Breslin Center · at Michigan St
Closing line
MSU -2.5✓ MSU covered by 0.5
MSU -2.5✓ MSU covered by 0.5Closing total155.5Under by 20.5
 ARK | This season | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 1-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: ARK 79–78 MSU · ✗ ARK (53%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARK | 39 | 27 | 66 |
| MSU | 36 | 33 | 69 |
1st half: ARK 39, MSU 36 (ARK by 3). The model had ARK by 0.7 and a total of 73.4 (actual 75).
Team stats
| ARK | MSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-56 39% | Field goals | 25-61 41% |
| 7-28 25% | 3-pointers | 1-14 7% |
| 15-23 65% | Free throws | 18-26 69% |
| 33 13 off | Rebounds | 45 19 off |
| 16 | Assists | 18 |
| 11 | Steals | 7 |
| 6 | Blocks | 4 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 14 |
| 21 | Fouls | 15 |
| 28 | Points in paint | 46 |
| 18 | Fast-break points | 14 |
Players
| ARK | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Darius Acuff Jr. G | 33 | 16 | 2 | 6 | 5-16 | 2-8 |
| DJ Wagner G | 31 | 13 | 2 | 3 | 4-6 | 2-4 |
| Billy Richmond III G | 29 | 8 | 6 | 0 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Nick Pringle F | 28 | 6 | 7 | 1 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Trevon Brazile F | 16 | 3 | 2 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Meleek Thomas G | 29 | 16 | 6 | 2 | 5-15 | 2-9 |
| Karter Knox G | 18 | 0 | 4 | 4 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Malique Ewin F | 15 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Isaiah Sealy F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Amere Brown, Jaden Karuletwa, Ayden Kelley, Paulo Semedo, Karim Rtail, Elmir Dzafic
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 35 | 4 | 3 | 9 | 0-7 | 0-2 |
| Coen Carr F | 31 | 15 | 7 | 3 | 4-7 | 0-1 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 31 | 10 | 7 | 3 | 5-13 | 0-3 |
| Carson Cooper C | 20 | 9 | 2 | 2 | 3-5 | 0-0 |
| Trey Fort G | 15 | 5 | 2 | 0 | 2-6 | 1-4 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Scott F | 26 | 6 | 7 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Cam Ward F | 23 | 18 | 10 | 0 | 8-13 | 0-1 |
| Divine Ugochukwu G | 11 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Kur Teng G | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Jesse McCulloch F | 3 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Denham Wojcik, Nick Sanders, Kaleb Glenn, Brennan Walton, Colin Walton
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSU -1.5
1 → MSU
CloseMSU -2.5
1 pt toward MSU
Total
Open155.5
no move
Close155.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
ARK +130 · MSU -150
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSU -1.5 · closed MSU -2.5 · moved 1 toward MSUmodel ARK -1
model ARK -1
Opened 155.5 · unchangedmodel 157
model 157
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSU -2.5 | ARK -0.9 | ARK +3.4 | L MSU covered |
| Total | 155.5 | 156.8 | Over 1.3 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | ARK 78.8 · MSU 77.9 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | ARK -0.7 | ARK -3.0 |
| 1H total | 73.4 | 75 |
| 1H projected score | ARK 37 · MSU 36.3 | ARK 39 · MSU 36 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| ARKlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| MSUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 1-0 100% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Arkansas
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +5.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +35.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs SOU | W 109-77 | -26.5 | W +5.5 | 150.5 | O 186 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+5.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +5.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsSOU
SOUW 109-77
+35.5
over 1under 0avg +35.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan St
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −11.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +4.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs COLG | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −11.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
over 1under 0avg +4.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Arkansas
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southeastern Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Southern109–77
5 days since their last game.
Michigan St
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Colgate80–69
5 days since their last game.