Moby Arena · at Colorado St
Closing line
CSU -20.5✓ CSU covered by 0.5
Closing total153.5Under by 22.5
| This season | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 2-4 | Record | 7-2 |
| 2-4 | ATS | 7-2 |
| 4-2 | O/U | 6-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DART 68–86 CSU · ✓ CSU (94%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DART | 24 | 31 | 55 |
| CSU | 33 | 43 | 76 |
1st half: DART 24, CSU 33 (CSU by 9). The model had CSU by 10.5 and a total of 72.2 (actual 57).
Team stats
| DART | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 21-52 40% | Field goals | 33-54 61% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 7-18 39% |
| 4-8 50% | Free throws | 3-3 100% |
| 25 8 off | Rebounds | 28 4 off |
| 12 | Assists | 13 |
| 4 | Steals | 13 |
| 2 | Blocks | 1 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 12 | Fouls | 14 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| DART | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Brandon Mitchell-Day F | 29 | 8 | 5 | 4 | 3-8 | 2-4 |
| Jayden Williams F | 29 | 11 | 2 | 2 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Connor Amundsen G | 29 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Kareem Thomas G | 27 | 12 | 0 | 1 | 4-7 | 1-1 |
| Jackson Munro F | 25 | 2 | 6 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cameron McNamee G | 25 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Cam Hiatt G | 23 | 10 | 4 | 1 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Tyler Garrett F | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Shanon Simango F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Anton Strelnikov C | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Khai Lockwood G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nikola Abusara, Patrick Tivnan Jr., Ben Brown
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jevin Muniz G | 28 | 11 | 5 | 4 | 5-9 | 1-3 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 27 | 14 | 2 | 2 | 6-11 | 2-6 |
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 27 | 12 | 2 | 2 | 6-9 | 0-0 |
| Carey Booth F | 26 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-1 |
| Josh Pascarelli G | 26 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 4-4 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jase Butler G | 20 | 10 | 3 | 1 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Nikola Djapa C | 12 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 10 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Darnez Slater G | 10 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jojo McIver G | 9 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jon Mekonnen F | 4 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Charlie Dortch F | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rashaan Mbemba, Docker Tedeschi
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSU -19.5
1 → CSU
CloseCSU -20.5
1 pt toward CSU
Total
Open157.5
▼ 4
Close153.5
Down 4 since the open
Moneyline
DART +1400 · CSU -3200
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSU -19.5 · closed CSU -20.5 · moved 1 toward CSUmodel CSU -17.5
model CSU -17.5
Opened 157.5 · closed 153.5 · moved 4 downmodel 154.5
model 154.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CSU -20.5 | CSU -17.7 | DART +2.8 | L CSU covered |
| Total | 153.5 | 154.3 | Over 0.8 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | DART 68.3 · CSU 86 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CSU -10.5 | CSU -9.0 |
| 1H total | 72.2 | 57 |
| 1H projected score | DART 30.8 · CSU 41.4 | DART 24 · CSU 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2-4 33% | 2-4 33% | 4-2 67% | |
| 7-2 78% | 7-2 78% | 6-3 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Dartmouth
6 games played
Straight up
2-4
33% wins
Against the spread
2-4
33% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg +4.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
vs
MRST
L 56-75
−20.5
12
@
BRY
L 75-82
−5.5
16
vs
APP
L 77-85
−6.5
29
@
SPU
W 87-61
+29.5
3
vs
UNH
W 69-68
−7.5
6
@
WYO
L 80-93
+1.5
covered 2didn’t cover 4avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
vs
MRST
L 56-75
−7.5
12
@
BRY
L 75-82
+5.5
16
vs
APP
L 77-85
+21.5
29
@
SPU
W 87-61
+3.5
3
vs
UNH
W 69-68
−10.5
6
@
WYO
L 80-93
+16.5
over 4under 2avg +4.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado St
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
7-2
78% covers · avg +4.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-3
67% overs · avg +5.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 98-64 | -10.5 | W +23.5 | 147.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 9 | vs | W 97-74 | -14.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 12 | vs | W 93-79 | -18.5 | L −4.5 | 165.5 | O 172 |
| Nov 16 | @ | W 80-67 | -3.5 | W +9.5 | 151.5 | U 147 |
| Nov 21 | vs | L 81-83 | -18.5 | L −20.5 | 149.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 26 | vs | L 64-66 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 27 | vs | W 76-70 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 142.5 | O 146 |
| Nov 28 | vs | W 83-68 | +2.5 | W +17.5 | 155.5 | U 151 |
| Dec 6 | vs | W 91-86 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 177 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UIW
W 98-64
+23.5
9
vs
OMA
W 97-74
+8.5
12
vs
CP
W 93-79
−4.5
16
@
LUC
W 80-67
+9.5
21
vs
DEN
L 81-83
−20.5
26
vs
VT
L 64-66
+2.5
27
vs
WICH
W 76-70
+4.5
28
vs
USF
W 83-68
+17.5
6
vs
COLO
W 91-86
+3.5
covered 7didn’t cover 2avg +4.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
UIW
W 98-64
+14.5
9
vs
OMA
W 97-74
+17.5
12
vs
CP
W 93-79
+6.5
16
@
LUC
W 80-67
−4.5
21
vs
DEN
L 81-83
+14.5
26
vs
VT
L 64-66
−23.5
27
vs
WICH
W 76-70
+3.5
28
vs
USF
W 83-68
−4.5
6
vs
COLO
W 91-86
+27.5
over 6under 3avg +5.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Dartmouth
2-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Wyoming80–93
- Wvs New Hampshire69–68
- W@ Saint Peter's87–61
- Lvs App State77–85
- L@ Bryant75–82
3 days since their last game.
Colorado St
7-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Colorado91–86
- Wvs South Florida83–68
- Wvs Wichita St76–70
- Lvs Virginia Tech64–66
- Lvs Denver81–83
3 days since their last game.