Pinnacle Bank Arena · at Nebraska
Closing line
NEB -14.5✓ WIN covered by 7.5
NEB -14.5✓ WIN covered by 7.5Closing total166.5Under by 13.5
 WIN | This season | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| 3-3 | Record | 6-0 |
| 5-1 | ATS | 4-2 |
| 2-4 | O/U | 4-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIN 74–88 NEB · ✓ NEB (88%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIN | 36 | 37 | 73 |
| NEB | 32 | 48 | 80 |
1st half: WIN 36, NEB 32 (WIN by 4). The model had NEB by 8.0 and a total of 75.8 (actual 68).
Team stats
| WIN | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 26-69 38% | Field goals | 29-69 42% |
| 13-42 31% | 3-pointers | 13-38 34% |
| 8-13 62% | Free throws | 9-10 90% |
| 48 17 off | Rebounds | 38 10 off |
| 15 | Assists | 22 |
| 3 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 15 | Fouls | 12 |
| 22 | Points in paint | 32 |
| 0 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| WIN | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kareem Rozier G | 30 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 4-14 | 4-10 |
| Daylen Berry G | 26 | 12 | 6 | 2 | 5-15 | 2-10 |
| Kody Clouet G | 24 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Logan Duncomb C | 16 | 8 | 10 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Wilson G | 13 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Seifeldin Hendawy G | 21 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-6 | 1-5 |
| Tommy Kamarad F | 19 | 8 | 4 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Tai Hamilton F | 14 | 4 | 4 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Pharrell Boyogueno G | 14 | 11 | 6 | 1 | 3-5 | 3-4 |
| Josh Meo G | 14 | 0 | 3 | 1 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Ed Nnamoko F | 9 | 4 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaleb Evans, Braylhan Thomas, Henry Harrison, Cam Christy
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rienk Mast F | 33 | 31 | 5 | 4 | 11-18 | 7-10 |
| Braden Frager F | 31 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 4-13 | 1-7 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 31 | 2 | 6 | 6 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Pryce Sandfort F | 30 | 10 | 8 | 2 | 4-13 | 2-10 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 26 | 5 | 1 | 4 | 2-6 | 1-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cale Jacobsen G | 27 | 11 | 6 | 2 | 4-7 | 0-0 |
| Jared Garcia F | 11 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-2 |
| Connor Essegian G | 11 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
Did not play: Justin Bolis, Leo Curtis, Quentin Rhymes, Will Cooper, Berke Buyuktuncel, Kendall Blue, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Henry Burt
Loading the game…
Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEB -14.5
ModelNEB -13.4
Model edgeWIN +1.1
W WIN covered
Total
Market166.5
Model161.9
Model edgeUnder 4.6
W Under
Projected score
WIN 74.3 · NEB 87.7
WIN 73 · NEB 80
Win probability
NEB 88%
1st half
Spread
NEB -8.0
WIN -4.0
Total
75.8
68 points
Projected score
WIN 33.9 · NEB 41.9
WIN 36 · NEB 32
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -16.5
2 → WIN
CloseNEB -14.5
2 pts toward WIN
Total
Open165.5
▲ 1
Close166.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
WIN +900 · NEB -1600
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -16.5 · closed NEB -14.5 · moved 2 toward WINmodel NEB -13.5
model NEB -13.5
Opened 165.5 · closed 166.5 · moved 1 upmodel 162
model 162
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WINlast 6 | 3-3 50% | 5-1 83% | 2-4 33% |
| NEBlast 6 | 6-0 100% | 4-2 67% | 4-2 67% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Winthrop
6 games played
Straight up
3-3
50% wins
Against the spread
5-1
83% covers · avg +10.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-4
33% overs · avg −1.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
QUC
QUCW 81-74
+3.5
7
@
GMU
GMUL 90-96
+3.5
11
@
CCU
CCUL 66-72
−8.5
15
vs
MER
MERW 105-69
+33.5
18
@
ARK
ARKL 83-84
+22.5
23
@
JKST
JKSTW 80-62
+7.5
covered 5didn’t cover 1avg +10.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsQUC
QUCW 81-74
−8.5
7
@GMU
GMUL 90-96
+39.5
11
@CCU
CCUL 66-72
−27.5
15
vsMER
MERW 105-69
+11.5
18
@ARK
ARKL 83-84
−1.5
23
@JKST
JKSTW 80-62
−21.5
over 2under 4avg −1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nebraska
6 games played
Straight up
6-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-2
67% covers · avg +1.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-2
67% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vs
FIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vs
UMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vs
OU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vs
UNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vs
KSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
covered 4didn’t cover 2avg +1.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
over 4under 2avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Winthrop
3-3 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big South Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Jackson St80–62
- L@ Arkansas83–84
- Wvs Mercer105–69
- L@ Coastal66–72
- L@ George Mason90–96
2 days since their last game.
Nebraska
6-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Kansas St86–85
- Wvs New Mexico84–72
- Wvs Oklahoma105–99
- Wvs MD Eastern69–50
- Wvs FIU96–66
4 days since their last game.