Bramlage Coliseum · at Kansas St
Closing line
KSU -6.5✓ CAL covered by 3.5
Closing total164.5Over by 30.5
| This season | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 3-0 | Record | 2-0 |
| 2-1 | ATS | 1-1 |
| 0-3 | O/U | 2-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CAL 75–82 KSU · ✓ KSU (71%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CAL | 34 | 62 | 96 |
| KSU | 55 | 44 | 99 |
1st half: CAL 34, KSU 55 (KSU by 21). The model had KSU by 3.7 and a total of 73.5 (actual 89).
Team stats
| CAL | KSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 35-62 56% | Field goals | 38-59 64% |
| 15-28 54% | 3-pointers | 9-18 50% |
| 11-14 79% | Free throws | 14-21 67% |
| 26 9 off | Rebounds | 25 6 off |
| 21 | Assists | 21 |
| 11 | Steals | 9 |
| 5 | Blocks | 5 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 17 |
| 20 | Fouls | 17 |
| 34 | Points in paint | 56 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 27 |
Players
| CAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Camden F | 32 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-5 | 1-3 |
| Dai Dai Ames G | 32 | 25 | 1 | 7 | 9-13 | 5-6 |
| Chris Bell F | 29 | 27 | 0 | 1 | 9-13 | 7-9 |
| Justin Pippen G | 27 | 14 | 2 | 4 | 4-10 | 1-4 |
| Lee Dort F | 19 | 10 | 3 | 0 | 5-8 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Semetri Carr G | 16 | 6 | 6 | 5 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Nolan Dorsey G | 16 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 1-4 |
| Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut F | 13 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Rytis Petraitis F | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Milos Ilic C | 7 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Mantas Kocanas C | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Sammie Yeanay, Jovani Ruff, Stephon Marbury II, BJ Fisher, Jorell Clark, Luke Butler, DeJuan Campbell
| KSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| PJ Haggerty G | 34 | 23 | 3 | 6 | 7-12 | 1-1 |
| Nate Johnson G | 29 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 9-11 | 2-3 |
| Elias Rapieque F | 23 | 0 | 1 | 3 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Abdi Bashir Jr. G | 23 | 7 | 2 | 5 | 2-4 | 2-4 |
| Khamari McGriff F | 20 | 21 | 2 | 0 | 8-11 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| David Castillo G | 23 | 16 | 4 | 2 | 6-9 | 4-6 |
| Mobi Ikegwuruka F | 17 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Dorin Buca C | 12 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| CJ Jones G | 10 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Andrej Kostic G | 9 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
Did not play: Marcus Johnson, Taj Manning, Exavier Wilson, Stephen Osei
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenKSU -7.5
1 → CAL
CloseKSU -6.5
1 pt toward CAL
Total
Open158.5
▲ 6
Close164.5
Up 6 since the open
Moneyline
CAL +225 · KSU -275
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened KSU -7.5 · closed KSU -6.5 · moved 1 toward CALmodel KSU -6.5 matches the line
model KSU -6.5 = line ✓
Opened 158.5 · closed 164.5 · moved 6 upmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | KSU -6.5 | KSU -6.5 | — | CAL covered |
| Total | 164.5 | 157.0 | Under 7.5 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | CAL 75.3 · KSU 81.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | KSU -3.7 | KSU -21.0 |
| 1H total | 73.5 | 89 |
| 1H projected score | CAL 34.9 · KSU 38.6 | CAL 34 · KSU 55 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| 3-0 100% | 2-1 67% | 0-3 0% | |
| 2-0 100% | 1-1 50% | 2-0 100% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CAL 0–1 KSUKSU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · CAL 0-1 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 11, 2022-23 | KSU 63 @ CAL 54 | CAL +6.5 | KSU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
California
3 games played
Straight up
3-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-1
67% covers · avg +4.2 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-3
0% overs · avg −3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
CSUB
W 87-60
+11.5
6
vs
WRST
W 77-67
−4.5
10
vs
CSUF
W 93-65
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 1avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vs
CSUB
W 87-60
−0.5
6
vs
WRST
W 77-67
−4.5
10
vs
CSUF
W 93-65
−4.5
over 0under 3avg −3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Kansas St
2 games played
Straight up
2-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-1
50% covers · avg +4.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-0
100% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vs
UNCG
W 93-64
+10.5
8
vs
BELL
W 98-71
−1.5
covered 1didn’t cover 1avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vs
UNCG
W 93-64
+8.5
8
vs
BELL
W 98-71
+0.5
over 2under 0avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
California
3-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Fullerton93–65
- Wvs Wright St77–67
- Wvs Bakersfield87–60
3 days since their last game.
Kansas St
2-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Bellarmine98–71
- Wvs UNC Greensboro93–64
5 days since their last game.