Pinnacle Bank Arena · at Nebraska · Conference game
Closing line
NEB -2.5✓ MSU covered by 0.5
NEB -2.5✓ MSU covered by 0.5Closing total146.5Under by 32.5
 MSU | This season | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| 12-1 | Record | 13-0 |
| 5-8 | ATS | 7-6 |
| 5-8 | O/U | 5-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MSU 72–73 NEB · ✓ NEB (50%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 33 | 23 | 56 |
| NEB | 33 | 25 | 58 |
1st half: MSU 33, NEB 33 (tied). The model had MSU by 0.1 and a total of 67.9 (actual 66).
Team stats
| MSU | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 17-50 34% | Field goals | 18-57 32% |
| 10-28 36% | 3-pointers | 13-37 35% |
| 12-15 80% | Free throws | 9-13 69% |
| 45 11 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 12 | Assists | 15 |
| 5 | Steals | 7 |
| 4 | Blocks | 5 |
| 21 | Turnovers | 8 |
| 14 | Fouls | 16 |
| 10 | Points in paint | 10 |
| 6 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 35 | 14 | 0 | 7 | 2-8 | 0-4 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 32 | 19 | 11 | 1 | 7-10 | 5-6 |
| Carson Cooper C | 31 | 6 | 13 | 1 | 2-6 | 0-0 |
| Coen Carr F | 30 | 2 | 6 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Kur Teng G | 28 | 12 | 5 | 0 | 4-15 | 4-12 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Scott F | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Cam Ward F | 13 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Trey Fort G | 9 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Denham Wojcik G | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jesse McCulloch F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Nick Sanders, Divine Ugochukwu, Brennan Walton, Colin Walton, Kaleb Glenn
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rienk Mast F | 36 | 19 | 7 | 3 | 6-15 | 6-13 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 33 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 32 | 4 | 4 | 5 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 24 | 0 | 5 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Pryce Sandfort F | 21 | 13 | 3 | 0 | 5-13 | 3-8 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braden Frager F | 30 | 9 | 5 | 3 | 3-8 | 3-5 |
| Cale Jacobsen G | 16 | 1 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Jared Garcia F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Henry Burt, Connor Essegian, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Kendall Blue, Justin Bolis, Will Cooper, Quentin Rhymes, Leo Curtis
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -1.5
1 → NEB
CloseNEB -2.5
1 pt toward NEB
Total
Open145.5
▲ 1
Close146.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
MSU +114 · NEB -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -1.5 · closed NEB -2.5 · moved 1 toward NEBmodel NEB -0
model NEB -0
Opened 145.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 1 upmodel 145
model 145
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NEB -2.5 | NEB -0.1 | MSU +2.4 | W MSU covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 144.9 | Under 1.6 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MSU 72.4 · NEB 72.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MSU -0.1 | PK |
| 1H total | 67.9 | 66 |
| 1H projected score | MSU 34 · NEB 33.9 | MSU 33 · NEB 33 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MSU | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 4-6 40% |
| NEB | 10-0 100% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MSU 4–1 NEBMSU leads · 5 games since 2021-22 · MSU 3-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | NEB 52 @ MSU 89 | MSU -6.5 | MSU W |
| Dec 10, 2023-24 | MSU 70 @ NEB 77 | NEB +3.5 | NEB W |
| Feb 28, 2022-23 | MSU 80 @ NEB 67 | NEB +4.5 | MSU W |
| Jan 3, 2022-23 | NEB 56 @ MSU 74 | MSU -7.5 | MSU W |
| Jan 5, 2021-22 | NEB 67 @ MSU 79 | MSU -15 | NEB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Michigan St
13 games played
Straight up
12-1
92% wins
Against the spread
5-8
38% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg −1.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COLG | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARK | W 69-66 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | vs SJSU | W 79-60 | -24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs UK | W 83-66 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs DETM | W 84-56 | -30.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 25 | vs ECU | W 89-56 | -19.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNC | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | vs IOWA | W 71-52 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs DUKE | L 60-66 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @ PSU | W 76-72 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOL | W 92-69 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs OAK | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 29 | vs COR | W 114-97 | -23.5 | L −6.5 | 160.5 | O 211 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
+0.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−5.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
+20.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−2.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+13.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
+14.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
+13.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−4.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
−8.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
−0.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−10.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
−6.5
covered 5didn’t cover 8avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
−20.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−4.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
−3.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−9.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+4.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
−20.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
−10.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−15.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
+2.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
+10.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−6.5
29
vsCOR
CORW 114-97
+50.5
over 5under 8avg −1.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nebraska
13 games played
Straight up
13-0
100% wins
Against the spread
7-6
54% covers · avg +2.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-8
38% overs · avg −6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WGA | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs FIU | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMES | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs OU | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNM | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs KSU | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs WIN | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs UPST | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CREI | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 10 | vs WIS | W 90-60 | -1.5 | W +28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ ILL | W 83-80 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 21 | vs UND | W 78-55 | -29.5 | L −6.5 | 151.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 30 | vs UNH | W 86-55 | -31.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | U 141 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−16.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
+15.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
+28.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+12.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−6.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−0.5
covered 7didn’t cover 6avg +2.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−22.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
−34.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
−8.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+6.5
21
vsUND
UNDW 78-55
−18.5
30
vsUNH
UNHW 86-55
−5.5
over 5under 8avg −6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Michigan St
12-1 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Cornell114–97
- Wvs Oakland79–70
- Wvs Toledo92–69
- W@ Penn State76–72
- Lvs Duke60–66
4 days since their last game.
Nebraska
13-0 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs New Hampshire86–55
- Wvs North Dakota78–55
- W@ Illinois83–80
- Wvs Wisconsin90–60
- Wvs Creighton71–50
3 days since their last game.