Breslin Center · at Michigan St
Closing line
MSU -22.5✓ COLG covered by 11.5
MSU -22.5✓ COLG covered by 11.5Closing total144.5Over by 4.5
 COLG | This season | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COLG 59–85 MSU · ✓ MSU (99%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 34 | 35 | 69 |
| MSU | 37 | 43 | 80 |
1st half: COLG 34, MSU 37 (MSU by 3). The model had MSU by 16.0 and a total of 67.3 (actual 71).
Team stats
| COLG | MSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-57 47% | Field goals | 25-60 42% |
| 11-29 38% | 3-pointers | 6-21 29% |
| 4-6 67% | Free throws | 24-37 65% |
| 25 3 off | Rebounds | 47 19 off |
| 14 | Assists | 18 |
| 6 | Steals | 8 |
| 2 | Blocks | 3 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 25 | Fouls | 14 |
| 30 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 14 | Fast-break points | 20 |
Players
| COLG | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Andrew Alekseyenko F | 35 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 6-12 | 1-4 |
| Jalen Cox G | 33 | 12 | 8 | 7 | 5-6 | 2-2 |
| Ben Tweedy G | 30 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Sam Wright F | 30 | 17 | 3 | 1 | 7-13 | 2-7 |
| Brady Cummins G | 29 | 11 | 1 | 2 | 3-10 | 3-7 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Kyle Carlesimo G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-4 |
| Ayomi Odetoyinbo F | 10 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Josh Ahayere G | 9 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Cooper Wright F | 5 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Parker Jones, Jonathan Niv, Charlie Pugh, Ethan Brown, Blake Forrest, Cameron Brennan, Stevie Clark
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 34 | 14 | 5 | 10 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 31 | 16 | 15 | 2 | 4-8 | 2-4 |
| Carson Cooper C | 28 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4-10 | 0-0 |
| Coen Carr F | 27 | 12 | 4 | 2 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Kur Teng G | 17 | 6 | 3 | 1 | 2-5 | 2-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Trey Fort G | 19 | 9 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 2-5 |
| Jordan Scott F | 18 | 6 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-3 |
| Cam Ward F | 11 | 5 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-0 |
| Divine Ugochukwu G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-3 | 0-3 |
| Jesse McCulloch F | 6 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Denham Wojcik G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Colin Walton, Brennan Walton, Nick Sanders, Kaleb Glenn
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSU -20.5
2 → MSU
CloseMSU -22.5
2 pts toward MSU
Total
Open146.5
▼ 2
Close144.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
COLG +2500 · MSU -10000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSU -20.5 · closed MSU -22.5 · moved 2 toward MSUmodel MSU -26.5
model MSU -26.5
Opened 146.5 · closed 144.5 · moved 2 downmodel 144
model 144
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSU -22.5 | MSU -26.6 | MSU +4.1 | L COLG covered |
| Total | 144.5 | 143.8 | Under 0.7 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | COLG 58.6 · MSU 85.2 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MSU -16.0 | MSU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 67.3 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | COLG 25.7 · MSU 41.7 | COLG 34 · MSU 37 |
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COLG | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| MSU | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% | 2-8 20% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Colgate
32 games played
Straight up
13-19
41% wins
Against the spread
13-19
41% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
17-15
53% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 9 | @ DREX | L 56-73 | -3.5 | L −20.5 | 143.5 | U 129 |
| Nov 12 | @ SYR | L 72-74 | +11.5 | W +9.5 | 153.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 18 | @ NCSU | L 49-72 | +12.5 | L −10.5 | 149.5 | U 121 |
| Nov 22 | @ HARV | L 67-78 | +1.5 | L −9.5 | 141.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | @ UNCW | W 72-59 | +7.5 | W +20.5 | 145.5 | U 131 |
| Nov 29 | vs APP | L 50-72 | +1.5 | L −20.5 | 134.5 | U 122 |
| Nov 30 | vs SHSU | L 78-82 | +6.5 | W +2.5 | 137.5 | O 160 |
| Dec 4 | vs COR | L 57-84 | +2.5 | L −24.5 | 152.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 8 | @ NE | L 75-78 | +8.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 153 |
| Dec 11 | @ UK | L 67-78 | +31.5 | W +20.5 | 155.5 | U 145 |
| Dec 15 | vs UVM | W 65-60 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 128.5 | U 125 |
| Dec 22 | vs IONA | L 73-79 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 137.5 | O 152 |
| Jan 2 | vs ARMY | W 71-59 | -5.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | U 130 |
| Jan 5 | @ BUCK | L 60-66 | +2.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | U 126 |
| Jan 8 | vs LEH | W 67-62 | -6.5 | L −1.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 11 | vs BU | W 87-50 | -3.5 | W +33.5 | 127.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 15 | @ NAVY | W 73-66 | -2.5 | W +4.5 | 137.5 | O 139 |
| Jan 18 | @ LAF | W 90-67 | -1.5 | W +21.5 | 132.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 20 | vsBUCK | W 87-80 | -7.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | O 167 |
| Jan 25 | @ AMER | L 77-81 | -2.5 | L −6.5 | 134.5 | O 158 |
| Jan 29 | @ARMY | L 72-84 | -5.5 | L −17.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 1 | vsLAF | L 61-76 | -8.5 | L −23.5 | 139.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 3 | @LEH | L 68-94 | -3.5 | L −29.5 | 141.5 | O 162 |
| Feb 8 | vs L-MD | W 82-68 | -7.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 12 | @ HC | W 87-65 | -5.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 15 | @BU | L 91-93 | -3.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 184 |
| Feb 19 | vsNAVY | W 79-75 | -6.5 | L −2.5 | 140.5 | O 154 |
| Feb 23 | @L-MD | L 65-84 | -4.5 | L −23.5 | 145.5 | O 149 |
| Feb 26 | vsHC | W 81-73 | -10.5 | L −2.5 | 145.5 | O 154 |
| Mar 1 | vsAMER | L 59-67 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | U 126 |
| Mar 6 | vsARMY | W 84-55 | -6.5 | W +22.5 | 146.5 | U 139 |
| Mar 9 | @AMER | L 62-72 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 135.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
9
@DREX
DREXL 56-73
−20.5
12
@SYR
SYRL 72-74
+9.5
18
@NCSU
NCSUL 49-72
−10.5
22
@HARV
HARVL 67-78
−9.5
27
@UNCW
UNCWW 72-59
+20.5
29
vsAPP
APPL 50-72
−20.5
30
vsSHSU
SHSUL 78-82
+2.5
4
vsCOR
CORL 57-84
−24.5
8
@NE
NEL 75-78
+5.5
11
@UK
UKL 67-78
+20.5
15
vsUVM
UVMW 65-60
+6.5
22
vsIONA
IONAL 73-79
−9.5
2
vsARMY
ARMYW 71-59
+6.5
5
@BUCK
BUCKL 60-66
−3.5
8
vsLEH
LEHW 67-62
−1.5
11
vsBU
BUW 87-50
+33.5
15
@NAVY
NAVYW 73-66
+4.5
18
@LAF
LAFW 90-67
+21.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 87-80
−0.5
25
@AMER
AMERL 77-81
−6.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 72-84
−17.5
1
vsLAF
LAFL 61-76
−23.5
3
@LEH
LEHL 68-94
−29.5
8
vsL-MD
L-MDW 82-68
+6.5
12
@HC
HCW 87-65
+16.5
15
@BU
BUL 91-93
−5.5
19
vsNAVY
NAVYW 79-75
−2.5
23
@L-MD
L-MDL 65-84
−23.5
26
vsHC
HCW 81-73
−2.5
1
vsAMER
AMERL 59-67
−10.5
6
vsARMY
ARMYW 84-55
+22.5
9
@AMER
AMERL 62-72
−7.5
covered 13didn’t cover 19avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
9
@DREX
DREXL 56-73
−14.5
12
@SYR
SYRL 72-74
−7.5
18
@NCSU
NCSUL 49-72
−28.5
22
@HARV
HARVL 67-78
+3.5
27
@UNCW
UNCWW 72-59
−14.5
29
vsAPP
APPL 50-72
−12.5
30
vsSHSU
SHSUL 78-82
+22.5
4
vsCOR
CORL 57-84
−11.5
8
@NE
NEL 75-78
+18.5
11
@UK
UKL 67-78
−10.5
15
vsUVM
UVMW 65-60
−3.5
22
vsIONA
IONAL 73-79
+14.5
2
vsARMY
ARMYW 71-59
−14.5
5
@BUCK
BUCKL 60-66
−9.5
8
vsLEH
LEHW 67-62
−9.5
11
vsBU
BUW 87-50
+9.5
15
@NAVY
NAVYW 73-66
+1.5
18
@LAF
LAFW 90-67
+24.5
20
vsBUCK
BUCKW 87-80
+30.5
25
@AMER
AMERL 77-81
+23.5
29
@ARMY
ARMYL 72-84
+13.5
1
vsLAF
LAFL 61-76
−2.5
3
@LEH
LEHL 68-94
+20.5
8
vsL-MD
L-MDW 82-68
+5.5
12
@HC
HCW 87-65
+7.5
15
@BU
BUL 91-93
+47.5
19
vsNAVY
NAVYW 79-75
+13.5
23
@L-MD
L-MDL 65-84
+3.5
26
vsHC
HCW 81-73
+8.5
1
vsAMER
AMERL 59-67
−14.5
6
vsARMY
ARMYW 84-55
−7.5
9
@AMER
AMERL 62-72
−1.5
over 17under 15avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan St
37 games played
Straight up
30-7
81% wins
Against the spread
25-12
68% covers · avg +3.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
11-26
30% overs · avg −3.5 pts vs the total
Against the spread
25-1268%
2 straight misses ATS2 of last 4 covered
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs MONM | W 81-57 | -19.5 | W +4.5 | 143.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIA | W 96-60 | -29.5 | W +6.5 | 144.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 12 | vs KU | L 69-77 | +5.5 | L −2.5 | 150.5 | U 146 |
| Nov 16 | vs BGSU | W 86-72 | -24.5 | L −10.5 | 151.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 19 | vs SAM | W 83-75 | -16.5 | L −8.5 | 163.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 25 | vs COLO | W 72-56 | -7.5 | W +8.5 | 144.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 26 | vs MEM | L 63-71 | -2.5 | L −10.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNC | W 94-91 | +4.5 | W +7.5 | 158.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 4 | @ MINN | W 90-72 | -4.5 | W +13.5 | 131.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 7 | vs NEB | W 89-52 | -6.5 | W +30.5 | 147.5 | U 141 |
| Dec 17 | vs OAK | W 77-58 | -16.5 | W +2.5 | 133.5 | O 135 |
| Dec 21 | vs FAU | W 86-69 | -13.5 | W +3.5 | 157.5 | U 155 |
| Dec 30 | vs WMU | W 80-62 | -27.5 | L −9.5 | 147.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 3 | @ OSU | W 69-62 | +2.5 | W +9.5 | 149.5 | U 131 |
| Jan 9 | vs WASH | W 88-54 | -14.5 | W +19.5 | 145.5 | U 142 |
| Jan 12 | @ NU | W 78-68 | -2.5 | W +7.5 | 138.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 15 | vs PSU | W 90-85 | -11.5 | L −6.5 | 152.5 | O 175 |
| Jan 19 | vs ILL | W 80-78 | -1.5 | W +0.5 | 160.5 | U 158 |
| Jan 25 | @ RUTG | W 81-74 | -8.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 28 | vsMINN | W 73-51 | -14.5 | W +7.5 | 139.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 1 | @ USC | L 64-70 | -3.5 | L −9.5 | 150.5 | U 134 |
| Feb 4 | @ UCLA | L 61-63 | +2.5 | W +0.5 | 140.5 | U 124 |
| Feb 8 | vs ORE | W 86-74 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 147.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 11 | vs IU | L 67-71 | -11.5 | L −15.5 | 148.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 15 | @ILL | W 79-65 | +6.5 | W +20.5 | 158.5 | U 144 |
| Feb 18 | vs PUR | W 75-66 | -3.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Feb 21 | @ MICH | W 75-62 | +3.5 | W +16.5 | 150.5 | U 137 |
| Feb 26 | @ MD | W 58-55 | +3.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | U 113 |
| Mar 2 | vs WIS | W 71-62 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 146.5 | U 133 |
| Mar 6 | @ IOWA | W 91-84 | -6.5 | W +0.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Mar 9 | vsMICH | W 79-62 | -7.5 | W +9.5 | 148.5 | U 141 |
| Mar 14 | vsORE | W 74-64 | -5.5 | W +4.5 | 141.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 15 | vsWIS | L 74-77 | -1.5 | L −4.5 | 145.5 | O 151 |
| Mar 21 | vs BRY | W 87-62 | -18.5 | W +6.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Mar 23 | vs UNM | W 71-63 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 148.5 | U 134 |
| Mar 28 | vs MISS | W 73-70 | -3.5 | L −0.5 | 144.5 | U 143 |
| Mar 30 | vs AUB | L 64-70 | +5.5 | L −0.5 | 147.5 | U 134 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsMONM
MONMW 81-57
+4.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 96-60
+6.5
12
vsKU
KUL 69-77
−2.5
16
vsBGSU
BGSUW 86-72
−10.5
19
vsSAM
SAMW 83-75
−8.5
25
vsCOLO
COLOW 72-56
+8.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 63-71
−10.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 94-91
+7.5
4
@MINN
MINNW 90-72
+13.5
7
vsNEB
NEBW 89-52
+30.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 77-58
+2.5
21
vsFAU
FAUW 86-69
+3.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 80-62
−9.5
3
@OSU
OSUW 69-62
+9.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 88-54
+19.5
12
@NU
NUW 78-68
+7.5
15
vsPSU
PSUW 90-85
−6.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 80-78
+0.5
25
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-74
−1.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 73-51
+7.5
1
@USC
USCL 64-70
−9.5
4
@UCLA
UCLAL 61-63
+0.5
8
vsORE
OREW 86-74
+3.5
11
vsIU
IUL 67-71
−15.5
15
@ILL
ILLW 79-65
+20.5
18
vsPUR
PURW 75-66
+5.5
21
@MICH
MICHW 75-62
+16.5
26
@MD
MDW 58-55
+6.5
2
vsWIS
WISW 71-62
+4.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAW 91-84
+0.5
9
vsMICH
MICHW 79-62
+9.5
14
vsORE
OREW 74-64
+4.5
15
vsWIS
WISL 74-77
−4.5
21
vsBRY
BRYW 87-62
+6.5
23
vsUNM
UNMW 71-63
+1.5
28
vsMISS
MISSW 73-70
−0.5
30
vsAUB
AUBL 64-70
−0.5
covered 25didn’t cover 12avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsMONM
MONMW 81-57
−5.5
7
vsNIA
NIAW 96-60
+11.5
12
vsKU
KUL 69-77
−4.5
16
vsBGSU
BGSUW 86-72
+6.5
19
vsSAM
SAMW 83-75
−5.5
25
vsCOLO
COLOW 72-56
−16.5
26
vsMEM
MEML 63-71
−16.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 94-91
+26.5
4
@MINN
MINNW 90-72
+30.5
7
vsNEB
NEBW 89-52
−6.5
17
vsOAK
OAKW 77-58
+1.5
21
vsFAU
FAUW 86-69
−2.5
30
vsWMU
WMUW 80-62
−5.5
3
@OSU
OSUW 69-62
−18.5
9
vsWASH
WASHW 88-54
−3.5
12
@NU
NUW 78-68
+7.5
15
vsPSU
PSUW 90-85
+22.5
19
vsILL
ILLW 80-78
−2.5
25
@RUTG
RUTGW 81-74
+3.5
28
vsMINN
MINNW 73-51
−15.5
1
@USC
USCL 64-70
−16.5
4
@UCLA
UCLAL 61-63
−16.5
8
vsORE
OREW 86-74
+12.5
11
vsIU
IUL 67-71
−10.5
15
@ILL
ILLW 79-65
−14.5
18
vsPUR
PURW 75-66
−7.5
21
@MICH
MICHW 75-62
−13.5
26
@MD
MDW 58-55
−36.5
2
vsWIS
WISW 71-62
−13.5
6
@IOWA
IOWAW 91-84
+18.5
9
vsMICH
MICHW 79-62
−7.5
14
vsORE
OREW 74-64
−3.5
15
vsWIS
WISL 74-77
+5.5
21
vsBRY
BRYW 87-62
−3.5
23
vsUNM
UNMW 71-63
−14.5
28
vsMISS
MISSW 73-70
−1.5
30
vsAUB
AUBL 64-70
−13.5
over 11under 26avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Colgate
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Michigan St
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.