Haas Pavilion · at California
Closing line
CAL -15.5✓ CAL covered by 11.5
CAL -15.5✓ CAL covered by 11.5Closing total147.5Under by 0.5
 CSUB | This season | CAL |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CSUB 65–82 CAL · ✓ CAL (93%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUB | 26 | 34 | 60 |
| CAL | 37 | 50 | 87 |
1st half: CSUB 26, CAL 37 (CAL by 11). The model had CAL by 9.9 and a total of 68.7 (actual 63).
Team stats
| CSUB | CAL | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-53 36% | Field goals | 32-59 54% |
| 3-9 33% | 3-pointers | 5-23 22% |
| 19-30 63% | Free throws | 18-25 72% |
| 29 11 off | Rebounds | 37 12 off |
| 10 | Assists | 20 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 4 | Blocks | 4 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 20 | Fouls | 22 |
| 26 | Points in paint | 50 |
| 16 | Fast-break points | 8 |
Players
| CSUB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Dailin Smith G | 29 | 16 | 3 | 1 | 5-12 | 1-3 |
| Tom Mark F | 28 | 4 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| AJ George G | 23 | 5 | 2 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-2 |
| CJ Hardy G | 23 | 8 | 3 | 0 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Pierre Geneste Jr. C | 13 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jaden Alexander G | 23 | 5 | 2 | 3 | 1-6 | 0-0 |
| Ronald Jessamy F | 22 | 16 | 7 | 0 | 6-9 | 1-1 |
| Mike Price G | 19 | 2 | 0 | 3 | 1-7 | 0-2 |
| Kadar Waller G | 17 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Bentley Waller G | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| TJ James Jr. G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Caleb McCarty, Colin Darby, Dylan Purnell
| CAL | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Pippen G | 35 | 15 | 3 | 7 | 5-10 | 1-5 |
| Dai Dai Ames G | 29 | 18 | 3 | 4 | 9-15 | 0-3 |
| Lee Dort F | 25 | 15 | 9 | 4 | 5-7 | 0-0 |
| John Camden F | 24 | 22 | 3 | 2 | 7-11 | 3-7 |
| Chris Bell F | 22 | 5 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Nolan Dorsey G | 18 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Rytis Petraitis F | 15 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Semetri Carr G | 13 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Milos Ilic C | 12 | 4 | 1 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Mantas Kocanas C | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Dhiaukuei Manyiel Dut F | 1 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Stephon Marbury II G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| BJ Fisher G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Luke Butler G | 1 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: DeJuan Campbell, Sammie Yeanay, Jovani Ruff, Jorell Clark
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenCAL -13.5
2 → CAL
CloseCAL -15.5
2 pts toward CAL
Total
Open145.5
▲ 2
Close147.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
CSUB +900 · CAL -1800
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened CAL -13.5 · closed CAL -15.5 · moved 2 toward CALmodel CAL -16.5
model CAL -16.5
Opened 145.5 · closed 147.5 · moved 2 upmodel 146.5
model 146.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | CAL -15.5 | CAL -16.6 | CAL +1.1 | W CAL covered |
| Total | 147.5 | 146.7 | Under 0.8 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | CSUB 65 · CAL 81.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | CAL -9.9 | CAL -11.0 |
| 1H total | 68.7 | 63 |
| 1H projected score | CSUB 29.4 · CAL 39.3 | CSUB 26 · CAL 37 |
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CSUB | 4-6 40% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| CAL | 2-8 20% | 8-2 80% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
CSUB 0–2 CALCAL leads · 2 games since 2021-22 · CAL has won the last 2 meetings · CSUB 0-2 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4, 2024-25 | CSUB 73 @ CAL 86 | CAL -11.5 | CAL W |
| Nov 13, 2023-24 | CSUB 63 @ CAL 83 | CAL -11.5 | CAL W |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Bakersfield
31 games played
Straight up
12-19
39% wins
Against the spread
12-19
39% covers · avg −0.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-13
58% overs · avg +5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @CAL | L 73-86 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 11 | vs NDSU | W 86-81 | -2.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 16 | vs FRES | W 74-56 | -1.5 | W +16.5 | 148.5 | U 130 |
| Nov 22 | @ FGCU | L 54-74 | +6.5 | L −13.5 | 134.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 23 | vs FIU | L 73-76 | +1.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 24 | vs NE | W 68-60 | +5.5 | W +13.5 | 130.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 30 | @ SUU | L 64-74 | +3.5 | L −6.5 | 139.5 | U 138 |
| Dec 5 | @ UCI | L 66-82 | +15.5 | L −0.5 | 134.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 7 | @ UCSD | L 60-81 | +10.5 | L −10.5 | 136.5 | O 141 |
| Dec 18 | @ PORT | W 81-64 | +0.5 | W +17.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Dec 21 | vs PRST | L 58-59 | -4.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 117 |
| Dec 23 | @NDSU | L 60-94 | +9.5 | L −24.5 | 138.5 | O 154 |
| Jan 2 | vs UCD | W 75-64 | -1.5 | W +9.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 4 | vs LBSU | W 80-65 | -5.5 | W +9.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 9 | @ UCSB | L 66-78 | +7.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 11 | vs CSUN | W 94-90 | +4.5 | W +8.5 | 143.5 | O 184 |
| Jan 18 | @ HAW | L 70-81 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 136.5 | O 151 |
| Jan 23 | @ CSUF | W 71-68 | -4.5 | L −1.5 | 142.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 25 | vs UCR | L 79-83 | -0.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 162 |
| Jan 30 | vs CP | L 81-90 | -3.5 | L −12.5 | 156.5 | O 171 |
| Feb 1 | @CSUN | L 62-88 | +10.5 | L −15.5 | 151.5 | U 150 |
| Feb 6 | vsUCSB | L 75-81 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 141.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 8 | @UCR | L 64-69 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 144.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 13 | vsUCSD | L 54-73 | +13.5 | L −5.5 | 134.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 15 | vsCSUF | W 91-54 | -9.5 | W +27.5 | 142.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 20 | @UCD | W 71-66 | +3.5 | W +8.5 | 137.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 22 | vsUCI | L 64-73 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 27 | @LBSU | W 88-87 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 138.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 1 | @CP | L 72-98 | +3.5 | L −22.5 | 161.5 | O 170 |
| Mar 6 | vsHAW | W 76-64 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 141.5 | U 140 |
| Mar 12 | vsUCSB | L 66-71 | +5.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 137 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@CAL
CALL 73-86
−1.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUW 86-81
+2.5
16
vsFRES
FRESW 74-56
+16.5
22
@FGCU
FGCUL 54-74
−13.5
23
vsFIU
FIUL 73-76
−1.5
24
vsNE
NEW 68-60
+13.5
30
@SUU
SUUL 64-74
−6.5
5
@UCI
UCIL 66-82
−0.5
7
@UCSD
UCSDL 60-81
−10.5
18
@PORT
PORTW 81-64
+17.5
21
vsPRST
PRSTL 58-59
−5.5
23
@NDSU
NDSUL 60-94
−24.5
2
vsUCD
UCDW 75-64
+9.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 80-65
+9.5
9
@UCSB
UCSBL 66-78
−4.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 94-90
+8.5
18
@HAW
HAWL 70-81
−4.5
23
@CSUF
CSUFW 71-68
−1.5
25
vsUCR
UCRL 79-83
−4.5
30
vsCP
CPL 81-90
−12.5
1
@CSUN
CSUNL 62-88
−15.5
6
vsUCSB
UCSBL 75-81
−2.5
8
@UCR
UCRL 64-69
+1.5
13
vsUCSD
UCSDL 54-73
−5.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 91-54
+27.5
20
@UCD
UCDW 71-66
+8.5
22
vsUCI
UCIL 64-73
−1.5
27
@LBSU
LBSUW 88-87
−0.5
1
@CP
CPL 72-98
−22.5
6
vsHAW
HAWW 76-64
+9.5
12
vsUCSB
UCSBL 66-71
+0.5
covered 12didn’t cover 19avg −0.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@CAL
CALL 73-86
+21.5
11
vsNDSU
NDSUW 86-81
+27.5
16
vsFRES
FRESW 74-56
−18.5
22
@FGCU
FGCUL 54-74
−6.5
23
vsFIU
FIUL 73-76
+6.5
24
vsNE
NEW 68-60
−2.5
30
@SUU
SUUL 64-74
−1.5
5
@UCI
UCIL 66-82
+13.5
7
@UCSD
UCSDL 60-81
+4.5
18
@PORT
PORTW 81-64
+4.5
21
vsPRST
PRSTL 58-59
−26.5
23
@NDSU
NDSUL 60-94
+15.5
2
vsUCD
UCDW 75-64
+3.5
4
vsLBSU
LBSUW 80-65
+11.5
9
@UCSB
UCSBL 66-78
+7.5
11
vsCSUN
CSUNW 94-90
+40.5
18
@HAW
HAWL 70-81
+14.5
23
@CSUF
CSUFW 71-68
−3.5
25
vsUCR
UCRL 79-83
+16.5
30
vsCP
CPL 81-90
+14.5
1
@CSUN
CSUNL 62-88
−1.5
6
vsUCSB
UCSBL 75-81
+14.5
8
@UCR
UCRL 64-69
−11.5
13
vsUCSD
UCSDL 54-73
−7.5
15
vsCSUF
CSUFW 91-54
+2.5
20
@UCD
UCDW 71-66
−0.5
22
vsUCI
UCIL 64-73
−4.5
27
@LBSU
LBSUW 88-87
+36.5
1
@CP
CPL 72-98
+8.5
6
vsHAW
HAWW 76-64
−1.5
12
vsUCSB
UCSBL 66-71
−5.5
over 18under 13avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
California
33 games played
Straight up
14-19
42% wins
Against the spread
21-12
64% covers · avg −0.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-16
52% overs · avg +5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vsCSUB | W 86-73 | -11.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | O 159 |
| Nov 7 | vsCP | W 91-73 | -14.5 | W +3.5 | 159.5 | O 164 |
| Nov 13 | @ VAN | L 69-85 | +7.5 | L −8.5 | 156.5 | U 154 |
| Nov 17 | @ USC | W 71-66 | +6.5 | W +11.5 | 153.5 | U 137 |
| Nov 21 | vs AF | W 78-69 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 136.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 24 | vs SAC | W 83-77 | -14.5 | L −8.5 | 138.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 27 | vs MERC | W 81-55 | -22.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 3 | @ MIZ | L 93-98 | +10.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 7 | vs STAN | L 81-89 | -1.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | O 170 |
| Dec 10 | vs COR | L 80-88 | -9.5 | L −17.5 | 166.5 | O 168 |
| Dec 14 | vs NWST | W 84-66 | -16.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 21 | vs SDSU | L 50-71 | +5.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | U 121 |
| Jan 1 | @ PITT | L 74-86 | +13.5 | W +1.5 | 153.5 | O 160 |
| Jan 4 | @ CLEM | L 68-80 | +14.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | U 148 |
| Jan 8 | vs UVA | W 75-61 | -4.5 | W +9.5 | 130.5 | O 136 |
| Jan 11 | vs VT | L 68-71 | -6.5 | L −9.5 | 144.5 | U 139 |
| Jan 15 | @ UNC | L 53-79 | +15.5 | L −10.5 | 159.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 18 | @ NCSU | W 65-62 | +6.5 | W +9.5 | 143.5 | U 127 |
| Jan 22 | vs FSU | W 77-68 | +3.5 | W +12.5 | 149.5 | U 145 |
| Jan 25 | vs MIA | W 98-94 | -8.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | O 192 |
| Jan 29 | @ SMU | L 65-76 | +13.5 | W +2.5 | 151.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 1 | vs SYR | L 66-75 | -4.5 | L −13.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 5 | vsNCSU | W 74-62 | -2.5 | W +9.5 | 139.5 | U 136 |
| Feb 8 | vs WAKE | L 66-76 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 142.5 | U 142 |
| Feb 12 | @ DUKE | L 57-78 | +23.5 | W +2.5 | 142.5 | U 135 |
| Feb 15 | @ GT | L 88-90 | +3.5 | W +1.5 | 143.5 | O 178 |
| Feb 22 | @STAN | L 61-66 | +6.5 | W +1.5 | 147.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 26 | vsSMU | L 77-81 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 158 |
| Mar 1 | vs BC | W 82-71 | -8.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | O 153 |
| Mar 5 | @ LOU | L 68-85 | +14.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 153 |
| Mar 8 | @ ND | L 110-112 | +4.5 | W +2.5 | 140.5 | O 222 |
| Mar 11 | vsVT | W 82-73 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 155 |
| Mar 12 | vsSTAN | L 73-78 | +7.5 | W +2.5 | 139.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 86-73
+1.5
7
vsCP
CPW 91-73
+3.5
13
@VAN
VANL 69-85
−8.5
17
@USC
USCW 71-66
+11.5
21
vsAF
AFW 78-69
−6.5
24
vsSAC
SACW 83-77
−8.5
27
vsMERC
MERCW 81-55
+3.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 93-98
+5.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 81-89
−9.5
10
vsCOR
CORL 80-88
−17.5
14
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-66
+1.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUL 50-71
−15.5
1
@PITT
PITTL 74-86
+1.5
4
@CLEM
CLEML 68-80
+2.5
8
vsUVA
UVAW 75-61
+9.5
11
vsVT
VTL 68-71
−9.5
15
@UNC
UNCL 53-79
−10.5
18
@NCSU
NCSUW 65-62
+9.5
22
vsFSU
FSUW 77-68
+12.5
25
vsMIA
MIAW 98-94
−4.5
29
@SMU
SMUL 65-76
+2.5
1
vsSYR
SYRL 66-75
−13.5
5
vsNCSU
NCSUW 74-62
+9.5
8
vsWAKE
WAKEL 66-76
−7.5
12
@DUKE
DUKEL 57-78
+2.5
15
@GT
GTL 88-90
+1.5
22
@STAN
STANL 61-66
+1.5
26
vsSMU
SMUL 77-81
+0.5
1
vsBC
BCW 82-71
+2.5
5
@LOU
LOUL 68-85
−2.5
8
@ND
NDL 110-112
+2.5
11
vsVT
VTW 82-73
+4.5
12
vsSTAN
STANL 73-78
+2.5
covered 21didn’t cover 12avg −0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsCSUB
CSUBW 86-73
+21.5
7
vsCP
CPW 91-73
+4.5
13
@VAN
VANL 69-85
−2.5
17
@USC
USCW 71-66
−16.5
21
vsAF
AFW 78-69
+10.5
24
vsSAC
SACW 83-77
+21.5
27
vsMERC
MERCW 81-55
−4.5
3
@MIZ
MIZL 93-98
+40.5
7
vsSTAN
STANL 81-89
+22.5
10
vsCOR
CORL 80-88
+1.5
14
vsNWST
NWSTW 84-66
+6.5
21
vsSDSU
SDSUL 50-71
−23.5
1
@PITT
PITTL 74-86
+6.5
4
@CLEM
CLEML 68-80
−0.5
8
vsUVA
UVAW 75-61
+5.5
11
vsVT
VTL 68-71
−5.5
15
@UNC
UNCL 53-79
−27.5
18
@NCSU
NCSUW 65-62
−16.5
22
vsFSU
FSUW 77-68
−4.5
25
vsMIA
MIAW 98-94
+41.5
29
@SMU
SMUL 65-76
−10.5
1
vsSYR
SYRL 66-75
−7.5
5
vsNCSU
NCSUW 74-62
−3.5
8
vsWAKE
WAKEL 66-76
−0.5
12
@DUKE
DUKEL 57-78
−7.5
15
@GT
GTL 88-90
+34.5
22
@STAN
STANL 61-66
−20.5
26
vsSMU
SMUL 77-81
+5.5
1
vsBC
BCW 82-71
+8.5
5
@LOU
LOUL 68-85
−1.5
8
@ND
NDL 110-112
+81.5
11
vsVT
VTW 82-73
+14.5
12
vsSTAN
STANL 73-78
+11.5
over 17under 16avg +5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Bakersfield
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big West Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
California
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.