Hope Coliseum · at West Virginia
Closing line
WVU -27.5✓ WVU covered by 4.5
WVU -27.5✓ WVU covered by 4.5Closing total132.5Over by 15.5
 LR | This season | WVU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-7 | Record | 7-3 |
| 2-6 | ATS | 5-5 |
| 3-5 | O/U | 4-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LR 51–78 WVU · ✓ WVU (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 23 | 35 | 58 |
| WVU | 47 | 43 | 90 |
1st half: LR 23, WVU 47 (WVU by 24). The model had WVU by 16.0 and a total of 60.5 (actual 70).
Team stats
| LR | WVU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-58 36% | Field goals | 33-59 56% |
| 6-18 33% | 3-pointers | 15-30 50% |
| 10-16 63% | Free throws | 9-17 53% |
| 29 13 off | Rebounds | 42 15 off |
| 11 | Assists | 22 |
| 7 | Steals | 9 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 9 | Fast-break points | 16 |
Players
| LR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Johnathan Lawson G | 36 | 11 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Braxton Bayless G | 33 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Kachi Nzeh F | 31 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-5 | 0-2 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather F | 21 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Christian Hughes G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cameron Wallace F | 34 | 23 | 9 | 4 | 8-19 | 1-5 |
| Truman Claytor IV F | 22 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Tracy Steele Jr. G | 9 | 6 | 1 | 1 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Joseph Thomas G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Travonne Jackson, KK Robinson, Tuongthach Gatkek, Khasen Robinson, Kellen Robinson, Terrion Burgess
| WVU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Honor Huff G | 30 | 24 | 1 | 2 | 8-13 | 8-11 |
| Treysen Eaglestaff G | 24 | 23 | 1 | 1 | 8-14 | 5-10 |
| Brenen Lorient F | 22 | 8 | 7 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Harlan Obioha C | 20 | 4 | 7 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Jasper Floyd G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 6 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jackson Fields F | 19 | 2 | 7 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| DJ Thomas F | 18 | 4 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Amir Jenkins G | 18 | 5 | 4 | 6 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Chance Moore G | 15 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Morris Ugusuk G | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
| Jayden Forsythe G | 4 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Niyol Hauet G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Abraham Oyeadier, Evans Barning Jr., MJ Feenane
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketWVU -27.5
ModelWVU -26.7
Model edgeLR +0.8
L WVU covered
Total
Market132.5
Model128.9
Model edgeUnder 3.6
L Over
Projected score
LR 51.1 · WVU 77.8
LR 58 · WVU 90
Win probability
WVU 99%
1st half
Spread
WVU -16.0
WVU -24.0
Total
60.5
70 points
Projected score
LR 22.3 · WVU 38.2
LR 23 · WVU 47
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWVU -23.5
4 → WVU
CloseWVU -27.5
4 pts toward WVU
Total
Open130.5
▲ 2
Close132.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
LR +2200 · WVU -8000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WVU -23.5 · closed WVU -27.5 · moved 4 toward WVUmodel WVU -26.5
model WVU -26.5
Opened 130.5 · closed 132.5 · moved 2 upmodel 129
model 129
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LRlast 8 | 1-7 13% | 2-6 25% | 3-5 38% |
| WVU | 7-3 70% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Little Rock
8 games played
Straight up
1-7
13% wins
Against the spread
2-6
25% covers · avg −8.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −2.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 10 | @ MILW | L 72-92 | +3.5 | L −16.5 | 156.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 12 | @ MARQ | L 49-89 | +21.5 | L −18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | @ BALL | W 68-62 | +2.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 18 | @ MUR | L 68-89 | +13.5 | L −7.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 21 | @ TXST | L 56-65 | +5.5 | L −3.5 | 131.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 29 | @ SIU | L 65-74 | +13.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 3 | @ CARK | L 47-85 | +3.5 | L −34.5 | 138.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 6 | vs ARST | L 78-90 | +9.5 | L −2.5 | 147.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
−16.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−18.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
+8.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
−7.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−3.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
+4.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−34.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 6avg −8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
+7.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−17.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
−16.5
18
@MUR
MURL 68-89
+3.5
21
@TXST
TXSTL 56-65
−10.5
29
@SIU
SIUL 65-74
−2.5
3
@CARK
CARKL 47-85
−6.5
6
vsARST
ARSTL 78-90
+20.5
over 3under 5avg −2.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
West Virginia
10 games played
Straight up
7-3
70% wins
Against the spread
5-5
50% covers · avg +0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-6
40% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs MSM | W 70-54 | -19.5 | L −3.5 | 136.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 6 | vs CAM | W 73-65 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 9 | vs LEH | W 69-47 | -17.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 116 |
| Nov 13 | vs PITT | W 71-49 | -5.5 | W +16.5 | 134.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 17 | vs LAF | W 81-59 | -24.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 21 | vs CLEM | L 67-70 | +4.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 23 | vs XAV | L 68-78 | -5.5 | L −15.5 | 140.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 30 | vs MERC | W 70-38 | -21.5 | W +10.5 | 127.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 3 | vs COPP | W 91-49 | -31.5 | W +10.5 | 134.5 | O 140 |
| Dec 6 | vs WAKE | L 66-75 | -2.5 | L −11.5 | 143.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsMSM
MSMW 70-54
−3.5
6
vsCAM
CAMW 73-65
−7.5
9
vsLEH
LEHW 69-47
+4.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 71-49
+16.5
17
vsLAF
LAFW 81-59
−2.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 67-70
+1.5
23
vsXAV
XAVL 68-78
−15.5
30
vsMERC
MERCW 70-38
+10.5
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 91-49
+10.5
6
vsWAKE
WAKEL 66-75
−11.5
covered 5didn’t cover 5avg +0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsMSM
MSMW 70-54
−12.5
6
vsCAM
CAMW 73-65
−0.5
9
vsLEH
LEHW 69-47
−23.5
13
vsPITT
PITTW 71-49
−14.5
17
vsLAF
LAFW 81-59
+4.5
21
vsCLEM
CLEML 67-70
+4.5
23
vsXAV
XAVL 68-78
+5.5
30
vsMERC
MERCW 70-38
−19.5
3
vsCOPP
COPPW 91-49
+5.5
6
vsWAKE
WAKEL 66-75
−2.5
over 4under 6avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Little Rock
1-7 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Arkansas St78–90
- L@ C Arkansas47–85
- L@ S Illinois65–74
- L@ Texas St56–65
- L@ Murray St68–89
3 days since their last game.
West Virginia
7-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Wake Forest66–75
- Wvs Coppin St91–49
- Wvs Mercyhurst70–38
- Lvs Xavier68–78
- Lvs Clemson67–70
3 days since their last game.