T-Mobile Center · Neutral site
Closing line
NEB -1.5✓ KSU covered by 0.5
NEB -1.5✓ KSU covered by 0.5Closing total168.5Over by 2.5
 KSU | This season | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| 5-0 | Record | 5-0 |
| 2-3 | ATS | 4-1 |
| 5-0 | O/U | 3-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: KSU 81–82 NEB · ✓ NEB (52%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSU | 35 | 50 | 85 |
| NEB | 45 | 41 | 86 |
1st half: KSU 35, NEB 45 (NEB by 10). The model had NEB by 0.1 and a total of 76.1 (actual 80).
Team stats
| KSU | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-62 44% | Field goals | 33-61 54% |
| 12-35 34% | 3-pointers | 8-32 25% |
| 19-22 86% | Free throws | 12-20 60% |
| 32 9 off | Rebounds | 32 8 off |
| 19 | Assists | 16 |
| 5 | Steals | 6 |
| 2 | Blocks | 0 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 17 | Fouls | 17 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 48 |
| 12 | Fast-break points | 4 |
Players
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nate Johnson G | 37 | 12 | 5 | 4 | 4-10 | 2-6 |
| PJ Haggerty G | 37 | 27 | 6 | 7 | 11-21 | 1-5 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. G | 30 | 26 | 3 | 2 | 7-15 | 7-15 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 27 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-3 | 0-0 |
| Elias Rapieque F | 18 | 4 | 5 | 2 | 1-2 | 1-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Castillo G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| CJ Jones G | 18 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Mobi Ikegwuruka F | 7 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Andrej Kostic G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Dorin Buca C | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Exavier Wilson, Stephen Osei, Marcus Johnson, Taj Manning
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort F | 33 | 21 | 3 | 1 | 8-17 | 5-14 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 33 | 7 | 1 | 5 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Rienk Mast F | 32 | 20 | 4 | 3 | 6-11 | 0-3 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 31 | 13 | 3 | 4 | 6-6 | 0-0 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 21 | 5 | 8 | 0 | 2-9 | 0-5 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Cale Jacobsen G | 22 | 4 | 5 | 3 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Braden Frager F | 20 | 16 | 6 | 0 | 7-10 | 2-5 |
| Connor Essegian G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Kendall Blue, Leo Curtis, Quentin Rhymes, Will Cooper, Justin Bolis, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Henry Burt, Jared Garcia
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEB -1.5
ModelNEB -0.4
Model edgeKSU +1.1
W KSU covered
Total
Market168.5
Model162.5
Model edgeUnder 6.0
L Over
Projected score
KSU 81 · NEB 81.5
KSU 85 · NEB 86
Win probability
NEB 52%
1st half
Spread
NEB -0.1
NEB -10.0
Total
76.1
80 points
Projected score
KSU 38 · NEB 38.1
KSU 35 · NEB 45
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -1.5
no move
CloseNEB -1.5
No change since the open
Total
Open168.5
no move
Close168.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
KSU +110 · NEB -130
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -1.5 · unchangedmodel NEB -0.5
model NEB -0.5
Opened 168.5 · unchangedmodel 162.5
model 162.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| KSUlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 2-3 40% | 5-0 100% |
| NEBlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 4-1 80% | 3-2 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
KSU 2–1 NEBKSU leads · 3 games since 2021-22 · KSU 2-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 17, 2023-24 | NEB 62 @ KSU 46 | KSU -4.5 | NEB W |
| Dec 17, 2022-23 | NEB 56 @ KSU 71 | KSU -4.5 | KSU W |
| Dec 19, 2021-22 | KSU 67 @ NEB 58 | NEB +2.5 | KSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Kansas St
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-0
100% overs · avg +11.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
UNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+10.5
8
vs
BELL
BELLW 98-71
−1.5
13
vs
CAL
CALW 99-96
−3.5
17
vs
TLSA
TLSAW 84-83
−11.5
20
vs
MSST
MSSTW 98-77
+23.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsUNCG
UNCGW 93-64
+8.5
8
vsBELL
BELLW 98-71
+0.5
13
vsCAL
CALW 99-96
+30.5
17
vsTLSA
TLSAW 84-83
+6.5
20
vsMSST
MSSTW 98-77
+10.5
over 5under 0avg +11.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nebraska
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
4-1
80% covers · avg +1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
3-2
60% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
WGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vs
FIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vs
UMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vs
OU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vs
UNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
covered 4didn’t cover 1avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
over 3under 2avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Kansas St
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mississippi St98–77
- Wvs Tulsa84–83
- Wvs California99–96
- Wvs Bellarmine98–71
- Wvs UNC Greensboro93–64
1 day since their last game.
Nebraska
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs New Mexico84–72
- Wvs Oklahoma105–99
- Wvs MD Eastern69–50
- Wvs FIU96–66
- Wvs West Georgia86–53
1 day since their last game.