Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs Binghamton Bearcats: Model Line and Edge

Sat, Nov 22, 3:00 PM ETKoessler Athletic Center · Neutral site

#364UMESMD Eastern63▲ winner

Final

#272BINGBinghamton52final

Closing lineBING -5.5✓ UMES covered by 16.5

Closing total125.5Under by 10.5

Season records: MD Eastern and Binghamton
UMES	This season	BING
1-5	Record	0-4
4-2	ATS	2-2
1-5	O/U	2-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: UMES 68–70 BING · ✗ BING (57%) lost

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
UMES	36	27	63
BING	23	29	52

1st half: UMES 36, BING 23 (UMES by 13). The model had BING by 1.1 and a total of 64.5 (actual 59).

Team stats

UMES		BING
25-55 45%	Field goals	16-49 33%
6-20 30%	3-pointers	3-13 23%
7-14 50%	Free throws	17-22 77%
37 15 off	Rebounds	34 15 off
12	Assists	8
8	Steals	8
4	Blocks	5
12	Turnovers	16
19	Fouls	17
32	Points in paint	26
6	Fast-break points	7

Players

UMES	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Zion Obanla G	31	16	9	1	7-12	0-0
Jaden Cooper G	28	7	1	3	3-5	1-2
Joseph Locandro F	20	16	2	1	6-9	4-6
Levi Beckwith SF	15	0	4	0	0-5	0-3
Michael Teal G	6	0	3	1	0-1	0-0
Bench
Justin Monden G	31	6	0	3	3-8	0-3
Trey Brown G	28	8	4	2	2-6	1-4
Dorion Staples F	15	0	4	1	0-3	0-2
Christopher Flippin PF	13	8	3	0	3-5	0-0
Maurio Hanson Jr. F	9	0	2	0	0-0	0-0
Jaden Johnson PG	3	2	0	0	1-1	0-0
Maurice Vassel F	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Devin Thomas, Javoy Thompson, Trey Hall

BING	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Demetrius Lilley C	39	19	10	1	4-13	1-3
Jeremiah Quigley G	38	9	3	4	4-7	0-0
Jackson Benigni G	35	7	1	0	1-4	1-4
Ryan Richardson G	32	0	1	3	0-6	0-4
Bryson Wilson G	30	11	7	0	5-12	1-2
Bench
Zyier Beverly F	21	6	4	0	2-6	0-0
Stephan Snagg F	5	0	1	0	0-1	0-0

Did not play: Nevin Ibroci, Jake Blackburn, Jayden Kelsey, Sayerr Senghore, Jayden Lemond, Evan Ashe, Wes Peterson Jr.

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	BING -5.5	BING -2.0	UMES +3.5	W UMES covered
Total	125.5	137.5	Over 12.0	L Under
Projected score	—	UMES 67.7 · BING 69.8

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	BING -1.1	UMES -13.0
1H total	64.5	59
1H projected score	UMES 31.7 · BING 32.8	UMES 36 · BING 23

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
UMES LWLWW	4-2	67%	—	4-2
BING LLWW	2-2	50%	—	0-1

Venue/role: UMES neutral site, as underdog; BING neutral site, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
UMES UUUOU	1-5	17%	1-5
BING UUOO	2-2	50%	0-4

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
UMESlast 6	1-5 17%	4-2 67%	1-5 17%
BINGlast 4	0-4 0%	2-2 50%	2-2 50%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

MD Eastern

6 games played

Straight up

1-5

17% wins

Against the spread

4-2

67% covers · avg +3.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

1-5

17% overs · avg −11.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-517%

L L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

4-267%

W L W L W W

2 straight covers3 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

1-517%

U U U U O U

1 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@GT	L 52-56	+28.5	W +24.5	139.5	U 108
Nov 5	@UGA	L 29-94	+33.5	L −31.5	142.5	U 123
Nov 11	@NEB	L 50-69	+35.5	W +16.5	146.5	U 119
Nov 14	@CREI	L 45-84	+33.5	L −5.5	135.5	U 129
Nov 18	@LONG	W 83-82	+17.5	W +18.5	138.5	O 165
Nov 21	@CAN	L 57-60	+3.5	W +0.5	128.5	U 117

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 52-56

+24.5

UGA

L 29-94

−31.5

NEB

L 50-69

+16.5

CREI

L 45-84

−5.5

LONG

W 83-82

+18.5

CAN

L 57-60

+0.5

covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +3.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 52-56

−31.5

UGA

L 29-94

−19.5

NEB

L 50-69

−27.5

CREI

L 45-84

−6.5

LONG

W 83-82

+26.5

CAN

L 57-60

−11.5

over 1under 5avg −11.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Binghamton

4 games played

Straight up

0-4

0% wins

Against the spread

2-2

50% covers · avg −1.3 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-2

50% overs · avg +0.5 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-40%

L L L L

4 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-250%

L L W W

2 straight covers2 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

2-250%

U U O O

2 straight overs2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@SYR	L 47-85	+21.5	L −16.5	153.5	U 132
Nov 8	vsNIA	L 59-67	-2.5	L −10.5	138.5	U 126
Nov 12	@GTWN	L 70-83	+27.5	W +14.5	141.5	O 153
Nov 15	@LONG	L 82-90	+15.5	W +7.5	147.5	O 172

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−16.5

NIA

L 59-67

−10.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+14.5

LONG

L 82-90

+7.5

covered 2didn’t cover 2avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

SYR

L 47-85

−21.5

NIA

L 59-67

−12.5

GTWN

L 70-83

+11.5

LONG

L 82-90

+24.5

over 2under 2avg +0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Maryland Eastern Shore Hawks vs Binghamton Bearcats

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

MD Eastern

Binghamton

MD Eastern

Binghamton