Simon Skjodt Assembly Hall · at Indiana · Conference game
Closing line
IU -14.5✓ IU covered by 26.5
IU -14.5✓ IU covered by 26.5Closing total152.5Over by 32.5
 PSU | This season | IU |
|---|---|---|
| 8-1 | Record | 7-2 |
| 3-6 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 4-5 | O/U | 5-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: PSU 71–83 IU · ✓ IU (86%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSU | 26 | 46 | 72 |
| IU | 58 | 55 | 113 |
1st half: PSU 26, IU 58 (IU by 32). The model had IU by 7.3 and a total of 72.1 (actual 84).
Team stats
| PSU | IU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-56 46% | Field goals | 42-61 69% |
| 5-16 31% | 3-pointers | 17-31 55% |
| 15-22 68% | Free throws | 12-15 80% |
| 21 8 off | Rebounds | 28 4 off |
| 6 | Assists | 30 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 0 | Blocks | 1 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 20 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo G | 31 | 19 | 2 | 2 | 6-11 | 0-1 |
| Melih Tunca G | 25 | 13 | 2 | 1 | 4-10 | 2-4 |
| Ivan Juric F | 24 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Josh Reed F | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-3 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 16 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Freddie Dilione V G | 20 | 14 | 3 | 1 | 6-9 | 1-2 |
| Eli Rice G | 19 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-5 | 2-2 |
| Tibor Mirtic F | 17 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Mason Blackwood F | 13 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 12 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Justin Houser C | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chris Lotito, Reggie Grodin
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Tucker DeVries F | 32 | 12 | 1 | 6 | 5-10 | 2-6 |
| Tayton Conerway G | 25 | 17 | 3 | 7 | 7-9 | 2-2 |
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 24 | 44 | 4 | 4 | 16-22 | 10-15 |
| Conor Enright G | 20 | 2 | 1 | 8 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Sam Alexis F | 16 | 0 | 2 | 3 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nick Dorn G | 25 | 13 | 2 | 0 | 5-7 | 2-4 |
| Trent Sisley F | 22 | 4 | 8 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Reed Bailey F | 21 | 18 | 5 | 1 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Aleksa Ristic G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Ian Stephens G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Drew Snively G | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tryce Grensing, Andrej Acimovic, Josh Harris, Deuce Drake, Jasai Miles, Jordan Rayford
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketIU -14.5
ModelIU -12.3
Model edgePSU +2.2
L IU covered
Total
Market152.5
Model154.1
Model edgeOver 1.6
W Over
Projected score
PSU 70.9 · IU 83.2
PSU 72 · IU 113
Win probability
IU 86%
1st half
Spread
IU -7.3
IU -32.0
Total
72.1
84 points
Projected score
PSU 32.4 · IU 39.7
PSU 26 · IU 58
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIU -13.5
1 → IU
CloseIU -14.5
1 pt toward IU
Total
Open149.5
▲ 3
Close152.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
PSU +800 · IU -1350
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IU -13.5 · closed IU -14.5 · moved 1 toward IUmodel IU -12.5
model IU -12.5
Opened 149.5 · closed 152.5 · moved 3 upmodel 154
model 154
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| PSUlast 9 | 8-1 89% | 3-6 33% | 4-5 44% |
| IUlast 9 | 7-2 78% | 5-4 56% | 5-4 56% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 9 since 2021-22
PSU 5–4 IUPSU leads · 9 games since 2021-22 · IU has won the last 3 meetings · PSU 6-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 26, 2024-25 | PSU 78 @ IU 83 | IU -6.5 | PSU W |
| Jan 5, 2024-25 | IU 77 @ PSU 71 | PSU -7.5 | IU W |
| Mar 14, 2023-24 | PSU 59 vs IU 61 | IU -1.5 | IU W |
| Feb 24, 2023-24 | IU 74 @ PSU 83 | PSU -3.5 | PSU W |
| Feb 3, 2023-24 | PSU 85 @ IU 71 | IU -6.5 | PSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Penn State
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAIR | W 76-68 | -15.5 | L −7.5 | 151.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 8 | @ NHVN | W 87-43 | -18.5 | W +25.5 | 143.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 11 | vs NAVY | W 80-71 | -11.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 15 | vs LAS | W 83-69 | -8.5 | W +5.5 | 145.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 19 | vs HARV | W 84-80 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 142.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 22 | vs PROV | L 65-77 | +3.5 | L −8.5 | 165.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 25 | vs BU | W 96-87 | -14.5 | L −5.5 | 142.5 | O 183 |
| Nov 29 | vs SHU | W 90-59 | -14.5 | W +16.5 | 160.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs CAM | W 87-76 | -14.5 | L −3.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
+25.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−2.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+5.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
−8.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−8.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
−5.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
+16.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
−3.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAIR
FAIRW 76-68
−7.5
8
@NHVN
NHVNW 87-43
−13.5
11
vsNAVY
NAVYW 80-71
−4.5
15
vsLAS
LASW 83-69
+6.5
19
vsHARV
HARVW 84-80
+21.5
22
vsPROV
PROVL 65-77
−23.5
25
vsBU
BUW 96-87
+40.5
29
vsSHU
SHUW 90-59
−11.5
2
vsCAM
CAMW 87-76
+8.5
over 4under 5avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Indiana
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg −4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs MARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @ MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 6 | vs LOU | L 78-87 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 162.5 | O 165 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
−5.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
6
vsLOU
LOUL 78-87
+2.5
over 5under 4avg −4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Penn State
8-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Campbell87–76
- Wvs Sacred Heart90–59
- Wvs Boston U96–87
- Lvs Providence65–77
- Wvs Harvard84–80
A week or more of rest.
Indiana
7-2 overall · 0-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Louisville78–87
- L@ Minnesota64–73
- Wvs Bethune100–56
- Wvs Kansas St86–69
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions73–53
3 days since their last game.