Sanford Pentagon · Neutral site
Closing line
NEB -1.5✓ NEB covered by 4.5
NEB -1.5✓ NEB covered by 4.5Closing total163.5Over by 40.5
 OU | This season | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| 2-1 | Record | 3-0 |
| 1-2 | ATS | 2-1 |
| 1-2 | O/U | 1-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: OU 78–79 NEB · ✓ NEB (54%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OU | 51 | 48 | 99 |
| NEB | 44 | 61 | 105 |
1st half: OU 51, NEB 44 (OU by 7). The model had NEB by 0.5 and a total of 73.4 (actual 95).
Team stats
| OU | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 33-63 52% | Field goals | 34-59 58% |
| 14-37 38% | 3-pointers | 15-27 56% |
| 19-21 90% | Free throws | 22-28 79% |
| 30 9 off | Rebounds | 30 8 off |
| 18 | Assists | 20 |
| 3 | Steals | 4 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 10 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 23 | Fouls | 18 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 38 |
| 13 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| OU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Xzayvier Brown G | 35 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 6-10 | 4-8 |
| Nijel Pack G | 34 | 27 | 3 | 4 | 10-18 | 6-12 |
| Tae Davis F | 29 | 17 | 5 | 3 | 7-9 | 0-1 |
| Derrion Reid F | 27 | 11 | 7 | 4 | 3-7 | 0-2 |
| Mohamed Wague F | 25 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Dayton Forsythe G | 22 | 10 | 5 | 2 | 3-5 | 2-3 |
| Kuol Atak F | 16 | 10 | 0 | 0 | 3-10 | 2-8 |
| Jeff Nwankwo G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Kai Rogers F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jake Hansen, Finley Keeffe, Andreas Holst, Reid Lovelace, Alec Blair, Jadon Jones
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort F | 36 | 28 | 5 | 7 | 10-18 | 4-9 |
| Rienk Mast F | 34 | 26 | 6 | 3 | 9-16 | 5-7 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 32 | 16 | 4 | 1 | 5-7 | 1-1 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 27 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 26 | 14 | 1 | 4 | 5-8 | 3-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cale Jacobsen G | 23 | 10 | 6 | 2 | 3-3 | 1-1 |
| Connor Essegian G | 11 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Braden Frager F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jared Garcia F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Leo Curtis, Quentin Rhymes, Will Cooper, Justin Bolis, Kendall Blue, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Henry Burt
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEB -1.5
ModelNEB -1.0
Model edgeOU +0.5
L NEB covered
Total
Market163.5
Model156.7
Model edgeUnder 6.8
L Over
Projected score
OU 77.8 · NEB 78.9
OU 99 · NEB 105
Win probability
NEB 54%
1st half
Spread
NEB -0.5
OU -7.0
Total
73.4
95 points
Projected score
OU 36.5 · NEB 36.9
OU 51 · NEB 44
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -2.5
1 → OU
CloseNEB -1.5
1 pt toward OU
Total
Open155.5
▲ 8
Close163.5
Up 8 since the open
Moneyline
OU +105 · NEB -125
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -2.5 · closed NEB -1.5 · moved 1 toward OUmodel NEB -1
model NEB -1
Opened 155.5 · closed 163.5 · moved 8 upmodel 156.5
model 156.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| OUlast 3 | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% | 1-2 33% |
| NEBlast 3 | 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 1-2 33% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
OU 1–0 NEBOU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · OU 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 24, 2022-23 | OU 69 vs NEB 56 | NEB +6.5 | OU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Oklahoma
3 games played
Straight up
2-1
67% wins
Against the spread
1-2
33% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −0.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
SFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+4.5
8
@
GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−4.5
11
vs
UAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−10.5
covered 1didn’t cover 2avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSFPA
SFPAW 102-66
+18.5
8
@GONZ
GONZL 68-83
−15.5
11
vsUAPB
UAPBW 95-69
−4.5
over 1under 2avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nebraska
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +0.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-2
33% overs · avg −12.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vs
FIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vs
UMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
over 1under 2avg −12.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Oklahoma
2-1 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs AR-Pine Bluff95–69
- L@ Gonzaga68–83
- Wvs Saint Francis Red Wolves102–66
4 days since their last game.
Nebraska
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs MD Eastern69–50
- Wvs FIU96–66
- Wvs West Georgia86–53
4 days since their last game.