Chaifetz Arena · at Saint Louis
Closing line
SLU -8.5✓ SLU covered by 5.5
SLU -8.5✓ SLU covered by 5.5Closing total167.5Under by 25.5
 GCU | This season | SLU |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 3-0 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 2-1 | O/U | 3-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: GCU 79–85 SLU · ✓ SLU (72%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCU | 29 | 35 | 64 |
| SLU | 38 | 40 | 78 |
1st half: GCU 29, SLU 38 (SLU by 9). The model had SLU by 3.8 and a total of 76.7 (actual 67).
Team stats
| GCU | SLU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-67 28% | Field goals | 27-59 46% |
| 7-28 25% | 3-pointers | 10-27 37% |
| 19-22 86% | Free throws | 14-17 82% |
| 39 15 off | Rebounds | 45 10 off |
| 10 | Assists | 16 |
| 8 | Steals | 8 |
| 7 | Blocks | 4 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 18 |
| 15 | Fouls | 22 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 34 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 30 |
Players
| GCU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nana Owusu-Anane F | 36 | 6 | 11 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Makaih Williams G | 34 | 20 | 5 | 2 | 4-17 | 1-9 |
| Jaden Henley G | 27 | 12 | 5 | 2 | 4-13 | 1-5 |
| Dusty Stromer G | 24 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 2-8 | 2-5 |
| Efe Demirel C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Shaw G | 20 | 6 | 7 | 2 | 2-7 | 1-3 |
| Wilhelm Breidenbach F | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Brian Moore Jr. G | 17 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 2-8 | 1-3 |
| Kaleb Smith F | 11 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 1-1 |
| Dennis Evans C | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jack Sawyer, Braylon Johnson, Luke Shaw, Evan Boisdur, Cole Pepe
| SLU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dion Brown G | 29 | 6 | 15 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Amari McCottry G | 28 | 20 | 5 | 4 | 8-13 | 0-4 |
| Robbie Avila C | 26 | 14 | 2 | 3 | 5-10 | 4-7 |
| Trey Green G | 21 | 7 | 5 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Quentin Jones G | 18 | 6 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Paul Otieno F | 21 | 7 | 6 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Ishan Sharma F | 20 | 8 | 0 | 2 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Brady Dunlap F | 14 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Kellen Thames G | 10 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Cam Hutson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jax Kerr F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jaden Schertz G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Holmes G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kalu Anya, Luke Laczkowski, Badara Diakite, Dylan Warlick
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSLU -8.5
ModelSLU -6.5
Model edgeGCU +2.0
L SLU covered
Total
Market167.5
Model163.9
Model edgeUnder 3.6
W Under
Projected score
GCU 78.7 · SLU 85.2
GCU 64 · SLU 78
Win probability
SLU 72%
1st half
Spread
SLU -3.8
SLU -9.0
Total
76.7
67 points
Projected score
GCU 36.5 · SLU 40.3
GCU 29 · SLU 38
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSLU -6.5
2 → SLU
CloseSLU -8.5
2 pts toward SLU
Total
Open165.5
▲ 2
Close167.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
GCU +300 · SLU -400
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SLU -6.5 · closed SLU -8.5 · moved 2 toward SLUmodel SLU -6.5
model SLU -6.5
Opened 165.5 · closed 167.5 · moved 2 upmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| GCUlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
| SLUlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
GCU 1–0 SLUGCU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · GCU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 22, 2024-25 | SLU 72 @ GCU 73 | GCU -9.5 | SLU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Grand Canyon
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg −4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
PFW
PFWW 90-71
+4.5
7
vs
YSU
YSUL 81-90
−24.5
10
vs
NIU
NIUW 88-59
+6.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg −4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsPFW
PFWW 90-71
+5.5
7
vsYSU
YSUL 81-90
+18.5
10
vsNIU
NIUW 88-59
−16.5
over 2under 1avg +2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Saint Louis
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +5.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +17.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vs
CHST
CHSTW 108-86
−8.5
10
vs
LIN
LINW 109-66
+18.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSEMO
SEMOW 92-67
+5.5
6
vsCHST
CHSTW 108-86
+38.5
10
vsLIN
LINW 109-66
+9.5
over 3under 0avg +17.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Grand Canyon
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs N Illinois88–59
- Lvs Youngstown St81–90
- Wvs Purdue FW90–71
5 days since their last game.
Saint Louis
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions109–66
- Wvs Chicago St108–86
- Wvs SE Missouri92–67
5 days since their last game.