Pinnacle Bank Arena · at Nebraska
Closing line
NEB -29.5✓ UND covered by 6.5
NEB -29.5✓ UND covered by 6.5Closing total151.5Under by 18.5
 UND | This season | NEB |
|---|---|---|
| 3-9 | Record | 11-0 |
| 6-6 | ATS | 7-4 |
| 4-8 | O/U | 5-6 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: UND 61–90 NEB · ✓ NEB (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UND | 26 | 29 | 55 |
| NEB | 24 | 54 | 78 |
1st half: UND 26, NEB 24 (UND by 2). The model had NEB by 16.9 and a total of 70.7 (actual 50).
Team stats
| UND | NEB | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-57 33% | Field goals | 28-62 45% |
| 10-29 34% | 3-pointers | 6-27 22% |
| 7-9 78% | Free throws | 16-19 84% |
| 30 6 off | Rebounds | 42 11 off |
| 13 | Assists | 22 |
| 6 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 2 |
| 12 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 20 | Fouls | 11 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 7 |
Players
| UND | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Eli King G | 30 | 13 | 6 | 0 | 5-13 | 3-9 |
| Greyson Uelmen G | 28 | 8 | 5 | 2 | 3-12 | 2-7 |
| Garrett Anderson G | 26 | 5 | 4 | 3 | 2-9 | 1-3 |
| Reggie Thomas G | 19 | 3 | 1 | 2 | 1-3 | 1-2 |
| George Natsvlishvili F | 14 | 3 | 2 | 1 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Anthony Smith III G | 20 | 8 | 3 | 4 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Josh Jones C | 20 | 0 | 2 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Wylee Delorme G | 18 | 5 | 1 | 0 | 2-4 | 1-3 |
| Marley Curtis F | 17 | 10 | 6 | 0 | 4-10 | 2-5 |
| Matthew Bothun F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Karson Ouse F | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Anthony Doppler, Ryan Erikson, Zach Kraft, Micah Curtis
| NEB | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sam Hoiberg G | 32 | 15 | 4 | 4 | 6-11 | 1-4 |
| Jamarques Lawrence G | 32 | 13 | 4 | 3 | 5-14 | 2-7 |
| Pryce Sandfort F | 30 | 7 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 1-5 |
| Berke Buyuktuncel C | 27 | 12 | 11 | 10 | 5-7 | 1-3 |
| Rienk Mast F | 21 | 7 | 9 | 2 | 2-6 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Braden Frager F | 27 | 17 | 4 | 1 | 5-8 | 0-2 |
| Cale Jacobsen G | 17 | 2 | 2 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Jared Garcia F | 10 | 3 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Leo Curtis F | 2 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Justin Bolis F | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kendall Blue G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Will Cooper, Quentin Rhymes, Ugnius Jarusevicius, Connor Essegian, Henry Burt
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Market vs model
The model’s numbers beside the market’s
MarketModelModel edgeResult
Spread
MarketNEB -29.5
ModelNEB -28.4
Model edgeUND +1.1
W UND covered
Total
Market151.5
Model151.0
Model edgeUnder 0.5
W Under
Projected score
UND 61.3 · NEB 89.7
UND 55 · NEB 78
Win probability
NEB 99%
1st half
Spread
NEB -16.9
UND -2.0
Total
70.7
50 points
Projected score
UND 26.9 · NEB 43.8
UND 26 · NEB 24
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNEB -30.5
1 → UND
CloseNEB -29.5
1 pt toward UND
Total
Open148.5
▲ 3
Close151.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
—
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NEB -30.5 · closed NEB -29.5 · moved 1 toward UNDmodel NEB -28.5
model NEB -28.5
Opened 148.5 · closed 151.5 · moved 3 upmodel 151
model 151
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| UND | 3-7 30% | 5-5 50% | 4-6 40% |
| NEB | 10-0 100% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
UND 0–1 NEBNEB leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · UND 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 20, 2023-24 | UND 75 @ NEB 83 | NEB -17.5 | UND W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
North Dakota
12 games played
Straight up
3-9
25% wins
Against the spread
6-6
50% covers · avg −1.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
4-8
33% overs · avg −2.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ALA | L 62-91 | +36.5 | W +7.5 | 170.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 6 | vs UCR | L 70-74 | -1.5 | L −5.5 | 146.5 | U 144 |
| Nov 9 | vs CSUN | L 85-93 | +6.5 | L −1.5 | 158.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 15 | @UCR | W 76-74 | +3.5 | W +5.5 | 148.5 | O 150 |
| Nov 19 | @ CREI | L 60-75 | +29.5 | W +14.5 | 155.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 22 | vs CCU | L 58-75 | +3.5 | L −13.5 | 147.5 | U 133 |
| Nov 23 | @ WIU | W 78-69 | -2.5 | W +6.5 | 146.5 | O 147 |
| Nov 28 | @ HAW | L 55-92 | +18.5 | L −18.5 | 149.5 | U 147 |
| Dec 3 | @ IDHO | L 58-90 | +11.5 | L −20.5 | 151.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 6 | vs MONT | L 75-79 | +5.5 | W +1.5 | 154.5 | U 154 |
| Dec 13 | vsWIU | L 66-69 | -7.5 | L −10.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 18 | vs WIN | W 90-88 | +12.5 | W +14.5 | 157.5 | O 178 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ALA
ALAL 62-91
+7.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 70-74
−5.5
9
vsCSUN
CSUNL 85-93
−1.5
15
@UCR
UCRW 76-74
+5.5
19
@CREI
CREIL 60-75
+14.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 58-75
−13.5
23
@WIU
WIUW 78-69
+6.5
28
@HAW
HAWL 55-92
−18.5
3
@IDHO
IDHOL 58-90
−20.5
6
vsMONT
MONTL 75-79
+1.5
13
vsWIU
WIUL 66-69
−10.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 90-88
+14.5
covered 6didn’t cover 6avg −1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ALA
ALAL 62-91
−17.5
6
vsUCR
UCRL 70-74
−2.5
9
vsCSUN
CSUNL 85-93
+19.5
15
@UCR
UCRW 76-74
+1.5
19
@CREI
CREIL 60-75
−20.5
22
vsCCU
CCUL 58-75
−14.5
23
@WIU
WIUW 78-69
+0.5
28
@HAW
HAWL 55-92
−2.5
3
@IDHO
IDHOL 58-90
−3.5
6
vsMONT
MONTL 75-79
−0.5
13
vsWIU
WIUL 66-69
−10.5
18
vsWIN
WINW 90-88
+20.5
over 4under 8avg −2.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Nebraska
11 games played
Straight up
11-0
100% wins
Against the spread
7-4
64% covers · avg +3.7 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-6
45% overs · avg −5.6 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs WGA | W 86-53 | -24.5 | W +8.5 | 153.5 | U 139 |
| Nov 8 | vs FIU | W 96-66 | -21.5 | W +8.5 | 156.5 | O 162 |
| Nov 11 | vs UMES | W 69-50 | -35.5 | L −16.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 15 | vs OU | W 105-99 | -1.5 | W +4.5 | 163.5 | O 204 |
| Nov 20 | vs UNM | W 84-72 | -8.5 | W +3.5 | 151.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 21 | vs KSU | W 86-85 | -1.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | O 171 |
| Nov 25 | vsWIN | W 80-73 | -14.5 | L −7.5 | 166.5 | U 153 |
| Nov 29 | vs UPST | W 72-63 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 157.5 | U 135 |
| Dec 7 | vsCREI | W 71-50 | -5.5 | W +15.5 | 155.5 | U 121 |
| Dec 10 | vs WIS | W 90-60 | -1.5 | W +28.5 | 158.5 | U 150 |
| Dec 13 | @ ILL | W 83-80 | +9.5 | W +12.5 | 156.5 | O 163 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
+8.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+8.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−16.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+4.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+3.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
−0.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−7.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−16.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
+15.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
+28.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+12.5
covered 7didn’t cover 4avg +3.7 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsWGA
WGAW 86-53
−14.5
8
vsFIU
FIUW 96-66
+5.5
11
vsUMES
UMESW 69-50
−27.5
15
vsOU
OUW 105-99
+40.5
20
vsUNM
UNMW 84-72
+4.5
21
vsKSU
KSUW 86-85
+2.5
25
vsWIN
WINW 80-73
−13.5
29
vsUPST
UPSTW 72-63
−22.5
7
vsCREI
CREIW 71-50
−34.5
10
vsWIS
WISW 90-60
−8.5
13
@ILL
ILLW 83-80
+6.5
over 5under 6avg −5.6 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
North Dakota
3-9 overall · 0-0 in conference · Summit League
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Winthrop90–88
- Lvs W Illinois66–69
- Lvs Montana75–79
- L@ Idaho58–90
- L@ Hawai'i55–92
3 days since their last game.
Nebraska
11-0 overall · 2-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Illinois83–80
- Wvs Wisconsin90–60
- Wvs Creighton71–50
- Wvs SC Upstate72–63
- Wvs Winthrop80–73
A week or more of rest.