Kohl Center · at Wisconsin
Closing line
WIS -11.5✓ WIS covered by 8.5
WIS -11.5✓ WIS covered by 8.5Closing total160.5Over by 11.5
 MARQ | This season | WIS |
|---|---|---|
| 5-4 | Record | 6-2 |
| 3-6 | ATS | 4-4 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 6-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MARQ 75–85 WIS · ✓ WIS (81%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MARQ | 31 | 45 | 76 |
| WIS | 43 | 53 | 96 |
1st half: MARQ 31, WIS 43 (WIS by 12). The model had WIS by 5.9 and a total of 75.0 (actual 74).
Team stats
| MARQ | WIS | |
|---|---|---|
| 29-69 42% | Field goals | 29-61 48% |
| 9-29 31% | 3-pointers | 14-33 42% |
| 9-19 47% | Free throws | 24-29 83% |
| 33 8 off | Rebounds | 46 8 off |
| 13 | Assists | 15 |
| 9 | Steals | 7 |
| 2 | Blocks | 2 |
| 8 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 23 | Fouls | 18 |
| 40 | Points in paint | 30 |
| 23 | Fast-break points | 10 |
Players
| MARQ | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Chase Ross G | 31 | 12 | 3 | 0 | 4-13 | 1-4 |
| Ben Gold F | 29 | 7 | 2 | 0 | 3-6 | 1-4 |
| Adrien Stevens G | 22 | 15 | 2 | 1 | 6-11 | 3-7 |
| Nigel James Jr. G | 19 | 11 | 6 | 3 | 4-8 | 0-1 |
| Caedin Hamilton F | 19 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Royce Parham F | 26 | 10 | 4 | 0 | 5-11 | 0-5 |
| Sean Jones G | 24 | 8 | 4 | 6 | 2-8 | 2-4 |
| Zaide Lowery G | 14 | 8 | 1 | 0 | 3-5 | 1-3 |
| Joshua Clark F | 6 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Michael Phillips II SF | 6 | 3 | 1 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Tre Norman G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Damarius Owens, Casey O'Malley, Jonah Lucas, Ian Miletic, Sheek Pearson, Braeden Brenn
| WIS | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| John Blackwell G | 31 | 30 | 1 | 3 | 8-17 | 6-12 |
| Nolan Winter F | 30 | 13 | 13 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-3 |
| Nick Boyd G | 29 | 15 | 5 | 4 | 5-11 | 1-4 |
| Andrew Rohde G | 29 | 17 | 5 | 1 | 6-9 | 3-5 |
| Aleksas Bieliauskas F | 27 | 11 | 10 | 1 | 4-4 | 3-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jack Janicki G | 18 | 1 | 4 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Austin Rapp F | 15 | 7 | 3 | 4 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Braeden Carrington G | 12 | 2 | 4 | 0 | 0-5 | 0-4 |
| Will Garlock F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jack Robison G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isaac Gard G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Riccardo Greppi F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Hayden Jones G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Zach Kinziger, Elijah Gray
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenWIS -11.5
no move
CloseWIS -11.5
No change since the open
Total
Open155.5
▲ 5
Close160.5
Up 5 since the open
Moneyline
MARQ +525 · WIS -750
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened WIS -11.5 · unchangedmodel WIS -10
model WIS -10
Opened 155.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 5 upmodel 160
model 160
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | WIS -11.5 | WIS -10.0 | MARQ +1.5 | L WIS covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 160.2 | Under 0.3 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | MARQ 75.1 · WIS 85.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | WIS -5.9 | WIS -12.0 |
| 1H total | 75.0 | 74 |
| 1H projected score | MARQ 34.5 · WIS 40.4 | MARQ 31 · WIS 43 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MARQlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 3-6 33% | 5-4 56% |
| WISlast 8 | 6-2 75% | 4-4 50% | 6-2 75% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
MARQ 1–3 WISWIS leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · MARQ 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 7, 2024-25 | WIS 74 @ MARQ 88 | MARQ -6.5 | MARQ W |
| Dec 2, 2023-24 | MARQ 64 @ WIS 75 | WIS +2.5 | WIS W |
| Dec 3, 2022-23 | WIS 80 @ MARQ 77 | MARQ -5.5 | WIS W |
| Dec 4, 2021-22 | MARQ 76 @ WIS 89 | WIS -7 | WIS W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Marquette
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −6.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg +2.7 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs UALB | W 80-53 | -24.5 | W +2.5 | 149.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 5 | vs SOU | W 100-82 | -24.5 | L −6.5 | 155.5 | O 182 |
| Nov 9 | vs IU | L 77-100 | +3.5 | L −19.5 | 156.5 | O 177 |
| Nov 12 | vs LR | W 89-49 | -21.5 | W +18.5 | 155.5 | U 138 |
| Nov 15 | vs MD | L 82-89 | -8.5 | L −15.5 | 146.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 19 | vs DAY | L 71-77 | -6.5 | L −12.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Nov 22 | vs CMU | W 85-71 | -25.5 | L −11.5 | 152.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 28 | vs OU | L 74-75 | +1.5 | W +0.5 | 162.5 | U 149 |
| Dec 2 | vs VAL | W 75-72 | -17.5 | L −14.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
+2.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
−6.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
−19.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
+18.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
−15.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−12.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
−11.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
+0.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
−14.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −6.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsUALB
UALBW 80-53
−16.5
5
vsSOU
SOUW 100-82
+26.5
9
vsIU
IUL 77-100
+20.5
12
vsLR
LRW 89-49
−17.5
15
vsMD
MDL 82-89
+24.5
19
vsDAY
DAYL 71-77
−3.5
22
vsCMU
CMUW 85-71
+3.5
28
vsOU
OUL 74-75
−13.5
2
vsVAL
VALW 75-72
+0.5
over 5under 4avg +2.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Wisconsin
8 games played
Straight up
6-2
75% wins
Against the spread
4-4
50% covers · avg −1.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
6-2
75% overs · avg +3.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs CAM | W 96-64 | -20.5 | W +11.5 | 151.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 7 | vs NIU | W 97-72 | -28.5 | L −3.5 | 157.5 | O 169 |
| Nov 11 | vs BALL | W 86-55 | -26.5 | W +4.5 | 156.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 17 | vs SIUE | W 94-69 | -25.5 | L −0.5 | 146.5 | O 163 |
| Nov 21 | @ BYU | L 70-98 | +4.5 | L −23.5 | 165.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 27 | vs PROV | W 104-83 | -6.5 | W +14.5 | 166.5 | O 187 |
| Nov 28 | vs TCU | L 63-74 | -5.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 137 |
| Dec 3 | vs NU | W 85-73 | -10.5 | W +1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+11.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
−3.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
+4.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
−0.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
−23.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+14.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−16.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+1.5
covered 4didn’t cover 4avg −1.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCAM
CAMW 96-64
+8.5
7
vsNIU
NIUW 97-72
+11.5
11
vsBALL
BALLW 86-55
−15.5
17
vsSIUE
SIUEW 94-69
+16.5
21
@BYU
BYUL 70-98
+2.5
27
vsPROV
PROVW 104-83
+20.5
28
vsTCU
TCUL 63-74
−20.5
3
vsNU
NUW 85-73
+2.5
over 6under 2avg +3.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Marquette
5-4 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big East Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Valparaiso75–72
- Lvs Oklahoma74–75
- Wvs C Michigan85–71
- Lvs Dayton71–77
- Lvs Maryland82–89
4 days since their last game.
Wisconsin
6-2 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Northwestern85–73
- Lvs TCU63–74
- Wvs Providence104–83
- L@ BYU70–98
- Wvs SIUE94–69
3 days since their last game.