Provident Credit Union Event Center · at San José St
Closing line
SJSU -7.5✓ LBSU covered by 1.5
SJSU -7.5✓ LBSU covered by 1.5Closing total141.5Over by 30.5
 LBSU | This season | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-8 | Record | 3-5 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 5-3 |
| 7-2 | O/U | 3-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: LBSU 67–77 SJSU · ✓ SJSU (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| LBSU | 39 | 38 | 6 | 83 |
| SJSU | 39 | 38 | 12 | 89 |
1st half: LBSU 39, SJSU 39 (tied). The model had SJSU by 6.0 and a total of 67.1 (actual 78).
Team stats
| LBSU | SJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-67 48% | Field goals | 30-54 56% |
| 7-24 29% | 3-pointers | 9-20 45% |
| 12-14 86% | Free throws | 20-27 74% |
| 38 18 off | Rebounds | 25 7 off |
| 11 | Assists | 12 |
| 8 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 4 |
| 15 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 18 | Fouls | 15 |
| 48 | Points in paint | 36 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 17 |
Players
| LBSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Gavin Sykes G | 41 | 26 | 2 | 1 | 11-23 | 4-9 |
| Petar Majstorovic F | 40 | 21 | 8 | 1 | 8-16 | 1-7 |
| Isaiah Lewis G | 32 | 4 | 3 | 3 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Cole Farrell G | 22 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Shay Johnson Jr. F | 20 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Rob Diaz III G | 26 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-2 |
| Derrick Michael Xzavierro F | 23 | 6 | 5 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Shaquil Bender G | 10 | 4 | 0 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| JJ Chaikovsky F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Christian Jones G | 4 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Leopold Levillain F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jayden Alexander, Immanuel Lewis, Grant Gondrezick II, Dallas Washington
| SJSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Colby Garland G | 41 | 27 | 5 | 4 | 8-17 | 0-3 |
| Melvin Bell Jr. G | 39 | 5 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Jermaine Washington G | 39 | 14 | 0 | 6 | 5-8 | 4-6 |
| Yaphet Moundi F | 35 | 18 | 3 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Sadraque NgaNga F | 24 | 10 | 2 | 0 | 4-6 | 2-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Adrian Myers G | 18 | 8 | 2 | 0 | 3-7 | 2-5 |
| Douglas Langford F | 17 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Pasha Goodarzi G | 12 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-3 | 1-3 |
Did not play: Damase Coly, Eren Karakaya, Japhet Moupadele, Marcus Overstreet, Christian Wise, JaVaughn Hannah, Jaden Goodall, Ben Roseborough
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSJSU -7.5
ModelSJSU -10.1
Model edgeSJSU +2.6
L LBSU covered
Total
Market141.5
Model143.2
Model edgeOver 1.7
W Over
Projected score
LBSU 66.5 · SJSU 76.6
LBSU 83 · SJSU 89
Win probability
SJSU 81%
1st half
Spread
SJSU -6.0
tied
Total
67.1
78 points
Projected score
LBSU 30.6 · SJSU 36.5
LBSU 39 · SJSU 39
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJSU -7.5
no move
CloseSJSU -7.5
No change since the open
Total
Open142.5
▼ 1
Close141.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
LBSU +250 · SJSU -310
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJSU -7.5 · unchangedmodel SJSU -10
model SJSU -10
Opened 142.5 · closed 141.5 · moved 1 downmodel 143
model 143
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| LBSUlast 9 | 1-8 11% | 5-4 56% | 7-2 78% |
| SJSUlast 8 | 3-5 38% | 5-3 63% | 3-5 38% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
LBSU 0–1 SJSUSJSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · LBSU 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 27, 2024-25 | SJSU 82 vs LBSU 66 | LBSU +7.5 | SJSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Long Beach St
9 games played
Straight up
1-8
11% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg −0.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-2
78% overs · avg +6.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ SDSU | L 45-77 | +25.5 | L −6.5 | 135.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 8 | @ FRES | L 62-82 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 142.5 | O 144 |
| Nov 12 | @ PAC | L 66-69 | +12.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 16 | vs ILST | L 80-82 | +8.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 21 | vs MTST | L 72-78 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 26 | @ PORT | L 73-93 | +5.5 | L −14.5 | 148.5 | O 166 |
| Nov 30 | vs USD | W 76-72 | +2.5 | W +6.5 | 147.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 4 | @ UCSB | L 77-84 | +13.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 6 | vs UCSD | L 74-80 | +8.5 | W +2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−6.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
−13.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
+9.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+6.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
−2.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
−14.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+6.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+6.5
6
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+2.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg −0.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@SDSU
SDSUL 45-77
−13.5
8
@FRES
FRESL 62-82
+1.5
12
@PAC
PACL 66-69
−6.5
16
vsILST
ILSTL 80-82
+20.5
21
vsMTST
MTSTL 72-78
+9.5
26
@PORT
PORTL 73-93
+17.5
30
vsUSD
USDW 76-72
+0.5
4
@UCSB
UCSBL 77-84
+19.5
6
vsUCSD
UCSDL 74-80
+8.5
over 7under 2avg +6.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
San José St
8 games played
Straight up
3-5
38% wins
Against the spread
5-3
63% covers · avg +0.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-5
38% overs · avg −2.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ UTAH | L 75-84 | +11.5 | W +2.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 8 | @UCSB | L 74-85 | +9.5 | L −1.5 | 146.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 13 | @ MSU | L 60-79 | +24.5 | W +5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 21 | vs SOU | W 80-66 | -5.5 | W +8.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 25 | vs TLSA | L 51-81 | +5.5 | L −24.5 | 149.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 26 | vs LUC | W 63-51 | -1.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 30 | vs UCI | L 63-72 | +3.5 | L −5.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 5 | vsUSD | W 86-69 | -6.5 | W +10.5 | 144.5 | O 155 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+2.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
−1.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
+5.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
+8.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−24.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
+10.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−5.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 3avg +0.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+12.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
+12.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
−4.5
21
vsSOU
SOUW 80-66
−4.5
25
vsTLSA
TLSAL 51-81
−17.5
26
vsLUC
LUCW 63-51
−22.5
30
vsUCI
UCIL 63-72
−4.5
5
vsUSD
USDW 86-69
+10.5
over 3under 5avg −2.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Long Beach St
1-8 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs UC San Diego74–80
- L@ Santa Barbara77–84
- Wvs San Diego76–72
- L@ Portland73–93
- Lvs Montana St72–78
3 days since their last game.
San José St
3-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs San Diego86–69
- Lvs UC Irvine63–72
- Wvs Loyola Chicago63–51
- Lvs Tulsa51–81
- Wvs Southern80–66
4 days since their last game.