Gainbridge Fieldhouse · Neutral site
Closing line
LOU -3.5✓ LOU covered by 5.5
LOU -3.5✓ LOU covered by 5.5Closing total162.5Over by 2.5
 IU | This season | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| 7-1 | Record | 7-1 |
| 5-3 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 4-4 | O/U | 4-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: IU 77–82 LOU · ✓ LOU (65%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IU | 27 | 51 | 78 |
| LOU | 41 | 46 | 87 |
1st half: IU 27, LOU 41 (LOU by 14). The model had LOU by 2.6 and a total of 74.5 (actual 68).
Team stats
| IU | LOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-63 41% | Field goals | 25-54 46% |
| 11-34 32% | 3-pointers | 13-31 42% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 24-28 86% |
| 34 10 off | Rebounds | 34 7 off |
| 14 | Assists | 15 |
| 4 | Steals | 9 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 21 | Fouls | 19 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 15 |
Players
| IU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Lamar Wilkerson G | 36 | 12 | 1 | 4 | 5-15 | 2-9 |
| Tucker DeVries F | 35 | 26 | 5 | 1 | 5-14 | 4-11 |
| Conor Enright G | 34 | 2 | 3 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-3 |
| Reed Bailey F | 24 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Tayton Conerway G | 21 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trent Sisley F | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-1 |
| Sam Alexis F | 17 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-7 | 0-0 |
| Nick Dorn G | 16 | 15 | 5 | 0 | 5-7 | 5-7 |
Did not play: Jasai Miles, Tryce Grensing, Andrej Acimovic, Drew Snively, Aleksa Ristic, Josh Harris, Ian Stephens, Jordan Rayford, Deuce Drake
| LOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Vonne Hadley G | 33 | 15 | 6 | 1 | 6-13 | 1-5 |
| Ryan Conwell G | 31 | 21 | 4 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Isaac McKneely G | 30 | 15 | 3 | 1 | 5-9 | 5-9 |
| Sananda Fru F | 30 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. G | 27 | 9 | 1 | 3 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Adrian Wooley G | 19 | 0 | 6 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Kobe Rodgers G | 13 | 12 | 2 | 1 | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Khani Rooths F | 7 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Aly Khalifa C | 6 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Kasean Pryor F | 4 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Vangelis Zougris, Mouhamed Camara, Will Hanke, Cole Sherman, Spencer Legg
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenIU -5.5
9 → LOU
CloseLOU -3.5
9 pts toward LOU
Total
Open157.5
▲ 5
Close162.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
IU +150 · LOU -180
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened IU -5.5 · closed LOU -3.5 · moved 9 toward LOUmodel LOU -4.5
model LOU -4.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 162.5 · moved 5 upmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | LOU -3.5 | LOU -4.5 | LOU +1.0 | W LOU covered |
| Total | 162.5 | 159.3 | Under 3.2 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | IU 77.4 · LOU 81.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | LOU -2.6 | LOU -14.0 |
| 1H total | 74.5 | 68 |
| 1H projected score | IU 36 · LOU 38.5 | IU 27 · LOU 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| IUlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% |
| LOUlast 8 | 7-1 88% | 5-3 63% | 4-4 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
IU 1–1 LOUSeries tied · 2 games since 2021-22 · IU 1-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024-25 | LOU 89 vs IU 61 | IU -3.5 | LOU W |
| Nov 20, 2023-24 | IU 74 vs LOU 66 | LOU +7.5 | IU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Indiana
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −4.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | vs AAMU | W 98-51 | -30.5 | W +16.5 | 147.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 9 | vs MARQ | W 100-77 | -3.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs MILW | W 101-70 | -24.5 | W +6.5 | 165.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 16 | vs UIW | W 69-61 | -28.5 | L −20.5 | 157.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 20 | vs LIN | W 73-53 | -32.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 25 | vs KSU | W 86-69 | -10.5 | W +6.5 | 164.5 | U 155 |
| Nov 29 | vs BCU | W 100-56 | -29.5 | W +14.5 | 148.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 3 | @ MINN | L 64-73 | -7.5 | L −16.5 | 144.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+16.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+19.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+6.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−20.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−12.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
+6.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+14.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−16.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
vsAAMU
AAMUW 98-51
+1.5
9
vsMARQ
MARQW 100-77
+20.5
12
vsMILW
MILWW 101-70
+5.5
16
vsUIW
UIWW 69-61
−27.5
20
vsLIN
LINW 73-53
−29.5
25
vsKSU
KSUW 86-69
−9.5
29
vsBCU
BCUW 100-56
+7.5
3
@MINN
MINNL 64-73
−7.5
over 4under 4avg −4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisville
8 games played
Straight up
7-1
88% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-4
50% overs · avg −4.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SCST | W 104-45 | -35.5 | W +23.5 | 159.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 6 | vs JKST | W 106-70 | -38.5 | L −2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 11 | vs UK | W 96-88 | -5.5 | W +2.5 | 173.5 | O 184 |
| Nov 15 | vs OHIO | W 106-81 | -31.5 | L −6.5 | 174.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 21 | vs CIN | W 74-64 | -8.5 | W +1.5 | 163.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 24 | vs EMU | W 87-46 | -33.5 | W +7.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 26 | vs NJIT | W 104-47 | -44.5 | W +12.5 | 158.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 3 | @ ARK | L 80-89 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 166.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
+23.5
6
vsJKST
JKSTW 106-70
−2.5
11
vsUK
UKW 96-88
+2.5
15
vsOHIO
OHIOW 106-81
−6.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
+1.5
24
vsEMU
EMUW 87-46
+7.5
26
vsNJIT
NJITW 104-47
+12.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 80-89
−10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
−10.5
6
vsJKST
JKSTW 106-70
+10.5
11
vsUK
UKW 96-88
+10.5
15
vsOHIO
OHIOW 106-81
+12.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
−25.5
24
vsEMU
EMUW 87-46
−29.5
26
vsNJIT
NJITW 104-47
−7.5
3
@ARK
ARKL 80-89
+2.5
over 4under 4avg −4.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Indiana
7-1 overall · 0-1 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Minnesota64–73
- Wvs Bethune100–56
- Wvs Kansas St86–69
- Wvs Lindenwood Lions73–53
- Wvs Incarnate Word69–61
3 days since their last game.
Louisville
7-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Arkansas80–89
- Wvs NJIT104–47
- Wvs E Michigan87–46
- Wvs Cincinnati74–64
- Wvs Ohio106–81
3 days since their last game.