CFSB Center · at Murray St
Closing line
MUR -13.5✓ MUR covered by 7.5
MUR -13.5✓ MUR covered by 7.5Closing total153.5Over by 3.5
 LR | This season | MUR |
|---|---|---|
| 1-2 | Record | 3-1 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 4-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LR 68–84 MUR · ✓ MUR (91%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LR | 23 | 45 | 68 |
| MUR | 43 | 46 | 89 |
1st half: LR 23, MUR 43 (MUR by 20). The model had MUR by 9.0 and a total of 71.2 (actual 66).
Team stats
| LR | MUR | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-61 44% | Field goals | 29-57 51% |
| 2-6 33% | 3-pointers | 14-30 47% |
| 12-16 75% | Free throws | 17-23 74% |
| 35 16 off | Rebounds | 32 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 19 | Fouls | 17 |
| 42 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| LR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Terrion Burgess F | 34 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 5-7 | 0-1 |
| Johnathan Lawson G | 33 | 17 | 6 | 5 | 6-14 | 1-3 |
| Tuongthach Gatkek F | 29 | 15 | 6 | 2 | 7-10 | 0-0 |
| Kachi Nzeh F | 25 | 11 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Braxton Bayless G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cameron Wallace F | 30 | 9 | 6 | 0 | 4-14 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Pennyfeather F | 12 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Truman Claytor IV F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Christian Hughes G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tracy Steele Jr. G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Joseph Thomas, Travonne Jackson, Kellen Robinson, Khasen Robinson, KK Robinson
| MUR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fredrick King C | 25 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| JJ Traynor F | 22 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Mason Miller F | 22 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 5-9 | 4-6 |
| Javon Jackson G | 21 | 13 | 1 | 2 | 4-11 | 3-6 |
| Layne Taylor G | 17 | 7 | 3 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| KJ Tenner G | 23 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Mathis Courbon G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Roman Domon G | 18 | 9 | 2 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Brayden Shorter G | 18 | 16 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 4-9 |
| Dylan Anderson F | 14 | 3 | 4 | 1 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Brock Vice F | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tristian Ford, Lachlan Crate, Dillon Butler, Ben Shtolzberg
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketMUR -13.5
ModelMUR -15.2
Model edgeMUR +1.7
W MUR covered
Total
Market153.5
Model151.9
Model edgeUnder 1.6
L Over
Projected score
LR 68.4 · MUR 83.5
LR 68 · MUR 89
Win probability
MUR 91%
1st half
Spread
MUR -9.0
MUR -20.0
Total
71.2
66 points
Projected score
LR 31.1 · MUR 40.1
LR 23 · MUR 43
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMUR -14.5
1 → LR
CloseMUR -13.5
1 pt toward LR
Total
Open161.5
▼ 8
Close153.5
Down 8 since the open
Moneyline
LR +900 · MUR -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MUR -14.5 · closed MUR -13.5 · moved 1 toward LRmodel MUR -15
model MUR -15
Opened 161.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 8 downmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LRlast 3 | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
| MURlast 4 | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% | 4-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LR 1–0 MURLR leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · LR 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 18, 2023-24 | MUR 66 @ LR 80 | LR +1.5 | LR W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Little Rock
3 games played
Straight up
1-2
33% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −8.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −8.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
10
@
MILW
MILWL 72-92
−16.5
12
@
MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−18.5
15
@
BALL
BALLW 68-62
+8.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
10
@MILW
MILWL 72-92
+7.5
12
@MARQ
MARQL 49-89
−17.5
15
@BALL
BALLW 68-62
−16.5
over 1under 2avg −8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Murray St
4 games played
Straight up
3-1
75% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-0
100% overs · avg +16.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
OMA
OMAW 85-77
+2.5
7
vs
MVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+9.5
11
@
SMU
SMUL 91-102
−0.5
15
vs
NICH
NICHW 99-79
+5.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOMA
OMAW 85-77
+8.5
7
vsMVSU
MVSUW 108-60
+8.5
11
@SMU
SMUL 91-102
+28.5
15
vsNICH
NICHW 99-79
+20.5
over 4under 0avg +16.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Little Rock
1-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Ball State68–62
- L@ Marquette49–89
- L@ Milwaukee72–92
3 days since their last game.
Murray St
3-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Missouri Valley Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Nicholls99–79
- L@ SMU91–102
- Wvs Miss Valley St108–60
- Wvs Omaha85–77
3 days since their last game.