John Paul Jones Arena · at Virginia
Closing line
UVA -36.5✓ UMES covered by 12.5
UVA -36.5✓ UMES covered by 12.5Closing total134.5Over by 9.5
 UMES | This season | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| 2-8 | Record | 8-1 |
| 7-3 | ATS | 6-3 |
| 3-7 | O/U | 5-4 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UMES 53–84 UVA · ✓ UVA (100%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMES | 32 | 28 | 60 |
| UVA | 46 | 38 | 84 |
1st half: UMES 32, UVA 46 (UVA by 14). The model had UVA by 18.2 and a total of 64.2 (actual 78).
Team stats
| UMES | UVA | |
|---|---|---|
| 25-54 46% | Field goals | 30-62 48% |
| 3-12 25% | 3-pointers | 13-31 42% |
| 7-8 88% | Free throws | 11-15 73% |
| 29 6 off | Rebounds | 32 9 off |
| 11 | Assists | 16 |
| 6 | Steals | 11 |
| 3 | Blocks | 7 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 7 |
| 12 | Fouls | 12 |
| 36 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| UMES | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Michael Teal G | 26 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Jaden Cooper G | 23 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Joseph Locandro F | 22 | 9 | 2 | 0 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Dorion Staples F | 22 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-4 |
| Levi Beckwith SF | 17 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Brown G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Justin Monden G | 16 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 3-6 | 1-2 |
| Christopher Flippin PF | 16 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-0 |
| Trey Hall F | 13 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Maurio Hanson Jr. F | 11 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Zion Obanla G | 8 | 6 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Javoy Thompson G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jaden Johnson PG | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Maurice Vassel F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Devin Thomas
| UVA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Lewis G | 28 | 15 | 5 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Dallin Hall G | 26 | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2-5 | 2-3 |
| Johann Grunloh C | 23 | 8 | 7 | 0 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Thijs De Ridder F | 22 | 13 | 6 | 1 | 5-9 | 2-4 |
| Malik Thomas G | 16 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 3-9 | 2-6 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jacari White G | 22 | 7 | 1 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Chance Mallory G | 22 | 10 | 2 | 5 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Ugonna Onyenso C | 17 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Devin Tillis F | 15 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-3 | 2-2 |
| Martin Carrere G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Desmond Roberts G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Gertrude G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Carter Lang F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Owen Odom G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Silas Barksdale
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVA -36.5
ModelUVA -30.4
Model edgeUMES +6.1
W UMES covered
Total
Market134.5
Model136.9
Model edgeOver 2.4
W Over
Projected score
UMES 53.3 · UVA 83.6
UMES 60 · UVA 84
Win probability
UVA 100%
1st half
Spread
UVA -18.2
UVA -14.0
Total
64.2
78 points
Projected score
UMES 23 · UVA 41.2
UMES 32 · UVA 46
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVA -35.5
1 → UVA
CloseUVA -36.5
1 pt toward UVA
Total
Open135.5
▼ 1
Close134.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVA -35.5 · closed UVA -36.5 · moved 1 toward UVAmodel UVA -30.5
model UVA -30.5
Opened 135.5 · closed 134.5 · moved 1 downmodel 137
model 137
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UMES | 2-8 20% | 7-3 70% | 3-7 30% |
| UVAlast 9 | 8-1 89% | 6-3 67% | 5-4 56% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UMES 0–1 UVAUVA leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UMES 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 25, 2022-23 | UMES 45 @ UVA 72 | UVA -28.5 | UMES W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
MD Eastern
10 games played
Straight up
2-8
20% wins
Against the spread
7-3
70% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-7
30% overs · avg −5.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ GT | L 52-56 | +28.5 | W +24.5 | 139.5 | U 108 |
| Nov 5 | @ UGA | L 29-94 | +33.5 | L −31.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 11 | @ NEB | L 50-69 | +35.5 | W +16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 14 | @ CREI | L 45-84 | +33.5 | L −5.5 | 135.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 18 | @ LONG | W 83-82 | +17.5 | W +18.5 | 138.5 | O 165 |
| Nov 21 | @ CAN | L 57-60 | +3.5 | W +0.5 | 128.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 22 | vs BING | W 63-52 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 125.5 | U 115 |
| Nov 25 | vs HAMP | L 68-74 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 124.5 | O 142 |
| Dec 2 | @ ECU | L 56-68 | +12.5 | W +0.5 | 127.5 | U 124 |
| Dec 6 | @ AMER | L 60-78 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 130.5 | O 138 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@GT
GTL 52-56
+24.5
5
@UGA
UGAL 29-94
−31.5
11
@NEB
NEBL 50-69
+16.5
14
@CREI
CREIL 45-84
−5.5
18
@LONG
LONGW 83-82
+18.5
21
@CAN
CANL 57-60
+0.5
22
vsBING
BINGW 63-52
+16.5
25
vsHAMP
HAMPL 68-74
+0.5
2
@ECU
ECUL 56-68
+0.5
6
@AMER
AMERL 60-78
−7.5
covered 7didn’t cover 3avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@GT
GTL 52-56
−31.5
5
@UGA
UGAL 29-94
−19.5
11
@NEB
NEBL 50-69
−27.5
14
@CREI
CREIL 45-84
−6.5
18
@LONG
LONGW 83-82
+26.5
21
@CAN
CANL 57-60
−11.5
22
vsBING
BINGW 63-52
−10.5
25
vsHAMP
HAMPL 68-74
+17.5
2
@ECU
ECUL 56-68
−3.5
6
@AMER
AMERL 60-78
+7.5
over 3under 7avg −5.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Virginia
9 games played
Straight up
8-1
89% wins
Against the spread
6-3
67% covers · avg +3.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs RID | W 87-53 | -26.5 | W +7.5 | 148.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 7 | vs NCCU | W 81-62 | -34.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 11 | vsHAMP | W 91-53 | -24.5 | W +13.5 | 148.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 15 | vs MRSH | W 104-78 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 21 | vs NU | W 83-78 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs BTLR | L 73-80 | -6.5 | L −13.5 | 155.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 28 | vs QUC | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 160.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 3 | @ TEX | W 88-69 | +3.5 | W +22.5 | 154.5 | O 157 |
| Dec 6 | vs DAY | W 86-73 | -5.5 | W +7.5 | 147.5 | O 159 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsRID
RIDW 87-53
+7.5
7
vsNCCU
NCCUW 81-62
−15.5
11
vsHAMP
HAMPW 91-53
+13.5
15
vsMRSH
MRSHW 104-78
+5.5
21
vsNU
NUW 83-78
+0.5
23
vsBTLR
BTLRL 73-80
−13.5
28
vsQUC
QUCW 94-69
−0.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 88-69
+22.5
6
vsDAY
DAYW 86-73
+7.5
covered 6didn’t cover 3avg +3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsRID
RIDW 87-53
−8.5
7
vsNCCU
NCCUW 81-62
−8.5
11
vsHAMP
HAMPW 91-53
−4.5
15
vsMRSH
MRSHW 104-78
+26.5
21
vsNU
NUW 83-78
+11.5
23
vsBTLR
BTLRL 73-80
−2.5
28
vsQUC
QUCW 94-69
+2.5
3
@TEX
TEXW 88-69
+2.5
6
vsDAY
DAYW 86-73
+11.5
over 5under 4avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
MD Eastern
2-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mid-Eastern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ American60–78
- L@ East Carolina56–68
- Lvs Hampton68–74
- Wvs Binghamton63–52
- L@ Canisius57–60
3 days since their last game.
Virginia
8-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Dayton86–73
- W@ Texas88–69
- Wvs Queens University Royals94–69
- Lvs Butler73–80
- Wvs Northwestern83–78
3 days since their last game.