Provident Credit Union Event Center · at San José St
Closing line
SJSU -5.5✓ SJSU covered by 8.5
SJSU -5.5✓ SJSU covered by 8.5Closing total150.5Under by 4.5
 SOU | This season | SJSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-3 | Record | 0-3 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 3-0 | O/U | 2-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SOU 76–83 SJSU · ✓ SJSU (74%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOU | 35 | 31 | 66 |
| SJSU | 42 | 38 | 80 |
1st half: SOU 35, SJSU 42 (SJSU by 7). The model had SJSU by 4.3 and a total of 74.6 (actual 77).
Team stats
| SOU | SJSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 24-61 39% | Field goals | 25-53 47% |
| 7-28 25% | 3-pointers | 8-18 44% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 22-29 76% |
| 31 11 off | Rebounds | 40 13 off |
| 13 | Assists | 13 |
| 11 | Steals | 6 |
| 3 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 15 |
| 22 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 11 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| SOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cam Amboree G | 34 | 6 | 2 | 3 | 2-12 | 2-7 |
| Michael Jacobs G | 28 | 24 | 4 | 4 | 9-17 | 2-8 |
| DaMariee Jones F | 26 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Terrance Dixon Jr. F | 17 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 3-4 | 0-0 |
| Rondae Hill G | 14 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Keith Lamar F | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Malek Abdelgowad F | 15 | 4 | 5 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Fazl Oshodi G | 13 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-7 | 1-5 |
| Ashton Magee G | 9 | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brandon Hardy G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Lionel Bell C | 7 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Joe Manning G | 6 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Andre Nunley, Jayce Depron, AJ Barnes, Puoch Dobuol, Trey Shephard, Femi Olaniyan
| SJSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ben Roseborough G | 38 | 16 | 2 | 2 | 4-13 | 2-8 |
| Yaphet Moundi F | 37 | 21 | 11 | 2 | 6-7 | 0-0 |
| Jermaine Washington G | 36 | 17 | 3 | 3 | 6-8 | 4-5 |
| Colby Garland G | 36 | 16 | 4 | 5 | 5-11 | 0-0 |
| Sadraque NgaNga F | 33 | 8 | 11 | 0 | 3-11 | 2-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Melvin Bell Jr. G | 13 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Marcus Overstreet F | 5 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Douglas Langford F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: JaVaughn Hannah, Pasha Goodarzi, Adrian Myers, Damase Coly, Eren Karakaya, Japhet Moupadele, Jaden Goodall, Christian Wise
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketSJSU -5.5
ModelSJSU -7.4
Model edgeSJSU +1.9
W SJSU covered
Total
Market150.5
Model159.3
Model edgeOver 8.8
L Under
Projected score
SOU 76 · SJSU 83.3
SOU 66 · SJSU 80
Win probability
SJSU 74%
1st half
Spread
SJSU -4.3
SJSU -7.0
Total
74.6
77 points
Projected score
SOU 35.2 · SJSU 39.4
SOU 35 · SJSU 42
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenSJSU -3.5
2 → SJSU
CloseSJSU -5.5
2 pts toward SJSU
Total
Open148.5
▲ 2
Close150.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SOU +195 · SJSU -230
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened SJSU -3.5 · closed SJSU -5.5 · moved 2 toward SJSUmodel SJSU -7.5
model SJSU -7.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 150.5 · moved 2 upmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SOUlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 2-1 67% | 3-0 100% |
| SJSUlast 3 | 0-3 0% | 2-1 67% | 2-1 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Southern
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +6.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-0
100% overs · avg +32.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
ARK
ARKL 77-109
−5.5
5
@
MARQ
MARQL 82-100
+6.5
18
@
WASH
WASHL 93-99
+17.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +6.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ARK
ARKL 77-109
+35.5
5
@MARQ
MARQL 82-100
+26.5
18
@WASH
WASHL 93-99
+34.5
over 3under 0avg +32.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
San José St
3 games played
Straight up
0-3
0% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +2.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-1
67% overs · avg +6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@
UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+2.5
8
@
UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
−1.5
13
@
MSU
MSUL 60-79
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +2.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@UTAH
UTAHL 75-84
+12.5
8
@UCSB
UCSBL 74-85
+12.5
13
@MSU
MSUL 60-79
−4.5
over 2under 1avg +6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Southern
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Washington93–99
- L@ Marquette82–100
- L@ Arkansas77–109
3 days since their last game.
San José St
0-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Mountain West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Michigan St60–79
- L@ Santa Barbara74–85
- L@ Utah75–84
A week or more of rest.