Wichita State Shockers vs Colorado State Rams: Model Line and Edge

Thu, Nov 27, 8:31 PM ETImperial Arena · Neutral site

Final

#87CSUColorado St76▲ winner

Closing lineCSU -1.5✓ CSU covered by 4.5

Closing total142.5Over by 3.5

Season records: Wichita St and Colorado St
WICH	This season	CSU
4-2	Record	4-2
6-0	ATS	4-2
2-4	O/U	4-2

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: WICH 74–74 CSU · ✓ CSU (51%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
WICH	30	40	70
CSU	47	29	76

1st half: WICH 30, CSU 47 (CSU by 17). The model had WICH by 0.0 and a total of 69.2 (actual 77).

Team stats

WICH		CSU
28-64 44%	Field goals	29-52 56%
5-25 20%	3-pointers	12-30 40%
9-15 60%	Free throws	6-11 55%
39 20 off	Rebounds	26 9 off
12	Assists	21
6	Steals	5
3	Blocks	1
8	Turnovers	10
14	Fouls	15
40	Points in paint	26
2	Fast-break points	9

Players

WICH	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Karon Boyd F	35	14	11	0	6-11	1-3
Kenyon Giles G	33	18	1	3	6-19	2-10
William Berg C	24	10	9	0	4-5	0-0
TJ Williams G	21	6	3	1	3-8	0-1
Michael Gray Jr. G	20	3	0	3	1-6	1-5
Bench
Dre Kindell G	26	4	1	5	2-6	0-3
Jaret Valencia F	18	5	3	0	2-4	1-3
Emmanuel Okorafor F	16	8	7	0	4-5	0-0
Brian Amuneke G	7	2	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Noah Hill, Dillon Battie, Tyrus Rathan-Mayes, Joy Ighovodja, Pierre Couisnard, Henry Thengvall

CSU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Carey Booth F	33	14	3	1	6-11	2-5
Jevin Muniz G	33	4	8	6	2-3	0-1
Kyle Jorgensen F	32	16	1	4	6-6	1-1
Brandon Rechsteiner G	29	21	1	2	7-13	7-12
Josh Pascarelli G	29	8	2	4	3-11	2-9
Bench
Jase Butler G	18	9	2	0	4-5	0-1
Jojo McIver G	11	2	1	3	1-3	0-1
Nikola Djapa C	8	0	1	1	0-0	0-0
Augustinas Kiudulas F	7	2	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Darnez Slater, Jon Mekonnen, Charlie Dortch, Rashaan Mbemba, Docker Tedeschi

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	CSU -1.5	CSU -0.2	WICH +1.3	L CSU covered
Total	142.5	147.6	Over 5.1	W Over
Projected score	—	WICH 73.7 · CSU 73.9

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	WICH -0.0	CSU -17.0
1H total	69.2	77
1H projected score	WICH 34.6 · CSU 34.6	WICH 30 · CSU 47

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Neutral	Role
WICH WWWWW	6-0	100%	1-0	2-0
CSU WLWLW	4-2	67%	1-0	3-2

Venue/role: WICH neutral site, as underdog; CSU neutral site, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
WICH OOUUU	2-4	33%	4-2
CSU OOUOU	4-2	67%	4-2

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WICHlast 6	4-2 67%	6-0 100%	2-4 33%
CSUlast 6	4-2 67%	4-2 67%	4-2 67%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Wichita St

6 games played

Straight up

4-2

67% wins

Against the spread

6-0

100% covers · avg +11 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-4

33% overs · avg −9.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-267%

W W W L W L

2 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

6-0100%

W W W W W W

6 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

2-433%

U O O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsUNCA	W 75-58	-6.5	W +10.5	157.5	U 133
Nov 8	vsPV	W 105-62	-20.5	W +22.5	156.5	O 167
Nov 13	vsLUC	W 95-74	-5.5	W +15.5	153.5	O 169
Nov 18	@BOIS	L 59-62	+9.5	W +6.5	150.5	U 121
Nov 22	vsMILW	W 75-58	-10.5	W +6.5	158.5	U 133
Nov 26	vsSMC	L 65-70	+9.5	W +4.5	139.5	U 135

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UNCA

W 75-58

+10.5

W 105-62

+22.5

LUC

W 95-74

+15.5

BOIS

L 59-62

+6.5

MILW

W 75-58

+6.5

SMC

L 65-70

+4.5

covered 6didn’t cover 0avg +11 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UNCA

W 75-58

−24.5

W 105-62

+10.5

LUC

W 95-74

+15.5

BOIS

L 59-62

−29.5

MILW

W 75-58

−25.5

SMC

L 65-70

−4.5

over 2under 4avg −9.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Colorado St

6 games played

Straight up

4-2

67% wins

Against the spread

4-2

67% covers · avg +3.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-2

67% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total

Straight up

4-267%

W W W W L L

2 straight losses2 of last 4 won

Against the spread

4-267%

W W L W L W

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

4-267%

O O O U O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	vsUIW	W 98-64	-10.5	W +23.5	147.5	O 162
Nov 9	vsOMA	W 97-74	-14.5	W +8.5	153.5	O 171
Nov 12	vsCP	W 93-79	-18.5	L −4.5	165.5	O 172
Nov 16	@LUC	W 80-67	-3.5	W +9.5	151.5	U 147
Nov 21	vsDEN	L 81-83	-18.5	L −20.5	149.5	O 164
Nov 26	vsVT	L 64-66	+4.5	W +2.5	153.5	U 130

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

UIW

W 98-64

+23.5

OMA

W 97-74

+8.5

W 93-79

−4.5

LUC

W 80-67

+9.5

DEN

L 81-83

−20.5

L 64-66

+2.5

covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

UIW

W 98-64

+14.5

OMA

W 97-74

+17.5

W 93-79

+6.5

LUC

W 80-67

−4.5

DEN

L 81-83

+14.5

L 64-66

−23.5

over 4under 2avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Wichita State Shockers vs Colorado State Rams

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2025-26

Wichita St

Colorado St

Wichita St

Colorado St