KFC Yum! Center · at Louisville
Closing line
LOU -44.5✓ LOU covered by 12.5
LOU -44.5✓ LOU covered by 12.5Closing total158.5Under by 7.5
 NJIT | This season | LOU |
|---|---|---|
| 3-4 | Record | 6-0 |
| 5-2 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 3-4 | O/U | 3-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: NJIT 58–96 LOU · ✓ LOU (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NJIT | 20 | 27 | 47 |
| LOU | 52 | 52 | 104 |
1st half: NJIT 20, LOU 52 (LOU by 32). The model had LOU by 22.5 and a total of 72.0 (actual 72).
Team stats
| NJIT | LOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-58 31% | Field goals | 36-73 49% |
| 7-27 26% | 3-pointers | 20-48 42% |
| 4-7 57% | Free throws | 12-14 86% |
| 21 3 off | Rebounds | 59 20 off |
| 6 | Assists | 24 |
| 3 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 13 | Fouls | 11 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 5 |
Players
| NJIT | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| David Bolden G | 22 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-3 |
| Jordan Rogers F | 22 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Malachi Arrington F | 21 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-6 | 0-0 |
| Ari Fulton G | 20 | 6 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Jeremy Clayville G | 16 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sebastian Robinson G | 22 | 7 | 4 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-4 |
| Rocco Awad G | 18 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Quentin Duncan G | 17 | 9 | 0 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-3 |
| John Kelly F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Zack Scherler F | 14 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jeffrey Akintolu F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cameron Piggee G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Stefan Jimenez-Vojnic, Melvyn Ebonkoli, AJ Altobelli
| LOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| J'Vonne Hadley G | 25 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-7 | 2-2 |
| Mikel Brown Jr. G | 25 | 9 | 5 | 7 | 3-11 | 3-10 |
| Ryan Conwell G | 24 | 32 | 9 | 6 | 9-17 | 8-15 |
| Isaac McKneely G | 22 | 17 | 3 | 0 | 6-11 | 5-10 |
| Sananda Fru F | 18 | 8 | 6 | 1 | 4-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Adrian Wooley G | 22 | 15 | 5 | 1 | 5-6 | 2-3 |
| Khani Rooths F | 19 | 5 | 6 | 0 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Kobe Rodgers G | 19 | 2 | 9 | 2 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Aly Khalifa C | 13 | 0 | 1 | 6 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Vangelis Zougris F | 10 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Cole Sherman G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Spencer Legg G | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Will Hanke G | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kasean Pryor, Mouhamed Camara
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketLOU -44.5
ModelLOU -37.5
Model edgeNJIT +7.0
L LOU covered
Total
Market158.5
Model153.7
Model edgeUnder 4.8
W Under
Projected score
NJIT 58.1 · LOU 95.6
NJIT 47 · LOU 104
Win probability
LOU 100%
1st half
Spread
LOU -22.5
LOU -32.0
Total
72.0
72 points
Projected score
NJIT 24.7 · LOU 47.2
NJIT 20 · LOU 52
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenLOU -42.5
2 → LOU
CloseLOU -44.5
2 pts toward LOU
Total
Open158.5
no move
Close158.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened LOU -42.5 · closed LOU -44.5 · moved 2 toward LOUmodel LOU -37.5
model LOU -37.5
Opened 158.5 · unchangedmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| NJITlast 7 | 3-4 43% | 5-2 71% | 3-4 43% |
| LOUlast 6 | 6-0 100% | 4-2 67% | 3-3 50% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
NJIT
7 games played
Straight up
3-4
43% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-4
43% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ FOR | W 72-61 | +14.5 | W +25.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 8 | vs FAIR | L 53-74 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 145.5 | U 127 |
| Nov 11 | @ L-MD | W 66-64 | +10.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 15 | vs FDU | W 93-81 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 146.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 18 | @ DREX | L 43-75 | +13.5 | L −18.5 | 138.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 22 | @ NAVY | L 70-86 | +17.5 | W +1.5 | 140.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 24 | @ CIN | L 67-94 | +34.5 | W +7.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@FOR
FORW 72-61
+25.5
8
vsFAIR
FAIRL 53-74
−14.5
11
@L-MD
L-MDW 66-64
+12.5
15
vsFDU
FDUW 93-81
+9.5
18
@DREX
DREXL 43-75
−18.5
22
@NAVY
NAVYL 70-86
+1.5
24
@CIN
CINL 67-94
+7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@FOR
FORW 72-61
−14.5
8
vsFAIR
FAIRL 53-74
−18.5
11
@L-MD
L-MDW 66-64
−9.5
15
vsFDU
FDUW 93-81
+27.5
18
@DREX
DREXL 43-75
−20.5
22
@NAVY
NAVYL 70-86
+15.5
24
@CIN
CINL 67-94
+19.5
over 3under 4avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Louisville
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +4.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-3
50% overs · avg −5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SCST
SCSTW 104-45
+23.5
6
vs
JKST
JKSTW 106-70
−2.5
11
vs
UK
UKW 96-88
+2.5
15
vs
OHIO
OHIOW 106-81
−6.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
+1.5
24
vs
EMU
EMUW 87-46
+7.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +4.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSCST
SCSTW 104-45
−10.5
6
vsJKST
JKSTW 106-70
+10.5
11
vsUK
UKW 96-88
+10.5
15
vsOHIO
OHIOW 106-81
+12.5
21
vsCIN
CINW 74-64
−25.5
24
vsEMU
EMUW 87-46
−29.5
over 3under 3avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
NJIT
3-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · America East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Cincinnati67–94
- L@ Navy70–86
- L@ Drexel43–75
- Wvs FDU93–81
- W@ Loyola MD66–64
2 days since their last game.
Louisville
6-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs E Michigan87–46
- Wvs Cincinnati74–64
- Wvs Ohio106–81
- Wvs Kentucky96–88
- Wvs Jackson St106–70
2 days since their last game.