West Georgia Wolves at Nebraska Cornhuskers: Model Line and Edge

Mon, Nov 3, 8:00 PM ETPinnacle Bank Arena · at Nebraska

Final

#27NEBNebraska86▲ winner

Closing lineNEB -24.5✓ NEB covered by 8.5

Closing total153.5Under by 14.5

Season records: West Georgia and Nebraska
WGA	This season	NEB
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: WGA 63–87 NEB · ✓ NEB (98%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
WGA	25	28	53
NEB	30	56	86

1st half: WGA 25, NEB 30 (NEB by 5). The model had NEB by 14.2 and a total of 70.0 (actual 55).

Team stats

WGA		NEB
19-65 29%	Field goals	30-64 47%
4-24 17%	3-pointers	10-32 31%
11-13 85%	Free throws	16-25 64%
37 12 off	Rebounds	49 15 off
8	Assists	20
7	Steals	7
4	Blocks	1
12	Turnovers	9
21	Fouls	14
26	Points in paint	38
3	Fast-break points	13

Players

WGA	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Shelton Williams-Dryden F	30	14	5	0	5-19	0-0
Chas Lewless G	30	11	6	2	4-15	3-11
Kenneth Chime PF	28	7	7	1	3-5	0-0
Brady Hardewig G	27	5	3	0	1-5	1-5
Kolten Griffin F	27	5	2	4	2-6	0-2
Bench
Josh Smith G	24	4	3	1	1-8	0-4
Xavier Shegog F	19	3	6	0	1-2	0-1
JaVar Daniel F	12	4	2	0	2-4	0-0
Nate Jones G	3	0	0	0	0-1	0-1

Did not play: Micah Smith, Eric Baldassarre, Max Young, Malcolm Noel, Cameron Merritt, Matija Zuzic, Maddox Fowles

NEB	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Jamarques Lawrence G	26	18	2	6	6-10	5-8
Rienk Mast F	25	10	11	1	3-7	0-2
Sam Hoiberg G	23	5	7	3	2-4	1-1
Berke Buyuktuncel C	22	4	7	3	2-5	0-1
Pryce Sandfort F	21	3	4	2	0-5	0-5
Bench
Braden Frager F	22	22	5	2	8-11	2-5
Cale Jacobsen G	19	5	3	1	2-5	1-1
Connor Essegian G	18	12	1	0	5-12	1-7
Kendall Blue G	10	0	2	2	0-2	0-1
Jared Garcia F	6	2	3	0	1-1	0-0
Leo Curtis F	5	3	0	0	1-2	0-1
Justin Bolis F	3	2	1	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Ugnius Jarusevicius, Will Cooper, Quentin Rhymes, Henry Burt

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	NEB -24.5	NEB -23.5	WGA +1.0	L NEB covered
Total	153.5	149.5	Under 4.0	W Under
Projected score	—	WGA 63 · NEB 86.5

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	NEB -14.2	NEB -5.0
1H total	70.0	55
1H projected score	WGA 27.9 · NEB 42.1	WGA 25 · NEB 30

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2024-25 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
WGA WLLLW	12-18	40%	7-10	12-16
NEB LWWWW	20-15	57%	6-10	13-10

Venue/role: WGA away, as underdog; NEB home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2024-25 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
WGA OUOUU	18-12	60%	5-25
NEB UOUUU	16-19	46%	21-14

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2024-25

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
WGA	2-8 20%	3-7 30%	5-5 50%
NEB	5-5 50%	6-4 60%	3-7 30%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2024-25

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

West Georgia

30 games played

Straight up

5-25

17% wins

Against the spread

12-18

40% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line

Over / Under

18-12

60% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

5-2517%

L L L L L L L L L L W L L L W L L L L W L L L L L W L L L W

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

12-1840%

L W W L L W W L L L W W L L W W L L L W L L W L L W L L L W

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

18-1260%

O U O U O U O U U O O O O U O O U O O O O O U U O O U O U U

2 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@MSST	L 60-95	+25.5	L −9.5	145.5	O 155
Nov 6	@GT	L 62-85	+23.5	W +0.5	147.5	U 147
Nov 12	@TNTC	L 73-76	+6.5	W +3.5	144.5	O 149
Nov 15	@USF	L 55-74	+18.5	L −0.5	153.5	U 129
Nov 19	vsTROY	L 65-84	+14.5	L −4.5	144.5	O 149
Nov 23	@GASO	L 54-64	+14.5	W +4.5	154.5	U 118
Nov 26	vsUVU	L 74-77	+14.5	W +11.5	138.5	O 151
Nov 27	vsNDSU	L 61-73	+8.5	L −3.5	138.5	U 134
Nov 29	@SAM	L 65-86	+19.5	L −1.5	156.5	U 151
Dec 4	@MER	L 72-86	+10.5	L −3.5	145.5	O 158
Dec 7	vsTNTC	W 78-73	+2.5	W +7.5	140.5	O 151
Dec 17	@CLT	L 70-75	+12.5	W +7.5	138.5	O 145
Jan 2	vsFGCU	L 68-79	+8.5	L −2.5	137.5	O 147
Jan 4	vsSTET	L 62-78	-3.5	L −19.5	148.5	U 140
Jan 9	@APSU	W 72-68	+8.5	W +12.5	131.5	O 140
Jan 11	@LIP	L 67-86	+19.5	W +0.5	143.5	O 153
Jan 16	@FGCU	L 60-82	+12.5	L −9.5	142.5	U 142
Jan 18	@STET	L 78-82	+1.5	L −2.5	146.5	O 160
Jan 23	vsJAX	L 62-79	+10.5	L −6.5	138.5	O 141
Jan 25	vsUNF	W 92-72	+7.5	W +27.5	159.5	O 164
Jan 29	@CARK	L 70-75	+1.5	L −3.5	138.5	O 145
Feb 1	@QUC	L 68-87	+10.5	L −8.5	149.5	O 155
Feb 5	vsLIP	L 67-76	+12.5	W +3.5	145.5	U 143
Feb 8	vsUNA	L 61-78	+10.5	L −6.5	148.5	U 139
Feb 13	@EKU	L 73-95	+12.5	L −9.5	151.5	O 168
Feb 15	@BELL	W 81-76	+2.5	W +7.5	146.5	O 157
Feb 18	@UNA	L 62-80	+16.5	L −1.5	149.5	U 142
Feb 20	vsCARK	L 71-82	-3.5	L −14.5	141.5	O 153
Feb 24	vsQUC	L 57-72	+8.5	L −6.5	152.5	U 129
Feb 26	vsAPSU	W 73-70	+4.5	W +7.5	145.5	U 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

MSST

L 60-95

−9.5

L 62-85

+0.5

TNTC

L 73-76

+3.5

USF

L 55-74

−0.5

TROY

L 65-84

−4.5

GASO

L 54-64

+4.5

UVU

L 74-77

+11.5

NDSU

L 61-73

−3.5

SAM

L 65-86

−1.5

MER

L 72-86

−3.5

TNTC

W 78-73

+7.5

CLT

L 70-75

+7.5

FGCU

L 68-79

−2.5

STET

L 62-78

−19.5

APSU

W 72-68

+12.5

LIP

L 67-86

+0.5

FGCU

L 60-82

−9.5

STET

L 78-82

−2.5

JAX

L 62-79

−6.5

UNF

W 92-72

+27.5

CARK

L 70-75

−3.5

QUC

L 68-87

−8.5

LIP

L 67-76

+3.5

UNA

L 61-78

−6.5

EKU

L 73-95

−9.5

BELL

W 81-76

+7.5

UNA

L 62-80

−1.5

CARK

L 71-82

−14.5

QUC

L 57-72

−6.5

APSU

W 73-70

+7.5

covered 12didn’t cover 18avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

MSST

L 60-95

+9.5

L 62-85

−0.5

TNTC

L 73-76

+4.5

USF

L 55-74

−24.5

TROY

L 65-84

+4.5

GASO

L 54-64

−36.5

UVU

L 74-77

+12.5

NDSU

L 61-73

−4.5

SAM

L 65-86

−5.5

MER

L 72-86

+12.5

TNTC

W 78-73

+10.5

CLT

L 70-75

+6.5

FGCU

L 68-79

+9.5

STET

L 62-78

−8.5

APSU

W 72-68

+8.5

LIP

L 67-86

+9.5

FGCU

L 60-82

−0.5

STET

L 78-82

+13.5

JAX

L 62-79

+2.5

UNF

W 92-72

+4.5

CARK

L 70-75

+6.5

QUC

L 68-87

+5.5

LIP

L 67-76

−2.5

UNA

L 61-78

−9.5

EKU

L 73-95

+16.5

BELL

W 81-76

+10.5

UNA

L 62-80

−7.5

CARK

L 71-82

+11.5

QUC

L 57-72

−23.5

APSU

W 73-70

−2.5

over 18under 12avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Nebraska

35 games played

Straight up

21-14

60% wins

Against the spread

20-15

57% covers · avg −0.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-19

46% overs · avg −0.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

21-1460%

W W W L W W W L W W W W W W L L L L L L W W W W L W L L L L L W W W W

4 straight wins4 of last 4 won

Against the spread

20-1557%

L L L W W L W L W W W W W W L L L W L L W W W W L W L L L W L W W W W

4 straight covers4 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

16-1946%

O U U O U O O U U U U O U U O O O U O U U O O O O U O U U O U O U U U

3 straight unders1 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsRGV	W 87-67	-23.5	L −3.5	148.5	O 154
Nov 9	vsBCU	W 63-58	-23.5	L −18.5	154.5	U 121
Nov 13	vsFDU	W 86-60	-27.5	L −1.5	158.5	U 146
Nov 17	vsSMC	L 74-77	+3.5	W +0.5	139.5	O 151
Nov 22	@CREI	W 74-63	+9.5	W +20.5	151.5	U 137
Nov 27	vsSDAK	W 96-79	-22.5	L −5.5	157.5	O 175
Dec 1	vsUNF	W 103-72	-17.5	W +13.5	158.5	O 175
Dec 7	@MSU	L 52-89	+6.5	L −30.5	147.5	U 141
Dec 13	vsIU	W 85-68	-3.5	W +13.5	156.5	U 153
Dec 22	vsMUR	W 66-49	-7.5	W +9.5	145.5	U 115
Dec 23	@HAW	W 69-55	-8.5	W +5.5	140.5	U 124
Dec 25	vsORST	W 78-66	-5.5	W +6.5	137.5	O 144
Dec 30	vsSOU	W 77-43	-21.5	W +12.5	141.5	U 120
Jan 4	vsUCLA	W 66-58	-2.5	W +5.5	134.5	U 124
Jan 7	@IOWA	L 87-97	+4.5	L −5.5	159.5	O 184
Jan 12	@PUR	L 68-104	+8.5	L −27.5	140.5	O 172
Jan 16	vsRUTG	L 82-85	-8.5	L −11.5	145.5	O 167
Jan 19	@MD	L 66-69	+9.5	W +6.5	147.5	U 135
Jan 22	vsUSC	L 73-78	-6.5	L −11.5	143.5	O 151
Jan 26	@WIS	L 55-83	+7.5	L −20.5	149.5	U 138
Jan 30	vsILL	W 80-74	+4.5	W +10.5	156.5	U 154
Feb 2	@ORE	W 77-71	+6.5	W +12.5	147.5	O 148
Feb 5	@WASH	W 86-72	-1.5	W +12.5	142.5	O 158
Feb 9	vsOSU	W 79-71	-2.5	W +5.5	144.5	O 150
Feb 13	vsMD	L 75-83	-1.5	L −9.5	149.5	O 158
Feb 16	@NU	W 68-64	-1.5	W +2.5	142.5	U 132
Feb 19	@PSU	L 72-89	-1.5	L −18.5	150.5	O 161
Feb 24	vsMICH	L 46-49	+1.5	L −1.5	151.5	U 95
Mar 1	vsMINN	L 65-67	-7.5	L −9.5	135.5	U 132
Mar 4	@OSU	L 114-116	+6.5	W +4.5	143.5	O 230
Mar 9	vsIOWA	L 68-83	-7.5	L −22.5	155.5	U 151
Mar 31	vsASU	W 86-78	-6.5	W +1.5	155.5	O 164
Apr 2	vsGTWN	W 81-69	-10.5	W +1.5	157.5	U 150
Apr 5	vsBOIS	W 79-69	+3.5	W +13.5	154.5	U 148
Apr 6	vsUCF	W 77-66	-3.5	W +7.5	160.5	U 143

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

RGV

W 87-67

−3.5

BCU

W 63-58

−18.5

FDU

W 86-60

−1.5

SMC

L 74-77

+0.5

CREI

W 74-63

+20.5

SDAK

W 96-79

−5.5

UNF

W 103-72

+13.5

MSU

L 52-89

−30.5

W 85-68

+13.5

MUR

W 66-49

+9.5

HAW

W 69-55

+5.5

ORST

W 78-66

+6.5

SOU

W 77-43

+12.5

UCLA

W 66-58

+5.5

IOWA

L 87-97

−5.5

PUR

L 68-104

−27.5

RUTG

L 82-85

−11.5

L 66-69

+6.5

USC

L 73-78

−11.5

WIS

L 55-83

−20.5

ILL

W 80-74

+10.5

ORE

W 77-71

+12.5

WASH

W 86-72

+12.5

OSU

W 79-71

+5.5

L 75-83

−9.5

W 68-64

+2.5

PSU

L 72-89

−18.5

MICH

L 46-49

−1.5

MINN

L 65-67

−9.5

OSU

L 114-116

+4.5

IOWA

L 68-83

−22.5

ASU

W 86-78

+1.5

GTWN

W 81-69

+1.5

BOIS

W 79-69

+13.5

UCF

W 77-66

+7.5

covered 20didn’t cover 15avg −0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

RGV

W 87-67

+5.5

BCU

W 63-58

−33.5

FDU

W 86-60

−12.5

SMC

L 74-77

+11.5

CREI

W 74-63

−14.5

SDAK

W 96-79

+17.5

UNF

W 103-72

+16.5

MSU

L 52-89

−6.5

W 85-68

−3.5

MUR

W 66-49

−30.5

HAW

W 69-55

−16.5

ORST

W 78-66

+6.5

SOU

W 77-43

−21.5

UCLA

W 66-58

−10.5

IOWA

L 87-97

+24.5

PUR

L 68-104

+31.5

RUTG

L 82-85

+21.5

L 66-69

−12.5

USC

L 73-78

+7.5

WIS

L 55-83

−11.5

ILL

W 80-74

−2.5

ORE

W 77-71

+0.5

WASH

W 86-72

+15.5

OSU

W 79-71

+5.5

L 75-83

+8.5

W 68-64

−10.5

PSU

L 72-89

+10.5

MICH

L 46-49

−56.5

MINN

L 65-67

−3.5

OSU

L 114-116

+86.5

IOWA

L 68-83

−4.5

ASU

W 86-78

+8.5

GTWN

W 81-69

−7.5

BOIS

W 79-69

−6.5

UCF

W 77-66

−17.5

over 16under 19avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

West Georgia Wolves at Nebraska Cornhuskers

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2024-25

West Georgia

Nebraska

West Georgia

Nebraska