Moby Arena · at Colorado St
Closing line
CSU -18.5✓ DEN covered by 20.5
CSU -18.5✓ DEN covered by 20.5Closing total149.5Over by 14.5
 DEN | This season | CSU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-3 | Record | 4-0 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 3-1 |
| 4-0 | O/U | 3-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: DEN 66–88 CSU · ✗ CSU (97%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DEN | 41 | 42 | 83 |
| CSU | 33 | 48 | 81 |
1st half: DEN 41, CSU 33 (DEN by 8). The model had CSU by 12.8 and a total of 72.0 (actual 74).
Team stats
| DEN | CSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-57 51% | Field goals | 19-39 49% |
| 10-21 48% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 15-19 79% | Free throws | 35-44 80% |
| 22 9 off | Rebounds | 33 12 off |
| 10 | Assists | 11 |
| 4 | Steals | 2 |
| 0 | Blocks | 3 |
| 4 | Turnovers | 11 |
| 29 | Fouls | 20 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 22 |
| 1 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| DEN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Carson Johnson G | 35 | 18 | 1 | 3 | 6-11 | 3-5 |
| Shaun Wysocki F | 31 | 6 | 4 | 3 | 3-6 | 0-2 |
| Julius Rollins G | 29 | 16 | 3 | 0 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Logan Kinsey F | 21 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 5-10 | 1-3 |
| Jeremiah Burke F | 17 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Zane Nelson G | 30 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 6-10 | 3-4 |
| Gabe Oldham F | 27 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Didier Maleng F | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ian Motta, Devin Carney, Kaden Holdbrook, Trajan Thompson, Corleone Dandridge, Loch Cunningham, Josh Lee
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Pascarelli G | 35 | 4 | 6 | 4 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 34 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 3-7 | 3-5 |
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 33 | 29 | 6 | 3 | 7-11 | 3-4 |
| Jevin Muniz G | 30 | 9 | 1 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Carey Booth F | 29 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 4-6 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jase Butler G | 13 | 3 | 3 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 9 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jojo McIver G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Rashaan Mbemba F | 8 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Nikola Djapa C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Docker Tedeschi, Charlie Dortch, Jon Mekonnen, Darnez Slater
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCSU -18.5
no move
CloseCSU -18.5
No change since the open
Total
Open151.5
▼ 2
Close149.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
DEN +1000 · CSU -2000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CSU -18.5 · unchangedmodel CSU -21.5
model CSU -21.5
Opened 151.5 · closed 149.5 · moved 2 downmodel 153.5
model 153.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CSU -18.5 | CSU -21.4 | CSU +2.9 | L DEN covered |
| Total | 149.5 | 153.6 | Over 4.1 | W Over |
| Projected score | — | DEN 66.1 · CSU 87.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CSU -12.8 | DEN -8.0 |
| 1H total | 72.0 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | DEN 29.6 · CSU 42.4 | DEN 41 · CSU 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| DENlast 4 | 1-3 25% | 3-1 75% | 4-0 100% |
| CSUlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 3-1 75% | 3-1 75% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
DEN 0–2 CSUCSU leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · CSU has won the last 2 meetings · DEN 2-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 12, 2024-25 | DEN 65 @ CSU 74 | CSU -21.5 | DEN W |
| Dec 6, 2023-24 | DEN 80 @ CSU 90 | CSU -21.5 | DEN W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Denver
4 games played
Straight up
1-3
25% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-0
100% overs · avg +9.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
SEA
SEAL 73-84
+2.5
6
@
WASH
WASHL 70-84
+13.5
9
@
MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+9.5
15
vs
UTSA
UTSAL 79-84
−9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@SEA
SEAL 73-84
+20.5
6
@WASH
WASHL 70-84
+0.5
9
@MTST
MTSTW 75-73
+1.5
15
vsUTSA
UTSAL 79-84
+14.5
over 4under 0avg +9.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Colorado St
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +9.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-1
75% overs · avg +8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vs
OMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vs
CP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@
LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +9.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
over 3under 1avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Denver
1-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · West Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UTSA79–84
- W@ Montana St75–73
- L@ Washington70–84
- L@ Seattle U73–84
6 days since their last game.
Colorado St
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Loyola Chicago80–67
- Wvs Cal Poly93–79
- Wvs Omaha97–74
- Wvs Incarnate Word98–64
5 days since their last game.