Crisler Center · at Michigan
Closing line
MICH -17.5✓ MICH covered by 10.5
MICH -17.5✓ MICH covered by 10.5Closing total156.5Under by 6.5
 VILL | This season | MICH |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 8-0 |
| 6-2 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: VILL 66–86 MICH · ✓ MICH (96%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VILL | 23 | 38 | 61 |
| MICH | 53 | 36 | 89 |
1st half: VILL 23, MICH 53 (MICH by 30). The model had MICH by 11.7 and a total of 70.9 (actual 76).
Team stats
| VILL | MICH | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-62 34% | Field goals | 33-69 48% |
| 10-37 27% | 3-pointers | 9-33 27% |
| 9-14 64% | Free throws | 14-25 56% |
| 33 6 off | Rebounds | 53 15 off |
| 6 | Assists | 17 |
| 10 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 21 | Fouls | 12 |
| 10 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Matt Hodge F | 30 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-7 | 1-7 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 25 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4-11 | 1-5 |
| Duke Brennan F | 22 | 5 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Lindsay G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Tyler Perkins G | 18 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Askew G | 26 | 18 | 2 | 1 | 6-16 | 5-13 |
| Tafara Gapare F | 24 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Malachi Palmer G | 19 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Chris Jeffrey G | 10 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Braden Pierce C | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zion Stanford G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Wade Chiddick, Nico Onyekwere, Malcolm Flaggs
| MICH | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Yaxel Lendeborg F | 25 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Elliot Cadeau G | 24 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 7-13 | 4-8 |
| Aday Mara C | 23 | 11 | 8 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Morez Johnson Jr. F | 22 | 7 | 10 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Nimari Burnett G | 19 | 5 | 1 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey McKenney G | 20 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-6 |
| Roddy Gayle Jr. G | 19 | 9 | 7 | 2 | 4-9 | 0-2 |
| L.J. Cason G | 18 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Will Tschetter F | 12 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Oscar Goodman F | 7 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Malick Kordel C | 5 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Winters Grady G | 5 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Howard Eisley Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Harrison Hochberg, Charlie May, Ricky Liburd
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMICH -15.5
2 → MICH
CloseMICH -17.5
2 pts toward MICH
Total
Open150.5
▲ 6
Close156.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
VILL +1300 · MICH -2800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MICH -15.5 · closed MICH -17.5 · moved 2 toward MICHmodel MICH -19.5
model MICH -19.5
Opened 150.5 · closed 156.5 · moved 6 upmodel 151.5
model 151.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MICH -17.5 | MICH -19.6 | MICH +2.1 | W MICH covered |
| Total | 156.5 | 151.4 | Under 5.1 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | VILL 65.9 · MICH 85.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MICH -11.7 | MICH -30.0 |
| 1H total | 70.9 | 76 |
| 1H projected score | VILL 29.6 · MICH 41.3 | VILL 23 · MICH 53 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| VILLlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 6-2 75% | 4-4 50% |
| MICHlast 8 | 8-0 100% | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
VILL 1–0 MICHVILL leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · VILL 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Mar 24, 2021-22 | MICH 55 vs VILL 63 | VILL -4.5 | VILL W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Villanova
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
6-2
75% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs BYU | L 66-71 | +9.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 8 | vs QUC | W 94-74 | -17.5 | W +2.5 | 150.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 11 | vs SHU | W 94-60 | -19.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs DUQ | W 87-77 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 151.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 19 | @ LAS | W 70-55 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 25 | vs ODU | W 89-75 | -22.5 | L −8.5 | 147.5 | O 164 |
| Dec 1 | vs TEM | W 74-56 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 130 |
| Dec 6 | vs PENN | W 90-63 | -18.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | O 153 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
−0.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
+2.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
−8.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
+3.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+8.5
covered 6didn’t cover 2avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
15
vsDUQ
DUQW 87-77
+12.5
19
@LAS
LASW 70-55
−19.5
25
vsODU
ODUW 89-75
+16.5
1
vsTEM
TEMW 74-56
−16.5
6
vsPENN
PENNW 90-63
+2.5
over 4under 4avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan
8 games played
Straight up
8-0
100% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +14.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg +1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs OAK | W 121-78 | -24.5 | W +18.5 | 156.5 | O 199 |
| Nov 11 | vs WAKE | W 85-84 | -15.5 | L −14.5 | 168.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 14 | @ TCU | W 67-63 | -7.5 | L −3.5 | 164.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTSU | W 86-61 | -27.5 | L −2.5 | 159.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SDSU | W 94-54 | -6.5 | W +33.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 25 | vs AUB | W 102-72 | -4.5 | W +25.5 | 163.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 26 | vs GONZ | W 101-61 | +3.5 | W +43.5 | 165.5 | U 162 |
| Dec 6 | vs RUTG | W 101-60 | -25.5 | W +15.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+18.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
−14.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−3.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−2.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
+33.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+25.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
+43.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+15.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +14.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsOAK
OAKW 121-78
+42.5
11
vsWAKE
WAKEW 85-84
+0.5
14
@TCU
TCUW 67-63
−34.5
19
vsMTSU
MTSUW 86-61
−12.5
24
vsSDSU
SDSUW 94-54
−0.5
25
vsAUB
AUBW 102-72
+10.5
26
vsGONZ
GONZW 101-61
−3.5
6
vsRUTG
RUTGW 101-60
+7.5
over 4under 4avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Villanova
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Penn90–63
- Wvs Temple74–56
- Wvs Old Dominion89–75
- W@ La Salle70–55
- Wvs Duquesne87–77
3 days since their last game.
Michigan
8-0 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rutgers101–60
- Wvs Gonzaga101–61
- Wvs Auburn102–72
- Wvs San Diego St94–54
- Wvs MTSU86–61
3 days since their last game.