Welsh-Ryan Arena · at Northwestern
Closing line
NU -30.5✓ NU covered by 9.5
NU -30.5✓ NU covered by 9.5Closing total146.5Under by 0.5
 JKST | This season | NU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-8 | Record | 5-4 |
| 3-6 | ATS | 2-7 |
| 5-4 | O/U | 7-2 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: JKST 62–87 NU · ✓ NU (99%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JKST | 24 | 29 | 53 |
| NU | 41 | 52 | 93 |
1st half: JKST 24, NU 41 (NU by 17). The model had NU by 14.9 and a total of 69.6 (actual 65).
Team stats
| JKST | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| 16-56 29% | Field goals | 28-56 50% |
| 6-25 24% | 3-pointers | 7-26 27% |
| 15-23 65% | Free throws | 30-39 77% |
| 29 8 off | Rebounds | 45 11 off |
| 7 | Assists | 21 |
| 7 | Steals | 5 |
| 1 | Blocks | 6 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 10 |
| 26 | Fouls | 19 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 42 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 19 |
Players
| JKST | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jayme Mitchell Jr. G | 27 | 4 | 1 | 2 | 1-7 | 1-6 |
| Dorian McMillian G | 27 | 9 | 8 | 2 | 4-9 | 1-5 |
| Daeshun Ruffin G | 24 | 20 | 1 | 2 | 6-12 | 3-5 |
| Mike Williams G | 21 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 2-11 | 0-3 |
| Raevon Thomas F | 16 | 5 | 3 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Delyle Williams G | 18 | 2 | 1 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Tamarion Hoover G | 16 | 3 | 1 | 1 | 1-6 | 1-5 |
| Ebo Wilson C | 15 | 0 | 4 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Devin Ree F | 14 | 4 | 2 | 0 | 1-3 | 0-1 |
| Deyan Kolev F | 10 | 0 | 3 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Kedrick Simmons F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kobe Butler F | 6 | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Jalen Tatum, Keiveon Hunt, Dionjahe Thomas, Cael Jones
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jordan Clayton G | 23 | 3 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 1-5 |
| Nick Martinelli F | 22 | 22 | 5 | 1 | 8-10 | 1-2 |
| Jayden Reid G | 20 | 9 | 3 | 2 | 2-5 | 0-2 |
| Arrinten Page F | 19 | 12 | 7 | 3 | 4-6 | 0-1 |
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 18 | 13 | 5 | 4 | 5-6 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tre Singleton F | 23 | 9 | 4 | 0 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Max Green G | 20 | 8 | 2 | 4 | 2-6 | 2-6 |
| Jake West G | 20 | 8 | 1 | 3 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Justin Mullins G | 18 | 6 | 8 | 0 | 2-3 | 2-3 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 8 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-4 | 0-1 |
| Phoenix Gill G | 6 | 1 | 3 | 2 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Gus Hurlburt F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| K.J. Windham G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Cade Bennerman, Blake Smith
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNU -25.5
5 → NU
CloseNU -30.5
5 pts toward NU
Total
Open143.5
▲ 3
Close146.5
Up 3 since the open
Moneyline
JKST +2200 · NU -8000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NU -25.5 · closed NU -30.5 · moved 5 toward NUmodel NU -25
model NU -25
Opened 143.5 · closed 146.5 · moved 3 upmodel 148.5
model 148.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NU -30.5 | NU -25.0 | JKST +5.5 | L NU covered |
| Total | 146.5 | 148.6 | Over 2.1 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | JKST 61.8 · NU 86.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NU -14.9 | NU -17.0 |
| 1H total | 69.6 | 65 |
| 1H projected score | JKST 27.3 · NU 42.2 | JKST 24 · NU 41 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| JKSTlast 9 | 1-8 11% | 3-6 33% | 5-4 56% |
| NUlast 9 | 5-4 56% | 2-7 22% | 7-2 78% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
JKST 0–1 NUNU leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · JKST 1-0 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Dec 29, 2023-24 | JKST 63 @ NU 74 | NU -17.5 | JKST W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Jackson St
9 games played
Straight up
1-8
11% wins
Against the spread
3-6
33% covers · avg −8.1 pts vs the line
Over / Under
5-4
56% overs · avg −5.2 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ ILL | L 55-113 | +28.5 | L −29.5 | 157.5 | O 168 |
| Nov 6 | @ LOU | L 70-106 | +38.5 | W +2.5 | 165.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 15 | @ LT | L 51-68 | +8.5 | L −8.5 | 146.5 | U 119 |
| Nov 19 | @ AUB | L 66-112 | +30.5 | L −15.5 | 156.5 | O 178 |
| Nov 21 | @ ARK | L 61-115 | +29.5 | L −24.5 | 159.5 | O 176 |
| Nov 23 | vs WIN | L 62-80 | +10.5 | L −7.5 | 163.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 28 | @ UL | W 51-45 | +5.5 | W +11.5 | 136.5 | U 96 |
| Dec 2 | @ KENN | L 73-88 | +15.5 | W +0.5 | 157.5 | O 161 |
| Dec 10 | @ HOU | L 38-80 | +40.5 | L −1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@ILL
ILLL 55-113
−29.5
6
@LOU
LOUL 70-106
+2.5
15
@LT
LTL 51-68
−8.5
19
@AUB
AUBL 66-112
−15.5
21
@ARK
ARKL 61-115
−24.5
23
vsWIN
WINL 62-80
−7.5
28
@UL
ULW 51-45
+11.5
2
@KENN
KENNL 73-88
+0.5
10
@HOU
HOUL 38-80
−1.5
covered 3didn’t cover 6avg −8.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@ILL
ILLL 55-113
+10.5
6
@LOU
LOUL 70-106
+10.5
15
@LT
LTL 51-68
−27.5
19
@AUB
AUBL 66-112
+21.5
21
@ARK
ARKL 61-115
+16.5
23
vsWIN
WINL 62-80
−21.5
28
@UL
ULW 51-45
−40.5
2
@KENN
KENNL 73-88
+3.5
10
@HOU
HOUL 38-80
−19.5
over 5under 4avg −5.2 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northwestern
9 games played
Straight up
5-4
56% wins
Against the spread
2-7
22% covers · avg +0.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-2
78% overs · avg +5.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MERC | W 70-47 | -26.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
| Nov 7 | vs BU | W 76-52 | -17.5 | W +6.5 | 136.5 | U 128 |
| Nov 10 | vs CLE | W 110-63 | -23.5 | W +23.5 | 151.5 | O 173 |
| Nov 14 | @ DEP | W 81-79 | -5.5 | L −3.5 | 145.5 | O 160 |
| Nov 21 | vs UVA | L 78-83 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 149.5 | O 161 |
| Nov 23 | vs SC | W 79-77 | -4.5 | L −2.5 | 146.5 | O 156 |
| Nov 27 | vs OKST | L 81-86 | -2.5 | L −7.5 | 159.5 | O 167 |
| Dec 3 | @ WIS | L 73-85 | +10.5 | L −1.5 | 155.5 | O 158 |
| Dec 6 | vs OSU | L 82-86 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 155.5 | O 168 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−3.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
+6.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+23.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
−3.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
−0.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
−2.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
−7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
−1.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
−2.5
covered 2didn’t cover 7avg +0.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−23.5
7
vsBU
BUW 76-52
−8.5
10
vsCLE
CLEW 110-63
+21.5
14
@DEP
DEPW 81-79
+14.5
21
vsUVA
UVAL 78-83
+11.5
23
vsSC
SCW 79-77
+9.5
27
vsOKST
OKSTL 81-86
+7.5
3
@WIS
WISL 73-85
+2.5
6
vsOSU
OSUL 82-86
+12.5
over 7under 2avg +5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Jackson St
1-8 overall · 0-0 in conference · Southwestern Athletic Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- L@ Houston38–80
- L@ Kennesaw St73–88
- W@ Louisiana51–45
- Lvs Winthrop62–80
- L@ Arkansas61–115
3 days since their last game.
Northwestern
5-4 overall · 0-2 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Lvs Ohio State82–86
- L@ Wisconsin73–85
- Lvs Oklahoma St81–86
- Wvs South Carolina79–77
- Lvs Virginia78–83
A week or more of rest.