1. NCAAB
  2. Mon, Nov 2
  3. JKST @ TTU
NCAAB · Mon, Nov 2

Jackson State Tigers at Texas Tech Red Raiders

United Supermarkets Arena · at Texas Tech
#280JKSTJackson St
@
#12TTUTexas Tech AP #19
LineTTU -34.5moved 1 toward TTU
Total155.5up 1 from 154.5
JKSTThis seasonTTU
0-0Record0-0
0-0ATS0-0
0-0O/U0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model: projects TTU 96–59 · win probability TTU 100%
Pick this game
Your picksMy picks ›
Spread
Total
Winner
Line
TTU -34.5
moved 1 toward TTU
Total
155.5
model 155.5
Model edge
TTU by 2.5
model vs market
Public on the spread
92% JKST
76% of the money
The model has not beaten the closing line: with an edge of 3 or more it went 409-367 in 2025-26. Model record

What could decide it: TTU has more of the edges

JKST 1, TTU 7 · 2025-26 numbers until both teams have played three games
TTUBig
TTU offense vs JKST defense
Offense 12th of 366 against a defense 325th, on the model’s ratings
TTUBig
Shooting
Effective FG%: JKST 45.7 and allows 53.0; TTU 56.1 and allows 49.7
TTUBig
Three-pointers
JKST hits 31.4% and allows 34.8%; TTU hits 39.1% and allows 32.1%. Threes are 43.3% and 47.6% of their shots
Context
Schedule so far
JKST has played the 239th-hardest schedule, TTU the 12th. A record against a soft schedule means less
TTUBig
JKST offense vs TTU defense
Offense 229th of 366 against a defense 12th, on the model’s ratings
TTUBig
Rebounding
Offensive rebound rate: JKST 29.7%, TTU 33.3%. Defensive: JKST 62.8%, TTU 69.4%
Context
Tempo
About 70 possessions: JKST plays 71.6 a game (50th fastest), TTU 68.2 (222nd). Faster games mean more points
JKSTSmall
Who is back
Minutes back from last season: JKST 76%, TTU 45%. Transfers in: JKST 2, TTU 5. Early in a season, turnover makes teams harder to price
TTUSmall
Home court
TTU at home. This season: TTU 0-0 at home, JKST 0-0 away
TTUSmall
Turnovers
Turnover rate: JKST 19.4%, TTU 15.8%. Forced: JKST 16.5%, TTU 14.8%
Even
Free throws
Free throw rate: JKST 37.4, TTU 27.7. Allowed: JKST 41.9, TTU 31.4
Sorted by how lopsided each matchup is, from national ranks. Reasons to look, not picks: the market already knows most of this.

How games like this went

Division I games since 2023-24, closing lines
SituationGamesFavorite wonFavorite coveredWent over
Home favorites of 20 or more116599%50%52%
Non-conference games at this spread109099%50%52%
Lines that moved 1+ toward the favorite676375%50%51%
Games with a total of 155 to 159.5155574%51%49%
A bet at standard prices needs 52.4% to break even, and most situations sit near 50%. Past rates, not a prediction.

Market

Open → current
Spread
1 pt toward TTU
Total
Up 1 since the open
Moneyline
JKST +5650 · TTU -55000
Line movement
Median of 7 sportsbooks, pre-tip-off · tap a dot
Opened TTU -33.5 · now TTU -34.5 · moved 1 toward TTUmodel TTU -37
Opened 154.5 · now 155.5 · moved 1 upmodel 155.5 matches the line
Openline modelNow

Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.

Public betting

Share of bets and of money
JKST +34.5SpreadTTU -34.5
Bets
Money
Money is 16 pts ahead of bets on TTU -34.5
Over 155.5TotalUnder 155.5
Bets
Money
JKSTWinnerTTU
Bets
Money
Sports Betting Dime, an average of sportsbooks. Read . ⓘ

Books

7 sportsbooks · current prices
BookSpreadTotalMoneyline
JKSTTTUOverUnderJKSTTTU
BetMGMMGM-34.5-115+34.5-105155.5-105155.5-115+3300-10000
BetOnline.agBetOnline.ag-34.5-110+34.5-110155.5-110155.5-110——
BetRiversBetRivers-33.5-118+33.5-108155.5-106155.5-120——
BovadaBovada-34.5-110+34.5-110155.5-110155.5-110——
DraftKingsDK-34.5-110+34.5-110155.5-105155.5-115——
FanDuelFD-33.5-110+33.5-110154.5-115154.5-105+8000-100000
LowVig.agLowVig.ag-34.5-106+34.5-106155.5-108155.5-108——
Prices from The Odds API, updated Nov 1, 8:00 PM ET. Green = best price in the column.

Model vs market

MarketModelModel edge
SpreadTTU -34.5TTU -37.1TTU +2.6
Total155.5155.5—
Projected score—JKST 59.2 · TTU 96.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›
ModelActual
1H spreadTTU -22.0—
1H total72.7—
1H projected scoreJKST 25.4 · TTU 47.3—
The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Texas Tech has the better starters

Position by position: Jackson St 0, Texas Tech 3, even 2
Jackson StBetterTexas Tech
G D. Ruffin23.3 pts · 2.8 reb · 5.3 ast Score 98
Even
G C. Davis TR20.1 pts · 3.5 reb · 4.6 ast Score 91
G D. McMillian11.9 pts · 4.4 reb · 1.4 ast Score 37
TTUBig
G D. Atwell13.5 pts · 3.2 reb · 0.8 ast Score 88
G M. Williams5.5 pts · 2.3 reb · 0.8 ast Not ranked
No call
G D. Gibbs-Lawhorn TR20.7 pts · 3.1 reb · 2.5 ast Score 95
G T. Hoover5.9 pts · 3.1 reb · 0.3 ast Score 23
TTUBig
F J. Toppin21.8 pts · 10.8 reb · 2.1 ast Score 100
G D. Williams2.9 pts · 2.4 reb · 1.3 ast Score 5
TTUBig
F D. Williams TR14 pts · 4.6 reb · 2.8 ast Score 76
Jackson StBetterTexas Tech
JKST offense229th of 366 · -7.0
TTUBig
TTU defense12th of 366 · +6.6
JKST defense325th of 366 · -8.4
TTUBig
TTU offense12th of 366 · +9.9
Backcourt-2.6 · 5 players
TTUBig
Backcourt+10.4 · 3 players
FrontcourtNo numbers yet
No call
Frontcourt+10.8 · 2 players
Bench-5.7 · 5 players
TTUBig
Bench+7.2 · 4 players
Score, worst to bestJKST betterTTU betterTR transfer · NEW no Division I numbers
Projected starters: college teams publish no depth chart, so these come from minutes played, and a freshman or a new starter can change them. The score is the share of ranked players at the position that player is ahead of. Numbers are this season's once a player has 30 minutes, 2025-26's before that. Bench is the next five by minutes. Tap a player for the full numbers.

Depth chart

Projected rotation by position, starters outlined
Jackson St
Guards
D. Ruffin34 minD. McMillian30 minM. Williams20 minT. Hoover20 minD. Williams17 minC. Brunt11 min · TR
Forwards
K. Butler10 minD. Kolev8 minN. WilliamsNewT. LawsonNew
Centers
E. Wilson11 minJ. Williams8 min · TR
Texas Tech
Guards
C. Davis39 min · TRD. Atwell35 minD. Gibbs-Lawhorn35 min · TRD. Dennis24 min · TRD. SpearNewA. BarrettNew
Forwards
J. Toppin35 minD. Williams30 min · TRJ. Stillwell28 min · TRJ. Moseley14 minM. Akuentok6 minL. HooverNew
In order of minutes, from rosters as of today. ESPN lists players only as guards, forwards or centers, and no injury report exists for college basketball, so a player who is out may still show here.
Showing 2025-26 until both teams have played this season.

Matchup stats

2025-26 · rank among 365 teams
Scoring
Shooting
Possessions
Defense
JKSTTTU
Scoring
70.2 #281Points per game80.3 #62
0.98 #341Points per possession1.18 #35
71.6 #50Pace (possessions)68.2 #222
Shooting
45.7 #354Effective FG%56.1 #21
31.4 #3113-point %39.1 #4
43.3 #1053-point attempt rate47.6 #29
37.4 #117Free throw rate27.7 #347
Possessions
19.4 #337Turnover rate15.8 #123
29.7 #215Offensive rebound rate33.3 #82
10.4 #352Assists per game15.7 #59
Defense
83.8 #354Points allowed73.1 #134
1.17 #344Points allowed per possession1.07 #138
53.0 #267Opponent effective FG%49.7 #86
34.8 #236Opponent 3-point %32.1 #67
16.5 #189Turnovers forced14.8 #305
62.8 #359Defensive rebound rate69.4 #186
6.3 #205Steals per game6.0 #239
3.0 #226Blocks per game3.8 #103
From the box scores. A longer bar is a better national rank, on every row; the better team's bar is solid. A green rank is near the top of Division I, a red one near the bottom. Pace and 3-point rate are styles, so they have no better side.

Jackson St

12-21 in 2025-26 overall · 11-9 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Florida A&M60–70
  • Wvs Grambling68–65
  • Wvs Miss Valley St85–77
  • Wvs AR-Pine Bluff81–78
  • L@ Texas Southern57–82

A week or more of rest.

Texas Tech

23-11 in 2025-26 overall · 12-7 in conference · Big 12 Conference

Last five, 2025-26
  • Lvs Alabama65–90
  • Wvs Akron91–71
  • Lvs Iowa State53–75
  • L@ BYU76–82
  • Lvs TCU65–73

A week or more of rest.