Pinnacle Bank Arena · at Nebraska
Line
NEB -33.5moved 1 toward LEM
Total152.5down 1 from 153.5
| This season | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model: projects NEB 89–56 · win probability NEB 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
NEB -33.5
moved 1 toward LEM
Total
152.5
model 145.5 · Under by 7
Model edge
Even
matches the market
Public on the spread
90% LEM
83% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record
What could decide it: NEB has more of the edges
LEM 1, NEB 8 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
LEM offense vs NEB defense
Offense 333rd of 366 against a defense 23rd, on the model’s ratings
Context
Schedule so far
LEM has played the 344th-hardest schedule, NEB the 59th. A record against a soft schedule means less
NEB offense vs LEM defense
Offense 43rd of 366 against a defense 308th, on the model’s ratings
Turnovers
Turnover rate: LEM 19.1%, NEB 14.5%. Forced: LEM 15.0%, NEB 18.9%
Three-pointers
LEM hits 34.3% and allows 36.0%; NEB hits 35.5% and allows 30.5%. Threes are 40.8% and 51.1% of their shots
Free throws
Free throw rate: LEM 39.5, NEB 26.2. Allowed: LEM 32.7, NEB 25.1
Shooting
Effective FG%: LEM 52.6 and allows 49.3; NEB 55.5 and allows 48.1
Home court
NEB at home. This season: NEB 0-0 at home, LEM 0-0 away
Context
Tempo
About 68 possessions: LEM plays 69.2 a game (168th fastest), NEB 67.3 (267th). Faster games mean more points
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: LEM 25.2%, NEB 26.7%. Defensive: LEM 71.0%, NEB 72.6%
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: LEM 24%, NEB 48%. Transfers in: LEM 7, NEB 6. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
How games like this went
Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
| Situation | Games | Favorite won | Favorite covered | Went over |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home favorites of 20 or more | 1165 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Non-conference games at this spread | 1090 | 99% | 50% | 52% |
| Lines that moved 1+ toward the underdog | 4513 | 74% | 51% | 50% |
| Games with a total of 150 to 154.5 | 2755 | 75% | 51% | 50% |
Market
Open → current
Spread
OpenNEB -34.5
1 → LEM
NowNEB -33.5
1 pt toward LEM
Total
Open153.5
▼ 1
Now152.5
Down 1 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Median of 5 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened NEB -34.5 · now NEB -33.5 · moved 1 toward LEMmodel NEB -33
model NEB -33
Opened 153.5 · now 152 · moved 1.5 downmodel 145.5
model 145.5
Openline modelNow
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Public betting
Share of bets and of money
Bets
Money
Over 152.5TotalUnder 152.5
Bets
Money
Books
5 sportsbooks · current prices
| Book | Spread | Total | Moneyline | |||
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| LEM | NEB | Over | Under | LEM | NEB | |
| BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag | -33.5-110 | +33.5-110 | 152-105 | 152-115 | — | — |
| BetRiversBetRivers | -33.5-115 | +33.5-110 | 153.5-114 | 153.5-112 | — | — |
| BovadaBovada | -33.5-110 | +33.5-110 | 152-105 | 152-115 | — | — |
| DraftKingsDK | -33.5-110 | +33.5-110 | 152.5-110 | 152.5-110 | — | — |
| LowVig.agLowVig.ag | -33.5-106 | +33.5-106 | 152-103 | 152-113 | — | — |
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NEB -33.5 | NEB -33.2 | LEM +0.3 |
| Total | 152.5 | 145.5 | Under 7.0 |
| Projected score | — | LEM 56.2 · NEB 89.3 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NEB -19.6 | — |
| 1H total | 68.1 | — |
| 1H projected score | LEM 24.2 · NEB 43.8 | — |
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2025-26
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% | 4-6 40% | |
| 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Le Moyne
31 games played
Straight up
14-17
45% wins
Against the spread
16-15
52% covers · avg +1.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
12-19
39% overs · avg +0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 6 | @ | L 69-74 | +24.5 | W +19.5 | 156.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 9 | @ | L 60-83 | +11.5 | L −11.5 | 154.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 13 | @ | L 80-94 | +16.5 | W +2.5 | 153.5 | O 174 |
| Nov 17 | vs | W 74-68 | -2.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 142 |
| Nov 22 | vs | L 83-97 | +1.5 | L −12.5 | 145.5 | O 180 |
| Nov 28 | @ | W 76-63 | +4.5 | W +17.5 | 151.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 83-79 | +6.5 | W +10.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 30 | vs | L 85-96 | -1.5 | L −12.5 | 140.5 | O 181 |
| Dec 6 | @ | W 78-63 | -2.5 | W +12.5 | 144.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 16 | @ | L 53-95 | +29.5 | L −12.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 20 | @ | L 81-92 | +21.5 | W +10.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 28 | @ | L 64-72 | +12.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 2 | @ | W 84-58 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 151.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 4 | @ | L 60-74 | +2.5 | L −11.5 | 141.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 8 | vs | W 73-47 | -5.5 | W +20.5 | 137.5 | U 120 |
| Jan 10 | vs | L 59-69 | -1.5 | L −11.5 | 146.5 | U 128 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 72-57 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 19 | vs | W 83-77 | +1.5 | W +7.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 23 | vs | W 69-67 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 26 | @ | W 87-74 | +1.5 | W +14.5 | 139.5 | O 161 |
| Jan 29 | @ | L 61-83 | +8.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 31 | vs | L 54-65 | -2.5 | L −13.5 | 140.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 5 | @ | L 78-79 | -1.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 7 | vs | W 86-84 | -7.5 | L −5.5 | 153.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 12 | vs | W 58-57 | -2.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 115 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 81-63 | -6.5 | W +11.5 | 144.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 19 | @ | L 77-78 | +8.5 | W +7.5 | 165.5 | U 155 |
| Feb 21 | @ | L 68-77 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 137.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 26 | vs | W 76-59 | -4.5 | W +12.5 | 139.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | @ | L 59-66 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 137.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 4 | vs | L 71-81 | -4.5 | L −14.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
6
@
XAV
L 69-74
+19.5
9
@
BGSU
L 60-83
−11.5
13
@
MASS
L 80-94
+2.5
17
vs
NIA
W 74-68
+3.5
22
vs
FAIR
L 83-97
−12.5
28
@
LAF
W 76-63
+17.5
29
vs
MONM
W 83-79
+10.5
30
vs
BALL
L 85-96
−12.5
6
@
BING
W 78-63
+12.5
16
@
TEX
L 53-95
−12.5
20
@
SBU
L 81-92
+10.5
28
@
BC
L 64-72
+4.5
2
@
SFPA
W 84-58
+20.5
4
@
MERC
L 60-74
−11.5
8
vs
NHVN
W 73-47
+20.5
10
vs
CCSU
L 59-69
−11.5
17
@
CHST
W 72-57
+8.5
19
vs
LIU
W 83-77
+7.5
23
vs
WAG
W 69-67
−5.5
26
@
FDU
W 87-74
+14.5
29
@
LIU
L 61-83
−13.5
31
vs
STO
L 54-65
−13.5
5
@
WAG
L 78-79
−2.5
7
vs
SFPA
W 86-84
−5.5
12
vs
MERC
W 58-57
−1.5
14
vs
CHST
W 81-63
+11.5
19
@
CCSU
L 77-78
+7.5
21
@
STO
L 68-77
−10.5
26
vs
FDU
W 76-59
+12.5
28
@
NHVN
L 59-66
−8.5
4
vs
STO
L 71-81
−14.5
covered 16didn’t cover 15avg +1.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
6
@
XAV
L 69-74
−13.5
9
@
BGSU
L 60-83
−11.5
13
@
MASS
L 80-94
+20.5
17
vs
NIA
W 74-68
+3.5
22
vs
FAIR
L 83-97
+34.5
28
@
LAF
W 76-63
−12.5
29
vs
MONM
W 83-79
+16.5
30
vs
BALL
L 85-96
+40.5
6
@
BING
W 78-63
−3.5
16
@
TEX
L 53-95
−4.5
20
@
SBU
L 81-92
+21.5
28
@
BC
L 64-72
−10.5
2
@
SFPA
W 84-58
−9.5
4
@
MERC
L 60-74
−7.5
8
vs
NHVN
W 73-47
−17.5
10
vs
CCSU
L 59-69
−18.5
17
@
CHST
W 72-57
−17.5
19
vs
LIU
W 83-77
+9.5
23
vs
WAG
W 69-67
−7.5
26
@
FDU
W 87-74
+21.5
29
@
LIU
L 61-83
−3.5
31
vs
STO
L 54-65
−21.5
5
@
WAG
L 78-79
+18.5
7
vs
SFPA
W 86-84
+16.5
12
vs
MERC
W 58-57
−23.5
14
vs
CHST
W 81-63
−0.5
19
@
CCSU
L 77-78
−10.5
21
@
STO
L 68-77
+7.5
26
vs
FDU
W 76-59
−4.5
28
@
NHVN
L 59-66
−12.5
4
vs
STO
L 71-81
+11.5
over 12under 19avg +0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nebraska
35 games played
Straight up
28-7
80% wins
Against the spread
19-16
54% covers · avg +2.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-24
31% overs · avg −6.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 10 | vs | W 90-60 | -1.5 | W +28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ | W 83-80 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs | W 78-55 | -29.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | vs | W 86-55 | -31.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 2 | vs | W 58-56 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 114 |
| Jan 5 | @ | W 72-69 | +2.5 | W +5.5 | 155.5 | U 141 |
| Jan 10 | @ | W 83-77 | +4.5 | W +10.5 | 150.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 13 | vs | W 90-55 | -10.5 | W +24.5 | 146.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 17 | @ | W 77-58 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 149.5 | U 135 |
| Jan 21 | vs | W 76-66 | -10.5 | L −0.5 | 152.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 24 | @ | W 76-57 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 140.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 27 | @ | L 72-75 | +11.5 | W +8.5 | 157.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 1 | vs | L 69-78 | -1.5 | L −10.5 | 154.5 | U 147 |
| Feb 7 | @ | W 80-68 | -12.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Feb 10 | vs | L 77-80 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 14 | vs | W 68-49 | -13.5 | W +5.5 | 146.5 | U 117 |
| Feb 17 | @ | L 52-57 | +1.5 | L −3.5 | 139.5 | U 109 |
| Feb 21 | vs | W 87-64 | -17.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 25 | vs | W 74-61 | -16.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 28 | @ | W 82-67 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 149 |
| Mar 3 | @ | L 52-72 | +1.5 | L −18.5 | 144.5 | U 124 |
| Mar 8 | vs | W 84-75 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 136.5 | O 159 |
| Mar 13 | vs | L 58-74 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Mar 19 | vs | W 76-47 | -13.5 | W +15.5 | 139.5 | U 123 |
| Mar 21 | vs | W 74-72 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | U 146 |
| Mar 26 | vs | L 71-77 | -1.5 | L −7.5 | 131.5 | O 148 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WGA
W 86-53
+8.5
8
vs
FIU
W 96-66
+8.5
11
vs
UMES
W 69-50
−16.5
15
vs
OU
W 105-99
+4.5
20
vs
UNM
W 84-72
+3.5
21
vs
KSU
W 86-85
−0.5
25
vs
WIN
W 80-73
−7.5
29
vs
UPST
W 72-63
−16.5
7
vs
CREI
W 71-50
+15.5
10
vs
WIS
W 90-60
+28.5
13
@
ILL
W 83-80
+12.5
21
vs
UND
W 78-55
−6.5
30
vs
UNH
W 86-55
−0.5
2
vs
MSU
W 58-56
−0.5
5
@
OSU
W 72-69
+5.5
10
@
IU
W 83-77
+10.5
13
vs
ORE
W 90-55
+24.5
17
@
NU
W 77-58
+14.5
21
vs
WASH
W 76-66
−0.5
24
@
MINN
W 76-57
+14.5
27
@
MICH
L 72-75
+8.5
1
vs
ILL
L 69-78
−10.5
7
@
RUTG
W 80-68
−0.5
10
vs
PUR
L 77-80
−5.5
14
vs
NU
W 68-49
+5.5
17
@
IOWA
L 52-57
−3.5
21
vs
PSU
W 87-64
+5.5
25
vs
MD
W 74-61
−3.5
28
@
USC
W 82-67
+9.5
3
@
UCLA
L 52-72
−18.5
8
vs
IOWA
W 84-75
+4.5
13
vs
PUR
L 58-74
−11.5
19
vs
TROY
W 76-47
+15.5
21
vs
VAN
W 74-72
+3.5
26
vs
IOWA
L 71-77
−7.5
covered 19didn’t cover 16avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
WGA
W 86-53
−14.5
8
vs
FIU
W 96-66
+5.5
11
vs
UMES
W 69-50
−27.5
15
vs
OU
W 105-99
+40.5
20
vs
UNM
W 84-72
+4.5
21
vs
KSU
W 86-85
+2.5
25
vs
WIN
W 80-73
−13.5
29
vs
UPST
W 72-63
−22.5
7
vs
CREI
W 71-50
−34.5
10
vs
WIS
W 90-60
−8.5
13
@
ILL
W 83-80
+6.5
21
vs
UND
W 78-55
−18.5
30
vs
UNH
W 86-55
−5.5
2
vs
MSU
W 58-56
−32.5
5
@
OSU
W 72-69
−14.5
10
@
IU
W 83-77
+9.5
13
vs
ORE
W 90-55
−1.5
17
@
NU
W 77-58
−14.5
21
vs
WASH
W 76-66
−10.5
24
@
MINN
W 76-57
−7.5
27
@
MICH
L 72-75
−10.5
1
vs
ILL
L 69-78
−7.5
7
@
RUTG
W 80-68
+2.5
10
vs
PUR
L 77-80
+10.5
14
vs
NU
W 68-49
−29.5
17
@
IOWA
L 52-57
−30.5
21
vs
PSU
W 87-64
+3.5
25
vs
MD
W 74-61
−7.5
28
@
USC
W 82-67
−0.5
3
@
UCLA
L 52-72
−20.5
8
vs
IOWA
W 84-75
+22.5
13
vs
PUR
L 58-74
−13.5
19
vs
TROY
W 76-47
−16.5
21
vs
VAN
W 74-72
−0.5
26
vs
IOWA
L 71-77
+16.5
over 11under 24avg −6.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Nebraska has the better starters
Position by position: Le Moyne 0, Nebraska 4, even 1
Le MoyneBetterNebraska
G A. Moss10 pts · 7 reb · 5 ast
Not ranked
=No call
G T. Leonhardt TR12 pts · 5.4 reb · 5.7 ast
Score 83
G J. Clayville TR6.6 pts · 1.5 reb · 1.3 ast
Score 11
→NEBBig
F P. Sandfort18.1 pts · 4.9 reb · 2 ast
Score 97
G D. King TR4.6 pts · 2.5 reb · 1.1 ast
Score 59
→NEBSmall
F B. Kapke TR10.6 pts · 5.7 reb · 0.7 ast
Score 77
F K. Stuckey TR4.4 pts · 4.7 reb · 0.5 ast
Score 5
→NEBBig
F S. Orme TR12.5 pts · 4.9 reb · 1.8 ast
Score 86
F T. Francis TR4.5 pts · 2.6 reb · 0.4 ast
Score 27
→NEBBig
F D. Wilkinson TR14.1 pts · 6.3 reb · 1.2 ast
Score 93
Le MoyneBetterNebraska
LEM offense333rd of 366 · -10.8
→NEBBig
NEB defense23rd of 366 · +5.1
LEM defense308th of 366 · -8.0
→NEBBig
NEB offense43rd of 366 · +4.6
Backcourt-4.4 · 3 players
→NEBBig
Backcourt+2.0 · 1 player
Frontcourt-3.3 · 2 players
→NEBBig
Frontcourt+13.0 · 4 players
Bench-6.1 · 5 players
→NEBBig
Bench+1.7 · 5 players
Score, worst to bestLEM betterNEB betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Depth chart
Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Guards
A. Moss37 minJ. Clayville20 min · TRD. King14 min · TRJ. Teat14 min · TRK. Williams12 min · TRJ. Lee4 min
Forwards
K. Stuckey19 min · TRT. Francis15 min · TRT. Roe7 minI. BrownNewC. SchreinerNewC. JohnsonNew
Centers
P. Hartman9 min · TR
Guards
T. Leonhardt35 min · TRC. Jacobsen20 minT. DeGourville19 min · TRC. Essegian14 minJ. LanierNewC. RiceNew
Forwards
P. Sandfort34 minB. Kapke27 min · TRS. Orme26 min · TRD. Wilkinson25 min · TRB. Frager24 minK. Betts6 min · TR
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.
Matchup stats
2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Points per game
Points per possession
Pace (possessions)
Shooting
Effective FG%
3-point %
3-point attempt rate
Free throw rate
Possessions
Turnover rate
Offensive rebound rate
Assists per game
Defense
Points allowed
Points allowed per possession
Opponent effective FG%
Opponent 3-point %
Turnovers forced
Defensive rebound rate
Steals per game
Blocks per game
| Scoring | ||
|---|---|---|
| 72.3 #234 | Points per game | 77.0 #116 |
| 1.04 #265 | Points per possession | 1.15 #61 |
| 69.2 #168 | Pace (possessions) | 67.3 #267 |
| Shooting | ||
| 52.6 #118 | Effective FG% | 55.5 #28 |
| 34.3 #152 | 3-point % | 35.5 #91 |
| 40.8 #151 | 3-point attempt rate | 51.1 #9 |
| 39.5 #68 | Free throw rate | 26.2 #356 |
| Possessions | ||
| 19.1 #323 | Turnover rate | 14.5 #44 |
| 25.2 #337 | Offensive rebound rate | 26.7 #306 |
| 14.0 #149 | Assists per game | 18.0 #10 |
| Defense | ||
| 73.9 #154 | Points allowed | 66.1 #14 |
| 1.07 #132 | Points allowed per possession | 0.98 #13 |
| 49.3 #75 | Opponent effective FG% | 48.1 #40 |
| 36.0 #303 | Opponent 3-point % | 30.5 #19 |
| 15.0 #289 | Turnovers forced | 18.9 #54 |
| 71.0 #107 | Defensive rebound rate | 72.6 #47 |
| 5.5 #300 | Steals per game | 7.1 #112 |
| 3.3 #177 | Blocks per game | 2.5 #303 |
Le Moyne
14-17 in 2025-26 overall · 10-9 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Stonehill71–81
- L@ New Haven59–66
- Wvs FDU76–59
- L@ Stonehill68–77
- L@ C Connecticut77–78
A week or more of rest.
Nebraska
28-7 in 2025-26 overall · 15-6 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Iowa71–77
- Wvs Vanderbilt74–72
- Wvs Troy76–47
- Lvs Purdue58–74
- Wvs Iowa84–75
A week or more of rest.