Imperial Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
USF -2.5✓ CSU covered by 17.5
USF -2.5✓ CSU covered by 17.5Closing total155.5Under by 4.5
 CSU | This season | USF |
|---|---|---|
| 5-2 | Record | 4-3 |
| 5-2 | ATS | 3-4 |
| 5-2 | O/U | 5-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSU 81–83 USF · ✗ USF (56%) lost
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSU | 33 | 50 | 83 |
| USF | 29 | 39 | 68 |
1st half: CSU 33, USF 29 (CSU by 4). The model had USF by 0.9 and a total of 76.7 (actual 62).
Team stats
| CSU | USF | |
|---|---|---|
| 30-49 61% | Field goals | 25-69 36% |
| 16-22 73% | 3-pointers | 8-31 26% |
| 7-12 58% | Free throws | 10-14 71% |
| 35 3 off | Rebounds | 32 14 off |
| 23 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 8 |
| 5 | Blocks | 1 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 9 |
| 11 | Fouls | 18 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| CSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Josh Pascarelli G | 35 | 28 | 2 | 1 | 10-11 | 8-8 |
| Jevin Muniz G | 33 | 7 | 6 | 10 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Carey Booth F | 31 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Brandon Rechsteiner G | 30 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2-8 | 1-5 |
| Kyle Jorgensen F | 22 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jase Butler G | 16 | 11 | 1 | 3 | 3-4 | 3-3 |
| Nikola Djapa C | 13 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Augustinas Kiudulas F | 12 | 6 | 2 | 1 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Jojo McIver G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Darnez Slater, Jon Mekonnen, Charlie Dortch, Rashaan Mbemba, Docker Tedeschi
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Wes Enis G | 36 | 17 | 2 | 2 | 6-17 | 4-13 |
| CJ Brown G | 30 | 7 | 1 | 4 | 2-12 | 1-5 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 22 | 8 | 8 | 1 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Joseph Pinion G | 21 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-4 |
| Josh Omojafo G | 21 | 7 | 3 | 0 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Daimion Collins F | 19 | 10 | 5 | 0 | 5-5 | 0-0 |
| Adriel Nyorha G | 18 | 14 | 4 | 6 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Isaiah Jones F | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Devin Haid G | 12 | 0 | 2 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Gavin Hightower G | 8 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb Sanders, Tristan Beckford, Onyx Nnani, Xavier Brown, De'Ante Green
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSF -1.5
1 → USF
CloseUSF -2.5
1 pt toward USF
Total
Open160.5
▼ 5
Close155.5
Down 5 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USF -1.5 · closed USF -2.5 · moved 1 toward USFmodel USF -1.5
model USF -1.5
Opened 160.5 · closed 155.5 · moved 5 downmodel 164
model 164
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USF -2.5 | USF -1.7 | CSU +0.8 | W CSU covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 163.9 | Over 8.4 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | CSU 81.1 · USF 82.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | USF -0.9 | CSU -4.0 |
| 1H total | 76.7 | 62 |
| 1H projected score | CSU 37.9 · USF 38.8 | CSU 33 · USF 29 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUlast 7 | 5-2 71% | 5-2 71% | 5-2 71% |
| USFlast 7 | 4-3 57% | 3-4 43% | 5-2 71% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colorado St
7 games played
Straight up
5-2
71% wins
Against the spread
5-2
71% covers · avg +3.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +4.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
UIW
UIWW 98-64
+23.5
9
vs
OMA
OMAW 97-74
+8.5
12
vs
CP
CPW 93-79
−4.5
16
@
LUC
LUCW 80-67
+9.5
21
vs
DEN
DENL 81-83
−20.5
26
vs
VT
VTL 64-66
+2.5
27
vs
WICH
WICHW 76-70
+4.5
covered 5didn’t cover 2avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUIW
UIWW 98-64
+14.5
9
vsOMA
OMAW 97-74
+17.5
12
vsCP
CPW 93-79
+6.5
16
@LUC
LUCW 80-67
−4.5
21
vsDEN
DENL 81-83
+14.5
26
vsVT
VTL 64-66
−23.5
27
vsWICH
WICHW 76-70
+3.5
over 5under 2avg +4.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
South Florida
7 games played
Straight up
4-3
57% wins
Against the spread
3-4
43% covers · avg +2.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-2
71% overs · avg +9.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAMU | W 102-67 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 8 | vs GW | L 95-99 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 159.5 | O 194 |
| Nov 12 | vs COPP | W 100-50 | -34.5 | W +15.5 | 167.5 | U 150 |
| Nov 16 | @ KENN | W 108-89 | -7.5 | W +11.5 | 177.5 | O 197 |
| Nov 19 | @ OKST | L 95-103 | +3.5 | L −4.5 | 177.5 | O 198 |
| Nov 26 | vs VCU | L 66-78 | +1.5 | L −10.5 | 172.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 27 | vs WKU | W 97-91 | -7.5 | L −1.5 | 167.5 | O 188 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
−5.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
+15.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+11.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
−4.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−10.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
−1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 4avg +2.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
8
vsGW
GWL 95-99
+34.5
12
vsCOPP
COPPW 100-50
−17.5
16
@KENN
KENNW 108-89
+19.5
19
@OKST
OKSTL 95-103
+20.5
26
vsVCU
VCUL 66-78
−28.5
27
vsWKU
WKUW 97-91
+20.5
over 5under 2avg +9.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colorado St
5-2 overall · 0-0 in conference · Pac-12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Wichita St76–70
- Lvs Virginia Tech64–66
- Lvs Denver81–83
- W@ Loyola Chicago80–67
- Wvs Cal Poly93–79
1 day since their last game.
South Florida
4-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Western KY97–91
- Lvs VCU66–78
- L@ Oklahoma St95–103
- W@ Kennesaw St108–89
- Wvs Coppin St100–50
1 day since their last game.