Jackson State Tigers at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns: Model Line and Edge

Fri, Nov 28, 8:00 PM ETCajundome · at Louisiana

#280JKSTJackson St51▲ winner

Final

Closing lineUL -5.5✓ JKST covered by 11.5

Closing total136.5Under by 40.5

Season records: Jackson St and Louisiana
JKST	This season	UL
0-6	Record	1-6
1-5	ATS	2-5
4-2	O/U	2-5

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: JKST 71–74 UL · ✗ UL (60%) lost

Loading the game…

Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
JKST	29	22	51
UL	18	27	45

1st half: JKST 29, UL 18 (JKST by 11). The model had UL by 1.6 and a total of 67.8 (actual 47).

Team stats

JKST		UL
21-55 38%	Field goals	16-51 31%
5-21 24%	3-pointers	5-27 19%
4-5 80%	Free throws	8-16 50%
30 8 off	Rebounds	40 13 off
9	Assists	11
9	Steals	4
1	Blocks	6
13	Turnovers	16
13	Fouls	10
28	Points in paint	20
8	Fast-break points	4

Players

JKST	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Dorian McMillian G	38	11	8	2	5-12	1-4
Jayme Mitchell Jr. G	37	13	5	1	5-10	2-4
Devin Ree F	33	3	2	2	1-6	1-5
Daeshun Ruffin G	31	18	1	3	8-17	1-5
Ebo Wilson C	23	0	2	0	0-3	0-0
Bench
Mike Williams G	11	2	1	1	0-4	0-2
Tamarion Hoover G	11	0	1	0	0-0	0-0
Deyan Kolev F	8	4	1	0	2-3	0-1
Kedrick Simmons F	7	0	3	0	0-0	0-0
Delyle Williams G	1	0	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Kobe Butler, Cael Jones, Raevon Thomas, Jalen Tatum, Dionjahe Thomas, Keiveon Hunt

UL	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Dorian Finister G	32	4	5	2	2-8	0-3
Milan Mejia G	28	3	2	2	1-6	1-5
Jeremiah Evans F	26	6	6	0	2-5	0-0
Joshua Lewis F	25	4	10	1	1-7	0-3
De'vion Lavergne G	16	0	1	2	0-4	0-3
Bench
Jaxon Olvera G	32	10	4	2	3-11	1-7
Dariyus Woodson F	24	13	6	1	5-8	2-5
Kyran Ratliff F	12	2	3	1	1-1	0-0
Todd Jones Jr. F	3	0	0	0	0-0	0-0
Mike Collins G	2	3	0	0	1-1	1-1

Did not play: Christian Landry, Rahman Olajuwon, Logan Myers, Jamyron Keller, Karris Bilal, Sean Elkinton, Zeke Cook, Michael Mouton

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	UL -5.5	UL -2.9	JKST +2.6	W JKST covered
Total	136.5	144.6	Over 8.1	L Under
Projected score	—	JKST 70.9 · UL 73.7

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	UL -1.6	JKST -11.0
1H total	67.8	47
1H projected score	JKST 33.1 · UL 34.7	JKST 29 · UL 18

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

ATS

2025-26, records before tip-off

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
JKST WLLLL	1-5	17%	1-4	1-5
UL WLLLL	2-5	29%	2-0	1-0

Venue/role: JKST away, as underdog; UL home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

Over/under before tip-off

	O-U	Over %	SU
JKST OUOOU	4-2	67%	0-6
UL UOOUU	2-5	29%	1-6

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2025-26, before tip-off

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
JKSTlast 6	0-6 0%	1-5 17%	4-2 67%
ULlast 7	1-6 14%	2-5 29%	2-5 29%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

Recent meetings

Since 2021-22

JKST 1–0 ULJKST leads · 1 game since 2021-22 · JKST 1-0 ATS

Date	Result	Line	Covered
Nov 27, 2021-22	JKST 75 @ UL 70	UL -14	JKST W

ATS History · 2025-26

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Jackson St

6 games played

Straight up

0-6

0% wins

Against the spread

1-5

17% covers · avg −13.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

4-2

67% overs · avg +1.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

0-60%

L L L L L L

6 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

1-517%

L W L L L L

4 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

4-267%

O O U O O U

2 of last 4 overno streak

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@ILL	L 55-113	+28.5	L −29.5	157.5	O 168
Nov 6	@LOU	L 70-106	+38.5	W +2.5	165.5	O 176
Nov 15	@LT	L 51-68	+8.5	L −8.5	146.5	U 119
Nov 19	@AUB	L 66-112	+30.5	L −15.5	156.5	O 178
Nov 21	@ARK	L 61-115	+29.5	L −24.5	159.5	O 176
Nov 23	vsWIN	L 62-80	+10.5	L −7.5	163.5	U 142

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

ILL

L 55-113

−29.5

LOU

L 70-106

+2.5

L 51-68

−8.5

AUB

L 66-112

−15.5

ARK

L 61-115

−24.5

WIN

L 62-80

−7.5

covered 1didn’t cover 5avg −13.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

ILL

L 55-113

+10.5

LOU

L 70-106

+10.5

L 51-68

−27.5

AUB

L 66-112

+21.5

ARK

L 61-115

+16.5

WIN

L 62-80

−21.5

over 4under 2avg +1.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Louisiana

7 games played

Straight up

1-6

14% wins

Against the spread

2-5

29% covers · avg −6.9 pts vs the line

Over / Under

2-5

29% overs · avg −3.1 pts vs the total

Straight up

1-614%

L W L L L L L

5 straight losses0 of last 4 won

Against the spread

2-529%

L W W L L L L

4 straight misses ATS0 of last 4 covered

Over / Under

2-529%

U U U O O U U

2 straight unders2 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 3	@BALL	L 64-75	+4.5	L −6.5	141.5	U 139
Nov 7	vsSELA	W 58-52	-3.5	W +2.5	135.5	U 110
Nov 11	vsTULN	L 62-66	+5.5	W +1.5	135.5	U 128
Nov 14	@MCN	L 62-88	+15.5	L −10.5	134.5	O 150
Nov 18	@STAN	L 66-93	+20.5	L −6.5	139.5	O 159
Nov 21	@SCU	L 43-80	+19.5	L −17.5	140.5	U 123
Nov 24	@UCD	L 56-77	+9.5	L −11.5	136.5	U 133

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

BALL

L 64-75

−6.5

SELA

W 58-52

+2.5

TULN

L 62-66

+1.5

MCN

L 62-88

−10.5

STAN

L 66-93

−6.5

SCU

L 43-80

−17.5

UCD

L 56-77

−11.5

covered 2didn’t cover 5avg −6.9 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

BALL

L 64-75

−2.5

SELA

W 58-52

−25.5

TULN

L 62-66

−7.5

MCN

L 62-88

+15.5

STAN

L 66-93

+19.5

SCU

L 43-80

−17.5

UCD

L 56-77

−3.5

over 2under 5avg −3.1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Jackson State Tigers at Louisiana Ragin' Cajuns

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

Recent meetings

ATS History · 2025-26

Jackson St

Louisiana

Jackson St

Louisiana