Bryce Jordan Center · at Penn State
Closing line
PSU -15.5✓ FAIR covered by 7.5
PSU -15.5✓ FAIR covered by 7.5Closing total151.5Under by 7.5
 FAIR | This season | PSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: FAIR 62–83 PSU · ✓ PSU (97%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 37 | 31 | 68 |
| PSU | 37 | 39 | 76 |
1st half: FAIR 37, PSU 37 (tied). The model had PSU by 12.9 and a total of 67.9 (actual 74).
Team stats
| FAIR | PSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-70 39% | Field goals | 28-57 49% |
| 6-33 18% | 3-pointers | 5-18 28% |
| 8-9 89% | Free throws | 15-25 60% |
| 38 12 off | Rebounds | 39 7 off |
| 10 | Assists | 13 |
| 3 | Steals | 5 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 7 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 21 | Fouls | 11 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 22 |
Players
| FAIR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Benjamin F | 37 | 18 | 10 | 1 | 8-11 | 0-1 |
| Braden Sparks G | 35 | 25 | 4 | 2 | 10-20 | 5-12 |
| Declan Wucherpfennig G | 31 | 9 | 7 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-2 |
| Deuce Turner G | 26 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 1-10 | 0-4 |
| Cam Estevez G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Halon Rawlins G | 15 | 0 | 3 | 3 | 0-6 | 0-3 |
| Eric Mejia G | 13 | 4 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Ryan Zan F | 9 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tony Williams G | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Isaac Munkadi F | 3 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Nasir Rodriguez G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tanner Ostop, Aidan May, Peyton Smith, Joe Ganton, Luke Davidson, Matt Curtis, Michael Rogan, Noah Best
| PSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kayden Mingo G | 35 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 5-11 | 0-2 |
| Eli Rice G | 24 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-6 |
| Josh Reed F | 15 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-3 |
| Dominick Stewart G | 12 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Sasa Ciani F | 12 | 3 | 4 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Melih Tunca G | 31 | 19 | 4 | 6 | 7-11 | 1-2 |
| Tibor Mirtic F | 24 | 6 | 11 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-1 |
| Ivan Juric F | 22 | 13 | 4 | 0 | 5-5 | 1-1 |
| Freddie Dilione V G | 21 | 3 | 1 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Mason Blackwood F | 4 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Chris Lotito, Reggie Grodin, Justin Houser
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketPSU -15.5
ModelPSU -21.4
Model edgePSU +5.9
L FAIR covered
Total
Market151.5
Model145.0
Model edgeUnder 6.5
W Under
Projected score
FAIR 61.8 · PSU 83.2
FAIR 68 · PSU 76
Win probability
PSU 97%
1st half
Spread
PSU -12.9
tied
Total
67.9
74 points
Projected score
FAIR 27.5 · PSU 40.4
FAIR 37 · PSU 37
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenPSU -14.5
1 → PSU
ClosePSU -15.5
1 pt toward PSU
Total
Open148.5
▲ 3
Close151.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
FAIR +1100 · PSU -2500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened PSU -14.5 · closed PSU -15.5 · moved 1 toward PSUmodel PSU -21.5
model PSU -21.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| FAIR | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 2-8 20% |
| PSU | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Fairfield
31 games played
Straight up
11-20
35% wins
Against the spread
14-17
45% covers · avg −3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
14-17
45% overs · avg −2.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ URI | L 58-96 | +11.5 | L −26.5 | 148.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 9 | @ GTWN | L 57-69 | +15.5 | W +3.5 | 156.5 | U 126 |
| Nov 12 | @ UNH | W 62-56 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 152.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 19 | vs DREX | L 61-67 | -0.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 23 | vs YALE | L 66-91 | +11.5 | L −13.5 | 139.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 24 | vs UVM | W 67-66 | +8.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 1 | vs FDU | W 78-74 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
| Dec 4 | vs RID | W 78-75 | -1.5 | W +1.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 8 | @ MSM | L 94-101 | +2.5 | L −4.5 | 138.5 | O 195 |
| Dec 18 | vs CCSU | L 63-64 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 137.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 21 | @ MONM | L 74-88 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 146.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 28 | @ COLU | L 72-85 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 153.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 3 | @ MRMK | L 54-67 | +7.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 10 | vs IONA | W 68-64 | -0.5 | W +3.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 12 | @ MRST | L 51-61 | +7.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 16 | vs NIA | W 70-66 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 133.5 | O 136 |
| Jan 18 | vs CAN | L 67-78 | -9.5 | L −20.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 23 | @ MAN | W 87-84 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Jan 25 | vsMRMK | L 54-75 | +4.5 | L −16.5 | 130.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 31 | @ QUIN | L 69-81 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 2 | @IONA | L 64-87 | +5.5 | L −17.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 6 | vsMRST | W 59-56 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 132.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 8 | vs SHU | L 71-77 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 14 | @ SPU | L 52-65 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 132.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 16 | vsMAN | L 67-80 | +1.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 21 | @RID | W 69-49 | +3.5 | W +23.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 28 | vsMSM | W 69-62 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | U 131 |
| Mar 2 | @SHU | L 62-83 | +6.5 | L −14.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 6 | @ SIE | L 64-68 | +7.5 | W +3.5 | 141.5 | U 132 |
| Mar 8 | vsQUIN | W 83-74 | +1.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 157 |
| Mar 11 | vsSHU | L 58-71 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 148.5 | U 129 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@URI
URIL 58-96
−26.5
9
@GTWN
GTWNL 57-69
+3.5
12
@UNH
UNHW 62-56
+4.5
19
vsDREX
DREXL 61-67
−6.5
23
vsYALE
YALEL 66-91
−13.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 67-66
+9.5
1
vsFDU
FDUW 78-74
−4.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 78-75
+1.5
8
@MSM
MSML 94-101
−4.5
18
vsCCSU
CCSUL 63-64
+0.5
21
@MONM
MONML 74-88
−9.5
28
@COLU
COLUL 72-85
−3.5
3
@MRMK
MRMKL 54-67
−5.5
10
vsIONA
IONAW 68-64
+3.5
12
@MRST
MRSTL 51-61
−2.5
16
vsNIA
NIAW 70-66
+2.5
18
vsCAN
CANL 67-78
−20.5
23
@MAN
MANW 87-84
+6.5
25
vsMRMK
MRMKL 54-75
−16.5
31
@QUIN
QUINL 69-81
+0.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 64-87
−17.5
6
vsMRST
MRSTW 59-56
+9.5
8
vsSHU
SHUL 71-77
−4.5
14
@SPU
SPUL 52-65
−9.5
16
vsMAN
MANL 67-80
−11.5
21
@RID
RIDW 69-49
+23.5
28
vsMSM
MSMW 69-62
+8.5
2
@SHU
SHUL 62-83
−14.5
6
@SIE
SIEL 64-68
+3.5
8
vsQUIN
QUINW 83-74
+10.5
11
vsSHU
SHUL 58-71
−8.5
covered 14didn’t cover 17avg −3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@URI
URIL 58-96
+5.5
9
@GTWN
GTWNL 57-69
−30.5
12
@UNH
UNHW 62-56
−34.5
19
vsDREX
DREXL 61-67
−8.5
23
vsYALE
YALEL 66-91
+17.5
24
vsUVM
UVMW 67-66
−2.5
1
vsFDU
FDUW 78-74
+0.5
4
vsRID
RIDW 78-75
+18.5
8
@MSM
MSML 94-101
+56.5
18
vsCCSU
CCSUL 63-64
−10.5
21
@MONM
MONML 74-88
+15.5
28
@COLU
COLUL 72-85
+3.5
3
@MRMK
MRMKL 54-67
−18.5
10
vsIONA
IONAW 68-64
−13.5
12
@MRST
MRSTL 51-61
−23.5
16
vsNIA
NIAW 70-66
+2.5
18
vsCAN
CANL 67-78
+3.5
23
@MAN
MANW 87-84
+24.5
25
vsMRMK
MRMKL 54-75
−1.5
31
@QUIN
QUINL 69-81
+4.5
2
@IONA
IONAL 64-87
+8.5
6
vsMRST
MRSTW 59-56
−17.5
8
vsSHU
SHUL 71-77
−2.5
14
@SPU
SPUL 52-65
−15.5
16
vsMAN
MANL 67-80
+0.5
21
@RID
RIDW 69-49
−21.5
28
vsMSM
MSMW 69-62
−12.5
2
@SHU
SHUL 62-83
−4.5
6
@SIE
SIEL 64-68
−9.5
8
vsQUIN
QUINW 83-74
+11.5
11
vsSHU
SHUL 58-71
−19.5
over 14under 17avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Penn State
31 games played
Straight up
16-15
52% wins
Against the spread
16-15
52% covers · avg +0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
13-18
42% overs · avg +0 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs BING | W 108-66 | -20.5 | W +21.5 | 146.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 8 | vs UMBC | W 103-54 | -22.5 | W +26.5 | 166.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 12 | vs SFPA | W 92-62 | -31.5 | L −1.5 | 152.5 | O 154 |
| Nov 15 | vs VT | W 86-64 | -7.5 | W +14.5 | 150.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 20 | vs PFW | W 102-89 | -17.5 | L −4.5 | 159.5 | O 191 |
| Nov 25 | vs FOR | W 85-66 | -16.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | U 151 |
| Nov 26 | vs CLEM | L 67-75 | +1.5 | L −6.5 | 150.5 | U 142 |
| Dec 1 | vs BUF | W 87-64 | -28.5 | L −5.5 | 160.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 5 | vs PUR | W 81-70 | -2.5 | W +8.5 | 149.5 | O 151 |
| Dec 10 | @ RUTG | L 76-80 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 157.5 | U 156 |
| Dec 14 | vs COPP | W 99-51 | -36.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | @DREX | W 75-64 | -13.5 | L −2.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 29 | vs PENN | W 86-66 | -25.5 | L −5.5 | 151.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 2 | vs NU | W 84-80 | -4.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 5 | vs IU | L 71-77 | -7.5 | L −13.5 | 156.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 8 | @ ILL | L 52-91 | +7.5 | L −31.5 | 163.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 12 | vs ORE | L 81-82 | +2.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | O 163 |
| Jan 15 | @ MSU | L 85-90 | +11.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 20 | vsRUTG | W 80-72 | -7.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 152 |
| Jan 24 | @ IOWA | L 75-76 | +3.5 | W +2.5 | 168.5 | U 151 |
| Jan 27 | @ MICH | L 72-76 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 159.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 30 | vs OSU | L 64-83 | -3.5 | L −22.5 | 147.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 4 | vs MINN | L 61-69 | -6.5 | L −14.5 | 140.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 8 | @ UCLA | L 54-78 | +10.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 11 | @ USC | L 67-92 | +4.5 | L −20.5 | 150.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 15 | vs WASH | L 73-75 | -5.5 | L −7.5 | 149.5 | U 148 |
| Feb 19 | vs NEB | W 89-72 | +1.5 | W +18.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 22 | @MINN | W 69-60 | +2.5 | W +11.5 | 141.5 | U 129 |
| Feb 26 | @IU | L 78-83 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Mar 1 | vs MD | L 64-68 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 132 |
| Mar 8 | @ WIS | W 86-75 | +11.5 | W +22.5 | 153.5 | O 161 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsBING
BINGW 108-66
+21.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 103-54
+26.5
12
vsSFPA
SFPAW 92-62
−1.5
15
vsVT
VTW 86-64
+14.5
20
vsPFW
PFWW 102-89
−4.5
25
vsFOR
FORW 85-66
+2.5
26
vsCLEM
CLEML 67-75
−6.5
1
vsBUF
BUFW 87-64
−5.5
5
vsPUR
PURW 81-70
+8.5
10
@RUTG
RUTGL 76-80
−1.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 99-51
+11.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 75-64
−2.5
29
vsPENN
PENNW 86-66
−5.5
2
vsNU
NUW 84-80
−0.5
5
vsIU
IUL 71-77
−13.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 52-91
−31.5
12
vsORE
OREL 81-82
+1.5
15
@MSU
MSUL 85-90
+6.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 80-72
+0.5
24
@IOWA
IOWAL 75-76
+2.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-76
+5.5
30
vsOSU
OSUL 64-83
−22.5
4
vsMINN
MINNL 61-69
−14.5
8
@UCLA
UCLAL 54-78
−13.5
11
@USC
USCL 67-92
−20.5
15
vsWASH
WASHL 73-75
−7.5
19
vsNEB
NEBW 89-72
+18.5
22
@MINN
MINNW 69-60
+11.5
26
@IU
IUL 78-83
+1.5
1
vsMD
MDL 64-68
+0.5
8
@WIS
WISW 86-75
+22.5
covered 16didn’t cover 15avg +0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsBING
BINGW 108-66
+27.5
8
vsUMBC
UMBCW 103-54
−9.5
12
vsSFPA
SFPAW 92-62
+1.5
15
vsVT
VTW 86-64
−0.5
20
vsPFW
PFWW 102-89
+31.5
25
vsFOR
FORW 85-66
−1.5
26
vsCLEM
CLEML 67-75
−8.5
1
vsBUF
BUFW 87-64
−9.5
5
vsPUR
PURW 81-70
+1.5
10
@RUTG
RUTGL 76-80
−1.5
14
vsCOPP
COPPW 99-51
+5.5
21
@DREX
DREXW 75-64
−5.5
29
vsPENN
PENNW 86-66
+0.5
2
vsNU
NUW 84-80
+18.5
5
vsIU
IUL 71-77
−8.5
8
@ILL
ILLL 52-91
−20.5
12
vsORE
OREL 81-82
+8.5
15
@MSU
MSUL 85-90
+22.5
20
vsRUTG
RUTGW 80-72
−3.5
24
@IOWA
IOWAL 75-76
−17.5
27
@MICH
MICHL 72-76
−11.5
30
vsOSU
OSUL 64-83
−0.5
4
vsMINN
MINNL 61-69
−10.5
8
@UCLA
UCLAL 54-78
−8.5
11
@USC
USCL 67-92
+8.5
15
vsWASH
WASHL 73-75
−1.5
19
vsNEB
NEBW 89-72
+10.5
22
@MINN
MINNW 69-60
−12.5
26
@IU
IUL 78-83
+11.5
1
vsMD
MDL 64-68
−23.5
8
@WIS
WISW 86-75
+7.5
over 13under 18avg +0 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Fairfield
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Penn State
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.