Pinnacle Bank Arena · at Nebraska · Conference game
Closing line
NEB -1.5✓ NEB covered by 28.5
NEB -1.5✓ NEB covered by 28.5Closing total158.5Under by 8.5
 WIS | This season | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| 7-2 | Record | 9-0 |
| 5-4 | ATS | 5-4 |
| 7-2 | O/U | 4-5 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: WIS 79–79 NEB · ✗ WIS (53%) lost
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WIS | 31 | 29 | 60 |
| NEB | 47 | 43 | 90 |
1st half: WIS 31, NEB 47 (NEB by 16). The model had WIS by 0.7 and a total of 73.9 (actual 78).
Team stats
| WIS | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 22-64 34% | Field goals | 33-61 54% |
| 7-32 22% | 3-pointers | 11-30 37% |
| 9-11 82% | Free throws | 13-15 87% |
| 32 11 off | Rebounds | 38 8 off |
| 14 | Assists | 20 |
| 4 | Steals | 4 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 18 | Fouls | 13 |
| 24 | Points in paint | 44 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 0 |
Players
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell G | 35 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 1-11 | 1-6 |
| Nick Boyd G | 30 | 20 | 3 | 4 | 7-16 | 2-8 |
| Nolan Winter F | 28 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 26 | 6 | 0 | 4 | 2-7 | 2-5 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 20 | 8 | 4 | 1 | 3-5 | 1-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Austin Rapp F | 24 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-6 |
| Jack Janicki G | 18 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Braeden Carrington G | 6 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Will Garlock F | 6 | 2 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Jones G | 5 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Jack Robison G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zach Kinziger, Elijah Gray, Isaac Gard, Riccardo Greppi
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Pryce Sandfort F | 30 | 14 | 4 | 3 | 6-10 | 2-6 |
| Rienk Mast F | 26 | 17 | 10 | 2 | 8-15 | 1-6 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 26 | 5 | 1 | 7 | 2-7 | 1-4 |
| Sam Hoiberg G | 25 | 12 | 1 | 2 | 5-7 | 1-2 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 19 | 14 | 5 | 1 | 4-5 | 2-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braden Frager F | 30 | 15 | 6 | 3 | 4-10 | 3-7 |
| Cale Jacobsen G | 19 | 2 | 5 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Jared Garcia F | 13 | 8 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Kendall Blue G | 7 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Leo Curtis F | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Justin Bolis F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Ugnius Jarusevicius, Connor Essegian, Will Cooper, Quentin Rhymes, Henry Burt
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -1.5
3 → NEB
CloseNEB -1.5
3 pts toward NEB
Total
Open160.5
▼ 2
Close158.5
Down 2 since the open
Moneyline
WIS +114 · NEB -135
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -1.5 · closed NEB -1.5 · moved 3 toward NEBmodel WIS -1
model WIS -1
Opened 160.5 · closed 158.5 · moved 2 downmodel 158
model 158
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NEB -1.5 | WIS -1.0 | WIS +2.5 | L NEB covered |
| Total | 158.5 | 157.9 | Under 0.6 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | WIS 79.4 · NEB 78.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WIS -0.7 | NEB -16.0 |
| 1H total | 73.9 | 78 |
| 1H projected score | WIS 37.3 · NEB 36.6 | WIS 31 · NEB 47 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| WISlast 9 | 7-2 78% | 5-4 56% | 7-2 78% |
| NEBlast 9 | 9-0 100% | 5-4 56% | 4-5 44% |
Recent meetings
Last 5 of 6 since 2021-22
WIS 3–3 NEBSeries tied · 6 games since 2021-22 · WIS 2-4 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Jan 26, 2024-25 | NEB 55 @ WIS 83 | WIS -7.5 | WIS W |
| Feb 1, 2023-24 | WIS 72 @ NEB 80 | NEB -0.5 | NEB W |
| Jan 6, 2023-24 | NEB 72 @ WIS 88 | WIS -5.5 | WIS W |
| Feb 11, 2022-23 | WIS 63 @ NEB 73 | NEB +3.5 | NEB W |
| Mar 6, 2021-22 | NEB 74 @ WIS 73 | WIS -12.5 | NEB W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Wisconsin
9 games played
Straight up
7-2
78% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg −0.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-2
78% overs · avg +4.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs MARQ | W 96-76 | -11.5 | W +8.5 | 160.5 | O 172 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+8.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
6
vsMARQ
MARQW 96-76
+11.5
over 7under 2avg +4.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nebraska
9 games played
Straight up
9-0
100% wins
Against the spread
5-4
56% covers · avg −0.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-5
44% overs · avg −6.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WGA | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs FIU | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMES | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs OU | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNM | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs KSU | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vs WIN | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs UPST | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vs CREI | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−16.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
+15.5
covered 5didn’t cover 4avg −0.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−22.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
−34.5
over 4under 5avg −6.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Wisconsin
7-2 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Marquette96–76
- Wvs Northwestern85–73
- Lvs TCU63–74
- Wvs Providence104–83
- L@ BYU70–98
4 days since their last game.
Nebraska
9-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Creighton71–50
- Wvs SC Upstate72–63
- Wvs Winthrop80–73
- Wvs Kansas St86–85
- Wvs New Mexico84–72
3 days since their last game.