Mohegan Sun Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
USF -1.5✓ GW covered by 5.5
USF -1.5✓ GW covered by 5.5Closing total159.5Over by 34.5
| USF | This season | GW |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: USF 76–76 GW · ✓ GW (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USF | 40 | 55 | 95 |
| GW | 44 | 55 | 99 |
1st half: USF 40, GW 44 (GW by 4). The model had GW by 0.2 and a total of 71.1 (actual 84).
Team stats
| USF | GW | |
|---|---|---|
| 31-72 43% | Field goals | 30-55 55% |
| 6-33 18% | 3-pointers | 9-24 38% |
| 27-37 73% | Free throws | 30-41 73% |
| 37 16 off | Rebounds | 39 11 off |
| 11 | Assists | 16 |
| 13 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 3 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 21 |
| 27 | Fouls | 25 |
| 50 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 21 |
Players
| USF | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joseph Pinion G | 39 | 7 | 7 | 1 | 3-18 | 1-13 |
| Josh Omojafo G | 36 | 33 | 7 | 3 | 9-14 | 3-5 |
| Izaiyah Nelson F | 28 | 14 | 7 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Wes Enis G | 24 | 3 | 0 | 2 | 1-6 | 0-5 |
| CJ Brown G | 23 | 22 | 5 | 4 | 8-12 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isaiah Jones F | 19 | 7 | 5 | 0 | 3-8 | 0-5 |
| Xavier Brown G | 18 | 6 | 0 | 1 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Daimion Collins F | 10 | 3 | 5 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Caleb Sanders F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Devin Haid, Tristan Beckford, Adriel Nyorha, Onyx Nnani, Gavin Hightower, De'Ante Green
| GW | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Trey Autry G | 37 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 6-10 | 2-5 |
| Bubu Benjamin G | 33 | 13 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-4 |
| Rafael Castro F | 21 | 14 | 6 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Tyrone Marshall Jr. F | 21 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 2-3 | 1-2 |
| Christian Jones G | 18 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-11 | 0-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Dinkins G | 27 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 6-9 | 4-7 |
| Jean Aranguren G | 26 | 7 | 4 | 4 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Luke Hunger F | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Rougier-Roane, Mohamed Binzagr, Amir Arrington, Ty Bevins, Vincent Chaudhri, Garrett Johnson, Trey Moss
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUSF -1.5
no move
CloseUSF -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open156.5
▲ 3
Close159.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
USF -120 · GW +100
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened USF -1.5 · unchangedmodel GW -0.5
model GW -0.5
Opened 156.5 · closed 159.5 · moved 3 upmodel 152
model 152
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | USF -1.5 | GW -0.7 | GW +2.2 | W GW covered |
| Total | 159.5 | 151.8 | Under 7.7 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | USF 75.6 · GW 76.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | GW -0.2 | GW -4.0 |
| 1H total | 71.1 | 84 |
| 1H projected score | USF 35.4 · GW 35.7 | USF 40 · GW 44 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| USFlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| GWlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
South Florida
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +9.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +15.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs FAMU | W 102-67 | -25.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | O 169 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+9.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +9.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsFAMU
FAMUW 102-67
+15.5
over 1under 0avg +15.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
G Washington
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −29.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs ME | W 67-47 | -20.5 | L −0.5 | 143.5 | U 114 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−0.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsME
MEW 67-47
−29.5
over 0under 1avg −29.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
South Florida
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · American Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Florida A&M102–67
5 days since their last game.
G Washington
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic 10 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Maine67–47
5 days since their last game.