ ME | W 58-53 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 127.5 | U 111 |
| Nov 26 | @ UNH | W 59-47 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 106 |
| Dec 2 | @ URI | L 56-66 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 5 | vs BRY | W 75-56 | -6.5 | W +12.5 | 130.5 | O 131 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
vsSIE
SIEL 46-62
−12.5
9
vsUVM
UVML 84-89
+0.5
12
@BU
BUL 77-90
−9.5
14
vsHAMP
HAMPL 63-72
−10.5
18
vsHC
HCW 68-49
+16.5
20
@STBK
STBKL 70-80
−6.5
23
@ME
MEW 58-53
+3.5
26
@UNH
UNHW 59-47
+6.5
2
@URI
URIL 56-66
+3.5
5
vsBRY
BRYW 75-56
+12.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
vsSIE
SIEL 46-62
−34.5
9
vsUVM
UVML 84-89
+41.5
12
@BU
BUL 77-90
+37.5
14
vsHAMP
HAMPL 63-72
−4.5
18
vsHC
HCW 68-49
−24.5
20
@STBK
STBKL 70-80
+13.5
23
@ME
MEW 58-53
−16.5
26
@UNH
UNHW 59-47
−30.5
2
@URI
URIL 56-66
−16.5
5
vsBRY
BRYW 75-56
+0.5
over 4under 6avg −3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Providence
10 games played
Straight up
6-4
60% wins
Against the spread
6-4
60% covers · avg −1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-3
70% overs · avg +9.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsHC | W 89-79 | -23.5 | L −13.5 | 152.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 8 | vs VT | L 101-107 | -2.5 | L −8.5 | 157.5 | O 208 |
| Nov 11 | vs PENN | W 106-81 | -19.5 | W +5.5 | 172.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 14 | @ COLO | L 88-97 | +1.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | O 185 |
| Nov 18 | vsUNH | W 98-66 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 161.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PSU | W 77-65 | -3.5 | W +8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 27 | vs WIS | L 83-104 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs FLA | L 78-90 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 169.5 | U 168 |
| Dec 2 | vs FDU | W 94-64 | -26.5 | W +3.5 | 162.5 | U 158 |
| Dec 6 | vsURI | W 90-71 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 159.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
−13.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
−8.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+5.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
−7.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
+8.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
−14.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
+0.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
+3.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+11.5
covered 6didn’t cover 4avg −1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsHC
HCW 89-79
+15.5
8
vsVT
VTL 101-107
+50.5
11
vsPENN
PENNW 106-81
+14.5
14
@COLO
COLOL 88-97
+21.5
18
vsUNH
UNHW 98-66
+2.5
22
vsPSU
PSUW 77-65
−23.5
27
vsWIS
WISL 83-104
+20.5
28
vsFLA
FLAL 78-90
−1.5
2
vsFDU
FDUW 94-64
−4.5
6
vsURI
URIW 90-71
+1.5
over 7under 3avg +9.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Brown
4-6 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bryant75–56
- L@ Rhode Island56–66
- W@ New Hampshire59–47
- W@ Maine58–53
- L@ Stony Brook70–80
4 days since their last game.
Providence
6-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rhode Island90–71
- Wvs FDU94–64
- Lvs Florida78–90
- Lvs Wisconsin83–104
- Wvs Penn State77–65
3 days since their last game.