Finneran Pavilion · at Villanova
Closing line
VILL -10.5✓ DUQ covered by 0.5
VILL -10.5✓ DUQ covered by 0.5Closing total151.5Over by 12.5
 DUQ | This season | VILL |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 2-1 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 3-0 |
| 3-0 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DUQ 69–82 VILL · ✓ VILL (87%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUQ | 35 | 42 | 77 |
| VILL | 45 | 42 | 87 |
1st half: DUQ 35, VILL 45 (VILL by 10). The model had VILL by 7.6 and a total of 70.8 (actual 80).
Team stats
| DUQ | VILL | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-55 47% | Field goals | 27-62 44% |
| 12-23 52% | 3-pointers | 8-21 38% |
| 13-20 65% | Free throws | 25-33 76% |
| 29 12 off | Rebounds | 41 21 off |
| 12 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 0 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 25 | Fouls | 20 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 20 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| DUQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tarence Guinyard G | 32 | 30 | 3 | 4 | 10-15 | 5-6 |
| Jimmie Williams G | 31 | 18 | 4 | 1 | 6-13 | 4-8 |
| Cam Crawford G | 26 | 1 | 0 | 3 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jakub Necas F | 26 | 0 | 8 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| John Hugley IV F | 24 | 8 | 1 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Maximus Edwards G | 22 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-9 | 0-1 |
| Stef van Bussel C | 14 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| David Dixon F | 13 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Dom Aekins G | 8 | 9 | 1 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-1 |
| Brandon Hall G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Lazar Milosevic F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jake DiMichele, Lucas Prolla, Seamus McDermott, Ethan Anish, Arness Lawson, Frederik Jellum, Alex Williams
| VILL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Bryce Lindsay G | 32 | 18 | 2 | 3 | 6-12 | 3-8 |
| Matt Hodge F | 31 | 15 | 4 | 2 | 5-13 | 2-6 |
| Acaden Lewis G | 30 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 5-12 | 0-3 |
| Duke Brennan F | 27 | 8 | 13 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Tyler Perkins G | 24 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Devin Askew G | 22 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-2 |
| Malachi Palmer G | 15 | 6 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Chris Jeffrey G | 10 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-0 |
| Braden Pierce C | 6 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Zion Stanford G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tafara Gapare, Wade Chiddick, Malcolm Flaggs, Nico Onyekwere
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenVILL -10.5
no move
CloseVILL -10.5
No change since the open
Total
Open148.5
▲ 3
Close151.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
DUQ +450 · VILL -700
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened VILL -10.5 · unchangedmodel VILL -13
model VILL -13
Opened 148.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | VILL -10.5 | VILL -12.9 | VILL +2.4 | L DUQ covered |
| Total | 151.5 | 151.1 | Under 0.4 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | DUQ 69.1 · VILL 82 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | VILL -7.6 | VILL -10.0 |
| 1H total | 70.8 | 80 |
| 1H projected score | DUQ 31.6 · VILL 39.2 | DUQ 35 · VILL 45 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DUQlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% | 3-0 100% |
| VILLlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% | 1-2 33% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Duquesne
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +8.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
NIA
NIAW 83-63
+2.5
7
vs
SHU
SHUW 92-80
−0.5
11
vs
QUC
QUCW 87-81
−6.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsNIA
NIAW 83-63
+6.5
7
vsSHU
SHUW 92-80
+14.5
11
vsQUC
QUCW 87-81
+5.5
over 3under 0avg +8.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Villanova
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
3-0
100% covers · avg +7.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BYU
BYUL 66-71
+4.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+2.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
+14.5
covered 3didn’t cover 0avg +7.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBYU
BYUL 66-71
−16.5
8
vsQUC
QUCW 94-74
+17.5
11
vsSHU
SHUW 94-60
−6.5
over 1under 2avg −1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Duquesne
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Queens University Royals87–81
- Wvs Sacred Heart92–80
- Wvs Niagara83–63
4 days since their last game.
Villanova
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Sacred Heart94–60
- Wvs Queens University Royals94–74
- Lvs BYU66–71
4 days since their last game.