Dean E. Smith Center · at North Carolina
Closing line
UNC -31.5✓ UNC covered by 8.5
UNC -31.5✓ UNC covered by 8.5Closing total157.5Under by 9.5
 CARK | This season | UNC |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: CARK 60–90 UNC · ✓ UNC (100%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CARK | 23 | 31 | 54 |
| UNC | 51 | 43 | 94 |
1st half: CARK 23, UNC 51 (UNC by 28). The model had UNC by 18.2 and a total of 70.2 (actual 74).
Team stats
| CARK | UNC | |
|---|---|---|
| 20-64 31% | Field goals | 33-65 51% |
| 8-29 28% | 3-pointers | 10-29 34% |
| 6-9 67% | Free throws | 18-22 82% |
| 30 10 off | Rebounds | 45 12 off |
| 9 | Assists | 23 |
| 8 | Steals | 13 |
| 1 | Blocks | 3 |
| 17 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 22 | Fouls | 14 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 3 | Fast-break points | 26 |
Players
| CARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Rashad Bolden G | 24 | 8 | 5 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-3 |
| Camren Hunter G | 23 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-11 | 1-4 |
| Cole McCormick G | 20 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 4-5 | 1-2 |
| Ty Robinson G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 2 | 2-9 | 2-6 |
| Malchiah Marable F | 15 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luke Moore G | 20 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-9 | 1-6 |
| Parker Applegate G | 15 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
| Javion Guy-King G | 14 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-6 | 2-4 |
| Chris Mason F | 13 | 4 | 2 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Truman Byrne F | 12 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Harry Beauchamp G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Lee G | 8 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| J.C. Shulman G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Ethan Thomas G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Owen Dehrmann G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Rylie Marshall, R.J. Newton
| UNC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kyan Evans G | 25 | 15 | 6 | 5 | 5-8 | 4-7 |
| Caleb Wilson F | 25 | 22 | 4 | 3 | 8-10 | 1-1 |
| Henri Veesaar C | 25 | 14 | 10 | 1 | 6-9 | 0-1 |
| Seth Trimble G | 24 | 12 | 2 | 4 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Jarin Stevenson F | 19 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Luka Bogavac G | 20 | 10 | 3 | 5 | 3-9 | 1-5 |
| Jonathan Powell G | 15 | 3 | 0 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-6 |
| Derek Dixon G | 13 | 3 | 6 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Zayden High F | 11 | 0 | 4 | 2 | 0-3 | 0-0 |
| Jaydon Young G | 6 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| James Brown C | 5 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Denis G | 4 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Ivan Matlekovic C | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Evan Smith G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| John Holbrook F | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Elijah Davis G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenUNC -34.5
3 → CARK
CloseUNC -31.5
3 pts toward CARK
Total
Open156.5
▲ 1
Close157.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened UNC -34.5 · closed UNC -31.5 · moved 3 toward CARKmodel UNC -30
model UNC -30
Opened 156.5 · closed 157.5 · moved 1 upmodel 150
model 150
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | UNC -31.5 | UNC -30.1 | CARK +1.4 | L UNC covered |
| Total | 157.5 | 150.0 | Under 7.5 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | CARK 60 · UNC 90.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | UNC -18.2 | UNC -28.0 |
| 1H total | 70.2 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | CARK 26 · UNC 44.2 | CARK 23 · UNC 51 |
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| CARK | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 8-2 80% |
| UNC | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
C Arkansas
31 games played
Straight up
7-24
23% wins
Against the spread
17-14
55% covers · avg −0.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
21-10
68% overs · avg +3.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 5 | @ BYU | L 50-88 | +33.5 | L −4.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 7 | @ UTAH | L 63-98 | +29.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 16 | @ WIU | L 61-63 | +7.5 | W +5.5 | 135.5 | U 124 |
| Nov 21 | vs SEMO | L 73-77 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 24 | vs UNCA | W 92-83 | +7.5 | W +16.5 | 144.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 30 | @ GT | L 68-87 | +22.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 155 |
| Dec 4 | @ LR | L 57-63 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 140.5 | U 120 |
| Dec 7 | @ UAPB | L 78-84 | -5.5 | L −11.5 | 153.5 | O 162 |
| Dec 14 | vs ARK | L 57-82 | +27.5 | W +2.5 | 147.5 | U 139 |
| Dec 16 | vs CIT | W 73-71 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 138.5 | O 144 |
| Dec 22 | @ OU | L 66-89 | +26.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | O 155 |
| Jan 2 | vs EKU | L 83-89 | +6.5 | W +0.5 | 152.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 4 | vs BELL | W 71-65 | -4.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 136 |
| Jan 9 | @ STET | L 65-75 | +1.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Jan 11 | @ FGCU | L 71-77 | +11.5 | W +5.5 | 140.5 | O 148 |
| Jan 16 | @ UNF | L 80-92 | +11.5 | L −0.5 | 157.5 | O 172 |
| Jan 18 | @ JAX | L 62-72 | +13.5 | W +3.5 | 137.5 | U 134 |
| Jan 23 | vs APSU | L 71-73 | +1.5 | L −0.5 | 135.5 | O 144 |
| Jan 25 | vs LIP | L 55-68 | +13.5 | W +0.5 | 142.5 | U 123 |
| Jan 29 | vs WGA | W 75-70 | -1.5 | W +3.5 | 138.5 | O 145 |
| Feb 1 | @ UNA | L 65-94 | +14.5 | L −14.5 | 144.5 | O 159 |
| Feb 5 | vs QUC | L 47-63 | +8.5 | L −7.5 | 144.5 | U 110 |
| Feb 8 | @APSU | L 67-90 | +9.5 | L −13.5 | 136.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 13 | vsJAX | L 62-77 | +11.5 | L −3.5 | 135.5 | O 139 |
| Feb 15 | vsUNF | W 84-83 | +8.5 | W +9.5 | 157.5 | O 167 |
| Feb 18 | @QUC | L 72-89 | +13.5 | L −3.5 | 142.5 | O 161 |
| Feb 20 | @WGA | W 82-71 | +3.5 | W +14.5 | 141.5 | O 153 |
| Feb 24 | vsUNA | L 70-93 | +10.5 | L −12.5 | 144.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 26 | @LIP | L 60-78 | +20.5 | W +2.5 | 144.5 | U 138 |
| Mar 2 | vsSTET | W 77-72 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 141.5 | O 149 |
| Mar 3 | @LIP | L 66-84 | +19.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | O 150 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
5
@BYU
BYUL 50-88
−4.5
7
@UTAH
UTAHL 63-98
−5.5
16
@WIU
WIUL 61-63
+5.5
21
vsSEMO
SEMOL 73-77
−5.5
24
vsUNCA
UNCAW 92-83
+16.5
30
@GT
GTL 68-87
+3.5
4
@LR
LRL 57-63
+3.5
7
@UAPB
UAPBL 78-84
−11.5
14
vsARK
ARKL 57-82
+2.5
16
vsCIT
CITW 73-71
−2.5
22
@OU
OUL 66-89
+3.5
2
vsEKU
EKUL 83-89
+0.5
4
vsBELL
BELLW 71-65
+1.5
9
@STET
STETL 65-75
−8.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUL 71-77
+5.5
16
@UNF
UNFL 80-92
−0.5
18
@JAX
JAXL 62-72
+3.5
23
vsAPSU
APSUL 71-73
−0.5
25
vsLIP
LIPL 55-68
+0.5
29
vsWGA
WGAW 75-70
+3.5
1
@UNA
UNAL 65-94
−14.5
5
vsQUC
QUCL 47-63
−7.5
8
@APSU
APSUL 67-90
−13.5
13
vsJAX
JAXL 62-77
−3.5
15
vsUNF
UNFW 84-83
+9.5
18
@QUC
QUCL 72-89
−3.5
20
@WGA
WGAW 82-71
+14.5
24
vsUNA
UNAL 70-93
−12.5
26
@LIP
LIPL 60-78
+2.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 77-72
+6.5
3
@LIP
LIPL 66-84
+1.5
covered 17didn’t cover 14avg −0.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
5
@BYU
BYUL 50-88
−17.5
7
@UTAH
UTAHL 63-98
+11.5
16
@WIU
WIUL 61-63
−11.5
21
vsSEMO
SEMOL 73-77
+0.5
24
vsUNCA
UNCAW 92-83
+30.5
30
@GT
GTL 68-87
+3.5
4
@LR
LRL 57-63
−20.5
7
@UAPB
UAPBL 78-84
+8.5
14
vsARK
ARKL 57-82
−8.5
16
vsCIT
CITW 73-71
+5.5
22
@OU
OUL 66-89
+6.5
2
vsEKU
EKUL 83-89
+19.5
4
vsBELL
BELLW 71-65
−9.5
9
@STET
STETL 65-75
−5.5
11
@FGCU
FGCUL 71-77
+7.5
16
@UNF
UNFL 80-92
+14.5
18
@JAX
JAXL 62-72
−3.5
23
vsAPSU
APSUL 71-73
+8.5
25
vsLIP
LIPL 55-68
−19.5
29
vsWGA
WGAW 75-70
+6.5
1
@UNA
UNAL 65-94
+14.5
5
vsQUC
QUCL 47-63
−34.5
8
@APSU
APSUL 67-90
+20.5
13
vsJAX
JAXL 62-77
+3.5
15
vsUNF
UNFW 84-83
+9.5
18
@QUC
QUCL 72-89
+18.5
20
@WGA
WGAW 82-71
+11.5
24
vsUNA
UNAL 70-93
+18.5
26
@LIP
LIPL 60-78
−6.5
2
vsSTET
STETW 77-72
+7.5
3
@LIP
LIPL 66-84
+8.5
over 21under 10avg +3.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
North Carolina
37 games played
Straight up
23-14
62% wins
Against the spread
17-20
46% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
18-19
49% overs · avg +0.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs ELON | W 90-76 | -10.5 | W +3.5 | 171.5 | U 166 |
| Nov 8 | @ KU | L 89-92 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 160.5 | O 181 |
| Nov 15 | vs AMER | W 107-55 | -24.5 | W +27.5 | 148.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 23 | @ HAW | W 87-69 | -15.5 | W +2.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 25 | vs DAY | W 92-90 | -9.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 26 | vs AUB | L 72-85 | +3.5 | L −9.5 | 167.5 | U 157 |
| Nov 27 | vs MSU | L 91-94 | -4.5 | L −7.5 | 158.5 | O 185 |
| Dec 4 | vs ALA | L 79-94 | -1.5 | L −16.5 | 175.5 | U 173 |
| Dec 7 | vsGT | W 68-65 | -18.5 | L −15.5 | 162.5 | U 133 |
| Dec 14 | vs LAS | W 93-67 | -20.5 | W +5.5 | 162.5 | U 160 |
| Dec 17 | vs FLA | L 84-90 | +3.5 | L −2.5 | 167.5 | O 174 |
| Dec 21 | vs UCLA | W 76-74 | +1.5 | W +3.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 29 | vs CAM | W 97-81 | -28.5 | L −12.5 | 155.5 | O 178 |
| Jan 1 | @ LOU | L 70-83 | +0.5 | L −12.5 | 164.5 | U 153 |
| Jan 4 | @ ND | W 74-73 | -3.5 | L −2.5 | 154.5 | U 147 |
| Jan 7 | vs SMU | W 82-67 | -6.5 | W +8.5 | 166.5 | U 149 |
| Jan 11 | @ NCSU | W 63-61 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 151.5 | U 124 |
| Jan 15 | vs CAL | W 79-53 | -15.5 | W +10.5 | 159.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 18 | vs STAN | L 71-72 | -12.5 | L −13.5 | 153.5 | U 143 |
| Jan 21 | @ WAKE | L 66-67 | +0.5 | L −0.5 | 148.5 | U 133 |
| Jan 25 | vs BC | W 102-96 | -19.5 | L −13.5 | 149.5 | O 198 |
| Jan 28 | @ PITT | L 65-73 | +2.5 | L −5.5 | 152.5 | U 138 |
| Feb 1 | @ DUKE | L 70-87 | +12.5 | L −4.5 | 148.5 | O 157 |
| Feb 8 | vsPITT | W 67-66 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 150.5 | U 133 |
| Feb 10 | @ CLEM | L 65-85 | +4.5 | L −15.5 | 144.5 | O 150 |
| Feb 15 | @ SYR | W 88-82 | -8.5 | L −2.5 | 152.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 19 | vsNCSU | W 97-73 | -10.5 | W +13.5 | 146.5 | O 170 |
| Feb 22 | vs UVA | W 81-66 | -9.5 | W +5.5 | 139.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 24 | @ FSU | W 96-85 | -3.5 | W +7.5 | 155.5 | O 181 |
| Mar 1 | vs MIA | W 92-73 | -17.5 | W +1.5 | 159.5 | O 165 |
| Mar 4 | @ VT | W 91-59 | -8.5 | W +23.5 | 149.5 | O 150 |
| Mar 8 | vsDUKE | L 69-82 | +9.5 | L −3.5 | 160.5 | U 151 |
| Mar 12 | vsND | W 76-56 | -10.5 | W +9.5 | 145.5 | U 132 |
| Mar 13 | vsWAKE | W 68-59 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 148.5 | U 127 |
| Mar 14 | vsDUKE | L 71-74 | +7.5 | W +4.5 | 153.5 | U 145 |
| Mar 18 | vs SDSU | W 95-68 | -4.5 | W +22.5 | 141.5 | O 163 |
| Mar 21 | vs MISS | L 64-71 | -1.5 | L −8.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsELON
ELONW 90-76
+3.5
8
@KU
KUL 89-92
+4.5
15
vsAMER
AMERW 107-55
+27.5
23
@HAW
HAWW 87-69
+2.5
25
vsDAY
DAYW 92-90
−7.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 72-85
−9.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 91-94
−7.5
4
vsALA
ALAL 79-94
−16.5
7
vsGT
GTW 68-65
−15.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 93-67
+5.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 84-90
−2.5
21
vsUCLA
UCLAW 76-74
+3.5
29
vsCAM
CAMW 97-81
−12.5
1
@LOU
LOUL 70-83
−12.5
4
@ND
NDW 74-73
−2.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 82-67
+8.5
11
@NCSU
NCSUW 63-61
−2.5
15
vsCAL
CALW 79-53
+10.5
18
vsSTAN
STANL 71-72
−13.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEL 66-67
−0.5
25
vsBC
BCW 102-96
−13.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 65-73
−5.5
1
@DUKE
DUKEL 70-87
−4.5
8
vsPITT
PITTW 67-66
−4.5
10
@CLEM
CLEML 65-85
−15.5
15
@SYR
SYRW 88-82
−2.5
19
vsNCSU
NCSUW 97-73
+13.5
22
vsUVA
UVAW 81-66
+5.5
24
@FSU
FSUW 96-85
+7.5
1
vsMIA
MIAW 92-73
+1.5
4
@VT
VTW 91-59
+23.5
8
vsDUKE
DUKEL 69-82
−3.5
12
vsND
NDW 76-56
+9.5
13
vsWAKE
WAKEW 68-59
+3.5
14
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-74
+4.5
18
vsSDSU
SDSUW 95-68
+22.5
21
vsMISS
MISSL 64-71
−8.5
covered 17didn’t cover 20avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsELON
ELONW 90-76
−5.5
8
@KU
KUL 89-92
+20.5
15
vsAMER
AMERW 107-55
+13.5
23
@HAW
HAWW 87-69
+3.5
25
vsDAY
DAYW 92-90
+22.5
26
vsAUB
AUBL 72-85
−10.5
27
vsMSU
MSUL 91-94
+26.5
4
vsALA
ALAL 79-94
−2.5
7
vsGT
GTW 68-65
−29.5
14
vsLAS
LASW 93-67
−2.5
17
vsFLA
FLAL 84-90
+6.5
21
vsUCLA
UCLAW 76-74
+0.5
29
vsCAM
CAMW 97-81
+22.5
1
@LOU
LOUL 70-83
−11.5
4
@ND
NDW 74-73
−7.5
7
vsSMU
SMUW 82-67
−17.5
11
@NCSU
NCSUW 63-61
−27.5
15
vsCAL
CALW 79-53
−27.5
18
vsSTAN
STANL 71-72
−10.5
21
@WAKE
WAKEL 66-67
−15.5
25
vsBC
BCW 102-96
+48.5
28
@PITT
PITTL 65-73
−14.5
1
@DUKE
DUKEL 70-87
+8.5
8
vsPITT
PITTW 67-66
−17.5
10
@CLEM
CLEML 65-85
+5.5
15
@SYR
SYRW 88-82
+17.5
19
vsNCSU
NCSUW 97-73
+23.5
22
vsUVA
UVAW 81-66
+7.5
24
@FSU
FSUW 96-85
+25.5
1
vsMIA
MIAW 92-73
+5.5
4
@VT
VTW 91-59
+0.5
8
vsDUKE
DUKEL 69-82
−9.5
12
vsND
NDW 76-56
−13.5
13
vsWAKE
WAKEW 68-59
−21.5
14
vsDUKE
DUKEL 71-74
−8.5
18
vsSDSU
SDSUW 95-68
+21.5
21
vsMISS
MISSL 64-71
−20.5
over 18under 19avg +0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
C Arkansas
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · United Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
North Carolina
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.