Lindenwood Lions at Indiana Hoosiers: Model Line and Edge

Thu, Nov 20, 6:00 PM ETSimon Skjodt Assembly Hall · at Indiana

Final

#38IUIndiana73▲ winner

Closing lineIU -32.5✓ LIN covered by 12.5

Closing total155.5Under by 29.5

Season records: Lindenwood Lions and Indiana
LIN	This season	IU
1-3	Record	4-0
1-3	ATS	3-1
3-1	O/U	3-1

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: LIN 62–93 IU · ✓ IU (100%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
LIN	18	35	53
IU	34	39	73

1st half: LIN 18, IU 34 (IU by 16). The model had IU by 18.5 and a total of 72.9 (actual 52).

Team stats

LIN		IU
17-68 25%	Field goals	23-61 38%
3-18 17%	3-pointers	9-28 32%
16-20 80%	Free throws	18-27 67%
51 20 off	Rebounds	44 11 off
8	Assists	13
4	Steals	8
7	Blocks	5
14	Turnovers	8
22	Fouls	15
22	Points in paint	20
4	Fast-break points	9

Players

LIN	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jadis Jones G	33	12	11	1	3-10	0-1
Mekhi Cooper G	32	7	2	2	3-12	1-5
Dontrez Williams G	27	0	9	3	0-10	0-1
Clayton Jackson G	26	7	2	1	3-7	0-1
Milos Nenadic C	26	6	9	1	2-10	0-2
Bench
Anias Futrell G	27	12	5	0	4-15	2-7
Robert Lewis F	14	5	2	0	2-4	0-1
Jeremiah Talton F	13	3	3	0	0-0	0-0
Todd Bieg F	2	1	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Jaylon McDaniel, Jalen Bouknight, Tidiane d'Almeida, William Campbell, Daniel Kwon, Kevin Anthony

IU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Tucker DeVries F	34	25	3	3	7-15	5-10
Lamar Wilkerson G	31	10	4	2	4-16	1-7
Tayton Conerway G	29	7	6	4	2-5	1-4
Conor Enright G	26	3	2	3	1-1	1-1
Reed Bailey F	16	6	2	0	2-5	0-0
Bench
Sam Alexis F	24	8	10	1	2-3	0-0
Trent Sisley F	17	8	6	0	4-11	0-2
Nick Dorn G	15	6	1	0	1-4	1-3
Jasai Miles G	7	0	2	0	0-1	0-1
Tryce Grensing G	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Ian Stephens, Josh Harris, Jordan Rayford, Deuce Drake, Aleksa Ristic, Andrej Acimovic, Drew Snively

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	IU -32.5	IU -31.0	LIN +1.5	W LIN covered
Total	155.5	155.7	Over 0.2	L Under
Projected score	—	LIN 62.4 · IU 93.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	IU -18.5	IU -16.0
1H total	72.9	52
1H projected score	LIN 27.2 · IU 45.7	LIN 18 · IU 34

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LIN LLWL	1-3	25%	0-3	0-3
IU WWWL	3-1	75%	2-1	3-1

Venue/role: LIN away, as underdog; IU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
LIN OOOU	3-1	75%	1-3
IU OOOU	3-1	75%	4-0

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LINlast 4	1-3 25%	1-3 25%	3-1 75%
IUlast 4	4-0 100%	3-1 75%	3-1 75%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Lindenwood Lions

4 games played

Straight up

1-3

25% wins

Against the spread

1-3

25% covers · avg −7.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-1

75% overs · avg +3.8 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-325%

L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

1-325%

L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-175%

O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@TTU	L 60-98	+29.5	L −8.5	146.5	O 158
Nov 10	@SLU	L 66-109	+24.5	L −18.5	165.5	O 175
Nov 14	vsCHSO	W 83-77	-2.5	W +3.5	155.5	O 160
Nov 16	@AAMU	L 65-74	+3.5	L −5.5	149.5	U 139

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

TTU

L 60-98

−8.5

SLU

L 66-109

−18.5

CHSO

W 83-77

+3.5

AAMU

L 65-74

−5.5

covered 1didn’t cover 3avg −7.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

TTU

L 60-98

+11.5

SLU

L 66-109

+9.5

CHSO

W 83-77

+4.5

AAMU

L 65-74

−10.5

over 3under 1avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Indiana

4 games played

Straight up

4-0

100% wins

Against the spread

3-1

75% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line

Over / Under

3-1

75% overs · avg 0 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-0100%

W W W W

4 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

3-175%

W W W L

3 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

3-175%

O O O U

3 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 5	vsAAMU	W 98-51	-30.5	W +16.5	147.5	O 149
Nov 9	vsMARQ	W 100-77	-3.5	W +19.5	156.5	O 177
Nov 12	vsMILW	W 101-70	-24.5	W +6.5	165.5	O 171
Nov 16	vsUIW	W 69-61	-28.5	L −20.5	157.5	U 130

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

AAMU

W 98-51

+16.5

MARQ

W 100-77

+19.5

MILW

W 101-70

+6.5

UIW

W 69-61

−20.5

covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

AAMU

W 98-51

+1.5

MARQ

W 100-77

+20.5

MILW

W 101-70

+5.5

UIW

W 69-61

−27.5

over 3under 1avg 0 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Lindenwood Lions at Indiana Hoosiers

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Lindenwood Lions

Indiana

Lindenwood Lions

Indiana