John Paul Jones Arena · at Virginia
Closing line
UVA -26.5✓ UVA covered by 7.5
UVA -26.5✓ UVA covered by 7.5Closing total148.5Under by 8.5
 RID | This season | UVA |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: RID 60–80 UVA · ✓ UVA (97%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RID | 32 | 21 | 53 |
| UVA | 42 | 45 | 87 |
1st half: RID 32, UVA 42 (UVA by 10). The model had UVA by 12.5 and a total of 65.5 (actual 74).
Team stats
| RID | UVA | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-49 33% | Field goals | 30-64 47% |
| 3-12 25% | 3-pointers | 8-30 27% |
| 18-29 62% | Free throws | 19-34 56% |
| 32 13 off | Rebounds | 49 22 off |
| 7 | Assists | 14 |
| 3 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 9 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 24 | Fouls | 24 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 7 | Fast-break points | 11 |
Players
| RID | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Zion Cruz G | 26 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-9 | 1-3 |
| Flash Burton G | 26 | 17 | 6 | 1 | 6-13 | 1-4 |
| Cole McCabe F | 15 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mohamad Diallo F | 11 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Davis Bynum F | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Caleb Smith G | 23 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Daniel Helterhoff F | 18 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Kristupas Kepežinskas G | 16 | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Antwan Wilson G | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-2 |
| Shemani Fuller F | 13 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Jamir McNeil G | 13 | 7 | 0 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| AB Coulibaly G | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Devean Williams G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Maurizio D'Alessandro G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
Did not play: Xaviel Rodriguez
| UVA | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dallin Hall G | 28 | 5 | 4 | 5 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Malik Thomas G | 24 | 7 | 3 | 2 | 1-10 | 1-6 |
| Thijs De Ridder F | 24 | 21 | 10 | 2 | 10-14 | 1-2 |
| Johann Grunloh C | 24 | 12 | 7 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Sam Lewis G | 21 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 3-4 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chance Mallory G | 24 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-4 | 2-3 |
| Jacari White G | 19 | 11 | 4 | 1 | 3-8 | 2-7 |
| Ugonna Onyenso C | 14 | 5 | 5 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Elijah Gertrude G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Martin Carrere G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Carter Lang F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Desmond Roberts G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Owen Odom G | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Silas Barksdale, Devin Tillis
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketUVA -26.5
ModelUVA -20.8
Model edgeRID +5.7
L UVA covered
Total
Market148.5
Model139.8
Model edgeUnder 8.8
W Under
Projected score
RID 59.5 · UVA 80.3
RID 53 · UVA 87
Win probability
UVA 97%
1st half
Spread
UVA -12.5
UVA -10.0
Total
65.5
74 points
Projected score
RID 26.5 · UVA 39
RID 32 · UVA 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUVA -24.5
2 → UVA
CloseUVA -26.5
2 pts toward UVA
Total
Open143.5
▲ 5
Close148.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
RID +3000 · UVA -20000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UVA -24.5 · closed UVA -26.5 · moved 2 toward UVAmodel UVA -21
model UVA -21
Opened 143.5 · closed 148.5 · moved 5 upmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| RID | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
| UVA | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Rider
33 games played
Straight up
14-19
42% wins
Against the spread
16-17
48% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
15-18
45% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ UCLA | L 50-85 | +21.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 6 | @ USD | W 68-67 | +3.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 9 | @ COPP | W 64-53 | -9.5 | W +1.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 12 | @ NAVY | W 90-79 | +5.5 | W +16.5 | 139.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 19 | @ IOWA | L 58-83 | +19.5 | L −5.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 23 | @ BUCK | W 57-53 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 141.5 | U 110 |
| Nov 27 | @ VILL | L 48-72 | +18.5 | L −5.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Nov 30 | vs DEL | L 66-72 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 145.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 4 | @ FAIR | L 75-78 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 6 | vs QUIN | L 67-72 | -1.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 14 | vs STBK | L 55-72 | -6.5 | L −23.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 20 | @ PENN | L 66-79 | +4.5 | L −8.5 | 136.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 22 | @ NCSU | L 63-89 | +17.5 | L −8.5 | 133.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 5 | vs MAN | L 79-80 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 143.5 | O 159 |
| Jan 10 | @ CAN | L 67-85 | -2.5 | L −20.5 | 138.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 12 | @ NIA | W 68-65 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 135.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 16 | vs MSM | W 66-60 | -0.5 | W +5.5 | 137.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 18 | @ MRST | W 64-57 | +8.5 | W +15.5 | 128.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 23 | vs IONA | L 67-73 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 25 | @QUIN | L 64-75 | +11.5 | W +0.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 31 | vs SPU | W 67-64 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 124.5 | O 131 |
| Feb 2 | vs MRMK | L 64-66 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 132.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 6 | @ SHU | L 77-89 | +5.5 | L −6.5 | 147.5 | O 166 |
| Feb 8 | vs SIE | W 61-59 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 14 | @IONA | W 74-71 | +5.5 | W +8.5 | 138.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 16 | @SPU | L 65-66 | +4.5 | W +3.5 | 130.5 | O 131 |
| Feb 21 | vsFAIR | L 49-69 | -3.5 | L −23.5 | 139.5 | U 118 |
| Feb 23 | @MSM | L 72-79 | +6.5 | L −0.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 28 | @MRMK | W 83-78 | +9.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 161 |
| Mar 6 | vsCAN | W 78-50 | -10.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | U 128 |
| Mar 8 | vsNIA | W 77-76 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 135.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 11 | vsSIE | W 78-76 | +4.5 | W +6.5 | 137.5 | O 154 |
| Mar 12 | vsQUIN | L 64-78 | +8.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 142 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@UCLA
UCLAL 50-85
−13.5
6
@USD
USDW 68-67
+4.5
9
@COPP
COPPW 64-53
+1.5
12
@NAVY
NAVYW 90-79
+16.5
19
@IOWA
IOWAL 58-83
−5.5
23
@BUCK
BUCKW 57-53
+8.5
27
@VILL
VILLL 48-72
−5.5
30
vsDEL
DELL 66-72
−7.5
4
@FAIR
FAIRL 75-78
−1.5
6
vsQUIN
QUINL 67-72
−6.5
14
vsSTBK
STBKL 55-72
−23.5
20
@PENN
PENNL 66-79
−8.5
22
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-89
−8.5
5
vsMAN
MANL 79-80
−2.5
10
@CAN
CANL 67-85
−20.5
12
@NIA
NIAW 68-65
+8.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 66-60
+5.5
18
@MRST
MRSTW 64-57
+15.5
23
vsIONA
IONAL 67-73
−3.5
25
@QUIN
QUINL 64-75
+0.5
31
vsSPU
SPUW 67-64
+4.5
2
vsMRMK
MRMKL 64-66
+1.5
6
@SHU
SHUL 77-89
−6.5
8
vsSIE
SIEW 61-59
+4.5
14
@IONA
IONAW 74-71
+8.5
16
@SPU
SPUL 65-66
+3.5
21
vsFAIR
FAIRL 49-69
−23.5
23
@MSM
MSML 72-79
−0.5
28
@MRMK
MRMKW 83-78
+14.5
6
vsCAN
CANW 78-50
+17.5
8
vsNIA
NIAW 77-76
−2.5
11
vsSIE
SIEW 78-76
+6.5
12
vsQUIN
QUINL 64-78
−5.5
covered 16didn’t cover 17avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@UCLA
UCLAL 50-85
−5.5
6
@USD
USDW 68-67
−13.5
9
@COPP
COPPW 64-53
−19.5
12
@NAVY
NAVYW 90-79
+29.5
19
@IOWA
IOWAL 58-83
−15.5
23
@BUCK
BUCKW 57-53
−31.5
27
@VILL
VILLL 48-72
−17.5
30
vsDEL
DELL 66-72
−7.5
4
@FAIR
FAIRL 75-78
+18.5
6
vsQUIN
QUINL 67-72
−3.5
14
vsSTBK
STBKL 55-72
−7.5
20
@PENN
PENNL 66-79
+8.5
22
@NCSU
NCSUL 63-89
+18.5
5
vsMAN
MANL 79-80
+15.5
10
@CAN
CANL 67-85
+13.5
12
@NIA
NIAW 68-65
−2.5
16
vsMSM
MSMW 66-60
−11.5
18
@MRST
MRSTW 64-57
−7.5
23
vsIONA
IONAL 67-73
+1.5
25
@QUIN
QUINL 64-75
−4.5
31
vsSPU
SPUW 67-64
+6.5
2
vsMRMK
MRMKL 64-66
−2.5
6
@SHU
SHUL 77-89
+18.5
8
vsSIE
SIEW 61-59
−19.5
14
@IONA
IONAW 74-71
+6.5
16
@SPU
SPUL 65-66
+0.5
21
vsFAIR
FAIRL 49-69
−21.5
23
@MSM
MSML 72-79
+11.5
28
@MRMK
MRMKW 83-78
+29.5
6
vsCAN
CANW 78-50
−12.5
8
vsNIA
NIAW 77-76
+17.5
11
vsSIE
SIEW 78-76
+16.5
12
vsQUIN
QUINL 64-78
−1.5
over 15under 18avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Virginia
32 games played
Straight up
15-17
47% wins
Against the spread
13-19
41% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
19-13
59% overs · avg +1.9 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | vs CAM | W 65-56 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 130.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 11 | vsCOPP | W 62-45 | -24.5 | L −7.5 | 122.5 | U 107 |
| Nov 15 | vsVILL | W 70-60 | +3.5 | W +13.5 | 128.5 | O 130 |
| Nov 21 | vs TENN | L 42-64 | +12.5 | L −9.5 | 126.5 | U 106 |
| Nov 22 | vs SJU | L 55-80 | +10.5 | L −14.5 | 127.5 | O 135 |
| Nov 26 | vsMAN | W 74-65 | -16.5 | L −7.5 | 128.5 | O 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs HC | W 67-41 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 126.5 | U 108 |
| Dec 4 | @ FLA | L 69-87 | +17.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 7 | @ SMU | L 51-63 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 135.5 | U 114 |
| Dec 12 | vs BCU | W 59-41 | -15.5 | W +2.5 | 126.5 | U 100 |
| Dec 18 | vs MEM | L 62-64 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 22 | vs AMER | W 63-58 | -12.5 | L −7.5 | 119.5 | O 121 |
| Dec 31 | vsNCSU | W 70-67 | -0.5 | W +2.5 | 122.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 4 | vs LOU | L 50-70 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 130.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 8 | @ CAL | L 61-75 | +4.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | O 136 |
| Jan 11 | @ STAN | L 65-88 | +8.5 | L −14.5 | 125.5 | O 153 |
| Jan 15 | vsSMU | L 52-54 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 134.5 | U 106 |
| Jan 18 | @LOU | L 67-81 | +15.5 | W +1.5 | 130.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 21 | vs BC | W 74-56 | -8.5 | W +9.5 | 124.5 | O 130 |
| Jan 25 | vs ND | L 59-74 | +1.5 | L −13.5 | 126.5 | O 133 |
| Jan 29 | @ MIA | W 82-71 | +2.5 | W +13.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 1 | vs VT | L 74-75 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 125.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 3 | @ PITT | W 73-57 | +13.5 | W +29.5 | 130.5 | U 130 |
| Feb 8 | vs GT | W 75-61 | -2.5 | W +11.5 | 129.5 | O 136 |
| Feb 15 | @VT | W 73-70 | +1.5 | W +4.5 | 128.5 | O 143 |
| Feb 17 | vs DUKE | L 62-80 | +13.5 | L −4.5 | 132.5 | O 142 |
| Feb 22 | @ UNC | L 66-81 | +9.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 26 | @ WAKE | W 83-75 | +6.5 | W +14.5 | 131.5 | O 158 |
| Mar 1 | vs CLEM | L 58-71 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 132.5 | U 129 |
| Mar 4 | vs FSU | W 60-57 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 136.5 | U 117 |
| Mar 8 | @ SYR | L 70-84 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 136.5 | O 154 |
| Mar 12 | vsGT | L 60-66 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
vsCAM
CAMW 65-56
−7.5
11
vsCOPP
COPPW 62-45
−7.5
15
vsVILL
VILLW 70-60
+13.5
21
vsTENN
TENNL 42-64
−9.5
22
vsSJU
SJUL 55-80
−14.5
26
vsMAN
MANW 74-65
−7.5
29
vsHC
HCW 67-41
+10.5
4
@FLA
FLAL 69-87
−0.5
7
@SMU
SMUL 51-63
−1.5
12
vsBCU
BCUW 59-41
+2.5
18
vsMEM
MEML 62-64
+1.5
22
vsAMER
AMERW 63-58
−7.5
31
vsNCSU
NCSUW 70-67
+2.5
4
vsLOU
LOUL 50-70
−14.5
8
@CAL
CALL 61-75
−9.5
11
@STAN
STANL 65-88
−14.5
15
vsSMU
SMUL 52-54
+3.5
18
@LOU
LOUL 67-81
+1.5
21
vsBC
BCW 74-56
+9.5
25
vsND
NDL 59-74
−13.5
29
@MIA
MIAW 82-71
+13.5
1
vsVT
VTL 74-75
−5.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-57
+29.5
8
vsGT
GTW 75-61
+11.5
15
@VT
VTW 73-70
+4.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 62-80
−4.5
22
@UNC
UNCL 66-81
−5.5
26
@WAKE
WAKEW 83-75
+14.5
1
vsCLEM
CLEML 58-71
−6.5
4
vsFSU
FSUW 60-57
−1.5
8
@SYR
SYRL 70-84
−12.5
12
vsGT
GTL 60-66
−4.5
covered 13didn’t cover 19avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
vsCAM
CAMW 65-56
−9.5
11
vsCOPP
COPPW 62-45
−15.5
15
vsVILL
VILLW 70-60
+1.5
21
vsTENN
TENNL 42-64
−20.5
22
vsSJU
SJUL 55-80
+7.5
26
vsMAN
MANW 74-65
+10.5
29
vsHC
HCW 67-41
−18.5
4
@FLA
FLAL 69-87
+21.5
7
@SMU
SMUL 51-63
−21.5
12
vsBCU
BCUW 59-41
−26.5
18
vsMEM
MEML 62-64
−3.5
22
vsAMER
AMERW 63-58
+1.5
31
vsNCSU
NCSUW 70-67
+14.5
4
vsLOU
LOUL 50-70
−10.5
8
@CAL
CALL 61-75
+5.5
11
@STAN
STANL 65-88
+27.5
15
vsSMU
SMUL 52-54
−28.5
18
@LOU
LOUL 67-81
+17.5
21
vsBC
BCW 74-56
+5.5
25
vsND
NDL 59-74
+6.5
29
@MIA
MIAW 82-71
+18.5
1
vsVT
VTL 74-75
+23.5
3
@PITT
PITTW 73-57
−0.5
8
vsGT
GTW 75-61
+6.5
15
@VT
VTW 73-70
+14.5
17
vsDUKE
DUKEL 62-80
+9.5
22
@UNC
UNCL 66-81
+7.5
26
@WAKE
WAKEW 83-75
+26.5
1
vsCLEM
CLEML 58-71
−3.5
4
vsFSU
FSUW 60-57
−19.5
8
@SYR
SYRL 70-84
+17.5
12
vsGT
GTL 60-66
−3.5
over 19under 13avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Rider
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Metro Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Virginia
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.