Breslin Center · at Michigan St
Closing line
MSU -23.5✓ COR covered by 6.5
MSU -23.5✓ COR covered by 6.5Closing total160.5Over by 50.5
 COR | This season | MSU |
|---|---|---|
| 5-5 | Record | 11-1 |
| 3-7 | ATS | 5-7 |
| 7-3 | O/U | 4-8 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: COR 69–91 MSU · ✓ MSU (97%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COR | 53 | 44 | 97 |
| MSU | 55 | 59 | 114 |
1st half: COR 53, MSU 55 (MSU by 2). The model had MSU by 13.3 and a total of 74.7 (actual 108).
Team stats
| COR | MSU | |
|---|---|---|
| 32-70 46% | Field goals | 36-65 55% |
| 15-44 34% | 3-pointers | 13-28 46% |
| 18-23 78% | Free throws | 29-43 67% |
| 33 9 off | Rebounds | 45 15 off |
| 19 | Assists | 30 |
| 7 | Steals | 6 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 35 | Fouls | 20 |
| 32 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 15 | Fast-break points | 33 |
Players
| COR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Cooper Noard G | 24 | 19 | 4 | 1 | 5-12 | 3-9 |
| Jake Fiegen G | 22 | 15 | 7 | 1 | 6-16 | 1-8 |
| Adam Hinton G | 20 | 15 | 1 | 1 | 5-12 | 2-8 |
| Jacob Beccles G | 15 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 3-6 | 1-3 |
| Kaspar Sepp F | 9 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Josh Baldwin G | 17 | 10 | 2 | 2 | 3-4 | 1-1 |
| DJ Nix F | 16 | 1 | 2 | 1 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Corbin Zentner G | 15 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| DaMaryon Fishburn G | 14 | 0 | 2 | 5 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Gioacchino Panzini F | 10 | 1 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mateen Rafiq G | 10 | 11 | 1 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Anthony Nimani G | 10 | 0 | 3 | 2 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Jax Abalos F | 9 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| AJ LaBeau F | 5 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Ian Imegwu F | 4 | 6 | 0 | 0 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
Did not play: Ty Iwanonkiw, AJ Rodriguez, Elijah Griffin, Ryan Burbach, Blake Lecklitner
| MSU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jeremy Fears Jr. G | 28 | 21 | 2 | 11 | 7-11 | 3-5 |
| Coen Carr F | 23 | 19 | 6 | 3 | 5-9 | 0-1 |
| Divine Ugochukwu G | 20 | 12 | 2 | 3 | 5-8 | 2-3 |
| Jaxon Kohler F | 16 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 3-5 | 2-4 |
| Carson Cooper C | 16 | 9 | 6 | 2 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Jordan Scott F | 19 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-4 | 1-4 |
| Cam Ward F | 16 | 5 | 4 | 1 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Kur Teng G | 16 | 10 | 3 | 2 | 3-8 | 1-4 |
| Trey Fort G | 16 | 14 | 3 | 2 | 5-11 | 2-5 |
| Jesse McCulloch F | 13 | 7 | 1 | 1 | 2-2 | 1-1 |
| Denham Wojcik G | 12 | 0 | 0 | 4 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nick Sanders G | 3 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-1 | 1-1 |
| Colin Walton F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brennan Walton F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Kaleb Glenn
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenMSU -27.5
4 → COR
CloseMSU -23.5
4 pts toward COR
Total
Open159.5
▲ 1
Close160.5
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
COR +2000 · MSU -6500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened MSU -27.5 · closed MSU -23.5 · moved 4 toward CORmodel MSU -22.5
model MSU -22.5
Opened 159.5 · closed 160.5 · moved 1 upmodel 159.5
model 159.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | MSU -23.5 | MSU -22.3 | COR +1.2 | W COR covered |
| Total | 160.5 | 159.6 | Under 0.9 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | COR 68.6 · MSU 91 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | MSU -13.3 | MSU -2.0 |
| 1H total | 74.7 | 108 |
| 1H projected score | COR 30.7 · MSU 44 | COR 53 · MSU 55 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| COR | 5-5 50% | 3-7 30% | 7-3 70% |
| MSU | 9-1 90% | 4-6 40% | 3-7 30% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Cornell
10 games played
Straight up
5-5
50% wins
Against the spread
3-7
30% covers · avg +1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-3
70% overs · avg +12.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 7 | @ KENT | L 102-110 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 164.5 | O 212 |
| Nov 9 | @ ILST | L 65-76 | +6.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 141 |
| Nov 13 | @ LAF | W 97-78 | -4.5 | W +14.5 | 160.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 18 | vs ARMY | W 86-73 | -17.5 | L −4.5 | 164.5 | U 159 |
| Nov 20 | vs COLG | W 95-94 | -5.5 | L −4.5 | 161.5 | O 189 |
| Nov 30 | @ BUCK | W 101-72 | -5.5 | W +23.5 | 159.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 2 | @ GMU | L 81-99 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 155.5 | O 180 |
| Dec 3 | @ TOW | L 80-93 | +6.5 | L −6.5 | 154.5 | O 173 |
| Dec 7 | @ SAM | L 90-93 | +2.5 | L −0.5 | 166.5 | O 183 |
| Dec 21 | @ UALB | W 83-75 | -6.5 | W +1.5 | 167.5 | U 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
7
@KENT
KENTL 102-110
−1.5
9
@ILST
ILSTL 65-76
−4.5
13
@LAF
LAFW 97-78
+14.5
18
vsARMY
ARMYW 86-73
−4.5
20
vsCOLG
COLGW 95-94
−4.5
30
@BUCK
BUCKW 101-72
+23.5
2
@GMU
GMUL 81-99
−7.5
3
@TOW
TOWL 80-93
−6.5
7
@SAM
SAML 90-93
−0.5
21
@UALB
UALBW 83-75
+1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 7avg +1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
7
@KENT
KENTL 102-110
+47.5
9
@ILST
ILSTL 65-76
−23.5
13
@LAF
LAFW 97-78
+14.5
18
vsARMY
ARMYW 86-73
−5.5
20
vsCOLG
COLGW 95-94
+27.5
30
@BUCK
BUCKW 101-72
+13.5
2
@GMU
GMUL 81-99
+24.5
3
@TOW
TOWL 80-93
+18.5
7
@SAM
SAML 90-93
+16.5
21
@UALB
UALBW 83-75
−9.5
over 7under 3avg +12.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Michigan St
12 games played
Straight up
11-1
92% wins
Against the spread
5-7
42% covers · avg +1.6 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −5.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vsCOLG | W 80-69 | -22.5 | L −11.5 | 144.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 8 | vs ARK | W 69-66 | -2.5 | W +0.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 13 | vs SJSU | W 79-60 | -24.5 | L −5.5 | 143.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 18 | vs UK | W 83-66 | +3.5 | W +20.5 | 152.5 | U 149 |
| Nov 21 | vs DETM | W 84-56 | -30.5 | L −2.5 | 149.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 25 | vs ECU | W 89-56 | -19.5 | W +13.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 27 | vs UNC | W 74-58 | -1.5 | W +14.5 | 152.5 | U 132 |
| Dec 2 | vs IOWA | W 71-52 | -5.5 | W +13.5 | 133.5 | U 123 |
| Dec 6 | vs DUKE | L 60-66 | +1.5 | L −4.5 | 141.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 13 | @ PSU | W 76-72 | -12.5 | L −8.5 | 145.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 16 | vs TOL | W 92-69 | -23.5 | L −0.5 | 150.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 20 | vs OAK | W 79-70 | -19.5 | L −10.5 | 155.5 | U 149 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
−11.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
+0.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−5.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
+20.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−2.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+13.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
+14.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
+13.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−4.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
−8.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
−0.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−10.5
covered 5didn’t cover 7avg +1.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsCOLG
COLGW 80-69
+4.5
8
vsARK
ARKW 69-66
−20.5
13
vsSJSU
SJSUW 79-60
−4.5
18
vsUK
UKW 83-66
−3.5
21
vsDETM
DETMW 84-56
−9.5
25
vsECU
ECUW 89-56
+4.5
27
vsUNC
UNCW 74-58
−20.5
2
vsIOWA
IOWAW 71-52
−10.5
6
vsDUKE
DUKEL 60-66
−15.5
13
@PSU
PSUW 76-72
+2.5
16
vsTOL
TOLW 92-69
+10.5
20
vsOAK
OAKW 79-70
−6.5
over 4under 8avg −5.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Cornell
5-5 overall · 0-0 in conference · Ivy League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ UAlbany83–75
- L@ Samford90–93
- L@ Towson80–93
- L@ George Mason81–99
- W@ Bucknell101–72
A week or more of rest.
Michigan St
11-1 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oakland79–70
- Wvs Toledo92–69
- W@ Penn State76–72
- Lvs Duke60–66
- Wvs Iowa71–52
A week or more of rest.