Welsh-Ryan Arena · at Northwestern
Closing line
NU -26.5✓ MERC covered by 3.5
NU -26.5✓ MERC covered by 3.5Closing total140.5Under by 23.5
 MERC | This season | NU |
|---|---|---|
| 0-0 | Record | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | ATS | 0-0 |
| 0-0 | O/U | 0-0 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: MERC 54–84 NU · ✓ NU (99%) won
Loading the game…
Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERC | 25 | 22 | 47 |
| NU | 36 | 34 | 70 |
1st half: MERC 25, NU 36 (NU by 11). The model had NU by 17.7 and a total of 64.7 (actual 61).
Team stats
| MERC | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| 18-60 30% | Field goals | 19-52 37% |
| 1-18 6% | 3-pointers | 5-19 26% |
| 10-13 77% | Free throws | 27-38 71% |
| 32 9 off | Rebounds | 49 15 off |
| 11 | Assists | 13 |
| 8 | Steals | 7 |
| 5 | Blocks | 4 |
| 11 | Turnovers | 12 |
| 23 | Fouls | 12 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 26 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 13 |
Players
| MERC | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jake Lemelman G | 27 | 14 | 2 | 1 | 6-13 | 0-4 |
| Bernie Blunt III G | 25 | 8 | 3 | 1 | 3-10 | 0-5 |
| Qadir Martin F | 24 | 7 | 2 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-0 |
| Mykolas Ivanauskas F | 22 | 6 | 8 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-3 |
| Christian Gamble G | 13 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| DeShaun Jackson Jr. PG | 30 | 6 | 6 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Cameron Johnson F | 19 | 5 | 3 | 1 | 2-6 | 1-2 |
| James Thomas F | 13 | 1 | 3 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-0 |
| Kaden Fuhrmann G | 11 | 0 | 0 | 2 | 0-2 | 0-2 |
| Sean Lang G | 8 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Vladimir Pavlovic G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Brady Conner G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Chris Leman F | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Or Faran G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Emilis Butkus
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli F | 32 | 17 | 5 | 0 | 4-8 | 1-2 |
| Tre Singleton F | 26 | 4 | 6 | 0 | 2-7 | 0-3 |
| Arrinten Page F | 23 | 18 | 12 | 2 | 4-10 | 0-1 |
| Jayden Reid G | 20 | 8 | 0 | 3 | 2-5 | 0-0 |
| Jordan Clayton G | 20 | 0 | 6 | 3 | 0-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| K.J. Windham G | 21 | 11 | 7 | 1 | 4-6 | 3-5 |
| Justin Mullins G | 19 | 7 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Max Green G | 18 | 3 | 6 | 1 | 1-5 | 1-3 |
| Jake West G | 10 | 0 | 0 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Phoenix Gill G | 2 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Angelo Ciaravino, Cade Bennerman, Gus Hurlburt, Blake Smith
Loading the game…
Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNU -25.5
1 → NU
CloseNU -26.5
1 pt toward NU
Total
Open140.5
no move
Close140.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
MERC +4000 · NU -100000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NU -25.5 · closed NU -26.5 · moved 1 toward NUmodel NU -29.5
model NU -29.5
Opened 140.5 · unchangedmodel 138
model 138
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NU -26.5 | NU -29.3 | NU +2.8 | L MERC covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 137.9 | Under 2.6 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | MERC 54.3 · NU 83.6 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NU -17.7 | NU -11.0 |
| 1H total | 64.7 | 61 |
| 1H projected score | MERC 23.5 · NU 41.2 | MERC 25 · NU 36 |
Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.
Last 10 games
2024-25
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| MERC | 7-3 70% | 8-2 80% | 7-3 70% |
| NU | 4-6 40% | 6-4 60% | 5-5 50% |
ATS History · 2024-25
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Mercyhurst
28 games played
Straight up
12-16
43% wins
Against the spread
17-11
61% covers · avg +1.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
16-12
57% overs · avg +3.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | @ GW | L 59-76 | +18.5 | W +1.5 | 145.5 | U 135 |
| Nov 6 | @ MORG | W 78-73 | +7.5 | W +12.5 | 147.5 | O 151 |
| Nov 13 | vs CAN | W 62-52 | +1.5 | W +11.5 | 140.5 | U 114 |
| Nov 16 | @ COLU | L 63-77 | +13.5 | L −0.5 | 145.5 | U 140 |
| Nov 24 | @ AF | L 48-82 | +8.5 | L −25.5 | 126.5 | O 130 |
| Nov 27 | @ CAL | L 55-81 | +22.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 30 | @ SAC | W 66-60 | +7.5 | W +13.5 | 129.5 | U 126 |
| Dec 1 | @ SF | L 59-87 | +30.5 | W +2.5 | 133.5 | O 146 |
| Dec 7 | vs LAF | L 73-77 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 129.5 | O 150 |
| Dec 15 | @ KENT | L 57-82 | +17.5 | L −7.5 | 127.5 | O 139 |
| Dec 18 | @ BING | L 60-62 | +5.5 | W +3.5 | 131.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 22 | @ WVU | L 46-67 | +31.5 | W +10.5 | 135.5 | U 113 |
| Jan 3 | vs STO | W 76-69 | +1.5 | W +8.5 | 133.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 5 | vs CCSU | L 50-62 | +8.5 | L −3.5 | 129.5 | U 112 |
| Jan 10 | @ SFPA | L 59-73 | +3.5 | L −10.5 | 134.5 | U 132 |
| Jan 12 | @ LEM | L 63-79 | +4.5 | L −11.5 | 137.5 | O 142 |
| Jan 18 | @ WAG | W 69-65 | +5.5 | W +9.5 | 118.5 | O 134 |
| Jan 20 | @ LIU | L 63-72 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 126.5 | O 135 |
| Jan 24 | vsWAG | W 71-66 | +1.5 | W +6.5 | 119.5 | O 137 |
| Jan 26 | vsLIU | W 85-80 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 126.5 | O 165 |
| Jan 30 | vsSFPA | W 62-58 | +1.5 | W +5.5 | 136.5 | U 120 |
| Feb 1 | @ FDU | W 67-60 | +5.5 | W +12.5 | 138.5 | U 127 |
| Feb 6 | @ CHST | L 78-85 | +0.5 | L −6.5 | 131.5 | O 163 |
| Feb 8 | vsLEM | W 82-78 | -1.5 | W +2.5 | 143.5 | O 160 |
| Feb 13 | @CCSU | L 63-73 | +12.5 | W +2.5 | 132.5 | O 136 |
| Feb 15 | @STO | L 73-85 | +4.5 | L −7.5 | 134.5 | O 158 |
| Feb 20 | vsFDU | W 65-60 | +2.5 | W +7.5 | 140.5 | U 125 |
| Feb 27 | vsCHST | W 90-68 | -6.5 | W +15.5 | 138.5 | O 158 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
@GW
GWL 59-76
+1.5
6
@MORG
MORGW 78-73
+12.5
13
vsCAN
CANW 62-52
+11.5
16
@COLU
COLUL 63-77
−0.5
24
@AF
AFL 48-82
−25.5
27
@CAL
CALL 55-81
−3.5
30
@SAC
SACW 66-60
+13.5
1
@SF
SFL 59-87
+2.5
7
vsLAF
LAFL 73-77
−1.5
15
@KENT
KENTL 57-82
−7.5
18
@BING
BINGL 60-62
+3.5
22
@WVU
WVUL 46-67
+10.5
3
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
+8.5
5
vsCCSU
CCSUL 50-62
−3.5
10
@SFPA
SFPAL 59-73
−10.5
12
@LEM
LEML 63-79
−11.5
18
@WAG
WAGW 69-65
+9.5
20
@LIU
LIUL 63-72
−1.5
24
vsWAG
WAGW 71-66
+6.5
26
vsLIU
LIUW 85-80
+7.5
30
vsSFPA
SFPAW 62-58
+5.5
1
@FDU
FDUW 67-60
+12.5
6
@CHST
CHSTL 78-85
−6.5
8
vsLEM
LEMW 82-78
+2.5
13
@CCSU
CCSUL 63-73
+2.5
15
@STO
STOL 73-85
−7.5
20
vsFDU
FDUW 65-60
+7.5
27
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-68
+15.5
covered 17didn’t cover 11avg +1.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
@GW
GWL 59-76
−10.5
6
@MORG
MORGW 78-73
+3.5
13
vsCAN
CANW 62-52
−26.5
16
@COLU
COLUL 63-77
−5.5
24
@AF
AFL 48-82
+3.5
27
@CAL
CALL 55-81
−4.5
30
@SAC
SACW 66-60
−3.5
1
@SF
SFL 59-87
+12.5
7
vsLAF
LAFL 73-77
+20.5
15
@KENT
KENTL 57-82
+11.5
18
@BING
BINGL 60-62
−9.5
22
@WVU
WVUL 46-67
−22.5
3
vsSTO
STOW 76-69
+11.5
5
vsCCSU
CCSUL 50-62
−17.5
10
@SFPA
SFPAL 59-73
−2.5
12
@LEM
LEML 63-79
+4.5
18
@WAG
WAGW 69-65
+15.5
20
@LIU
LIUL 63-72
+8.5
24
vsWAG
WAGW 71-66
+17.5
26
vsLIU
LIUW 85-80
+38.5
30
vsSFPA
SFPAW 62-58
−16.5
1
@FDU
FDUW 67-60
−11.5
6
@CHST
CHSTL 78-85
+31.5
8
vsLEM
LEMW 82-78
+16.5
13
@CCSU
CCSUL 63-73
+3.5
15
@STO
STOL 73-85
+23.5
20
vsFDU
FDUW 65-60
−15.5
27
vsCHST
CHSTW 90-68
+19.5
over 16under 12avg +3.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northwestern
33 games played
Straight up
17-16
52% wins
Against the spread
17-16
52% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
22-11
67% overs · avg +1.8 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LEH | W 90-46 | -15.5 | W +28.5 | 138.5 | U 136 |
| Nov 9 | @ DAY | L 66-71 | +4.5 | L −0.5 | 136.5 | O 137 |
| Nov 12 | vs UIC | W 83-74 | -15.5 | L −6.5 | 142.5 | O 157 |
| Nov 15 | vs EIU | W 67-58 | -23.5 | L −14.5 | 138.5 | U 125 |
| Nov 19 | vs MTST | W 72-69 | -14.5 | L −11.5 | 135.5 | O 141 |
| Nov 22 | vs PEPP | W 68-50 | -18.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Nov 28 | vs BTLR | L 69-71 | -2.5 | L −4.5 | 135.5 | O 140 |
| Nov 29 | vs UNLV | W 66-61 | -4.5 | W +0.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
| Dec 3 | @ IOWA | L 79-80 | +5.5 | W +4.5 | 148.5 | O 159 |
| Dec 6 | vs ILL | W 70-66 | +3.5 | W +7.5 | 142.5 | U 136 |
| Dec 15 | vs GT | W 71-60 | -6.5 | W +4.5 | 138.5 | U 131 |
| Dec 21 | vs DEP | W 84-64 | -6.5 | W +13.5 | 135.5 | O 148 |
| Dec 29 | vs NE | W 85-60 | -14.5 | W +10.5 | 136.5 | O 145 |
| Jan 2 | @ PSU | L 80-84 | +4.5 | W +0.5 | 145.5 | O 164 |
| Jan 5 | @ PUR | L 61-79 | +6.5 | L −11.5 | 138.5 | O 140 |
| Jan 12 | vs MSU | L 68-78 | +2.5 | L −7.5 | 138.5 | O 146 |
| Jan 16 | vs MD | W 76-74 | +2.5 | W +4.5 | 139.5 | O 150 |
| Jan 19 | @ MICH | L 76-80 | +9.5 | W +5.5 | 147.5 | O 156 |
| Jan 22 | vs IU | W 79-70 | -4.5 | W +4.5 | 140.5 | O 149 |
| Jan 26 | @ILL | L 74-83 | +7.5 | L −1.5 | 151.5 | O 157 |
| Jan 29 | vs RUTG | L 72-79 | -9.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | O 151 |
| Feb 1 | vs WIS | L 69-75 | +4.5 | L −1.5 | 141.5 | O 144 |
| Feb 4 | vs USC | W 77-75 | -2.5 | L −0.5 | 137.5 | O 152 |
| Feb 8 | @ WASH | L 71-76 | +2.5 | L −2.5 | 137.5 | O 147 |
| Feb 11 | @ ORE | L 75-81 | +9.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 156 |
| Feb 16 | vs NEB | L 64-68 | +1.5 | L −2.5 | 142.5 | U 132 |
| Feb 20 | @ OSU | W 70-49 | +8.5 | W +29.5 | 143.5 | U 119 |
| Feb 25 | @ MINN | W 75-63 | +1.5 | W +13.5 | 131.5 | O 138 |
| Feb 28 | vsIOWA | W 68-57 | -4.5 | W +6.5 | 149.5 | U 125 |
| Mar 3 | vs UCLA | L 69-73 | +2.5 | L −1.5 | 131.5 | O 142 |
| Mar 8 | @MD | L 61-74 | +11.5 | L −1.5 | 143.5 | U 135 |
| Mar 12 | vsMINN | W 72-64 | -3.5 | W +4.5 | 128.5 | O 136 |
| Mar 13 | vsWIS | L 63-70 | +8.5 | W +1.5 | 141.5 | U 133 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLEH
LEHW 90-46
+28.5
9
@DAY
DAYL 66-71
−0.5
12
vsUIC
UICW 83-74
−6.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 67-58
−14.5
19
vsMTST
MTSTW 72-69
−11.5
22
vsPEPP
PEPPW 68-50
−0.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRL 69-71
−4.5
29
vsUNLV
UNLVW 66-61
+0.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 79-80
+4.5
6
vsILL
ILLW 70-66
+7.5
15
vsGT
GTW 71-60
+4.5
21
vsDEP
DEPW 84-64
+13.5
29
vsNE
NEW 85-60
+10.5
2
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+0.5
5
@PUR
PURL 61-79
−11.5
12
vsMSU
MSUL 68-78
−7.5
16
vsMD
MDW 76-74
+4.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 76-80
+5.5
22
vsIU
IUW 79-70
+4.5
26
@ILL
ILLL 74-83
−1.5
29
vsRUTG
RUTGL 72-79
−16.5
1
vsWIS
WISL 69-75
−1.5
4
vsUSC
USCW 77-75
−0.5
8
@WASH
WASHL 71-76
−2.5
11
@ORE
OREL 75-81
+3.5
16
vsNEB
NEBL 64-68
−2.5
20
@OSU
OSUW 70-49
+29.5
25
@MINN
MINNW 75-63
+13.5
28
vsIOWA
IOWAW 68-57
+6.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 69-73
−1.5
8
@MD
MDL 61-74
−1.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 72-64
+4.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 63-70
+1.5
covered 17didn’t cover 16avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLEH
LEHW 90-46
−2.5
9
@DAY
DAYL 66-71
+0.5
12
vsUIC
UICW 83-74
+14.5
15
vsEIU
EIUW 67-58
−13.5
19
vsMTST
MTSTW 72-69
+5.5
22
vsPEPP
PEPPW 68-50
−19.5
28
vsBTLR
BTLRL 69-71
+4.5
29
vsUNLV
UNLVW 66-61
−8.5
3
@IOWA
IOWAL 79-80
+10.5
6
vsILL
ILLW 70-66
−6.5
15
vsGT
GTW 71-60
−7.5
21
vsDEP
DEPW 84-64
+12.5
29
vsNE
NEW 85-60
+8.5
2
@PSU
PSUL 80-84
+18.5
5
@PUR
PURL 61-79
+1.5
12
vsMSU
MSUL 68-78
+7.5
16
vsMD
MDW 76-74
+10.5
19
@MICH
MICHL 76-80
+8.5
22
vsIU
IUW 79-70
+8.5
26
@ILL
ILLL 74-83
+5.5
29
vsRUTG
RUTGL 72-79
+12.5
1
vsWIS
WISL 69-75
+2.5
4
vsUSC
USCW 77-75
+14.5
8
@WASH
WASHL 71-76
+9.5
11
@ORE
OREL 75-81
+13.5
16
vsNEB
NEBL 64-68
−10.5
20
@OSU
OSUW 70-49
−24.5
25
@MINN
MINNW 75-63
+6.5
28
vsIOWA
IOWAW 68-57
−24.5
3
vsUCLA
UCLAL 69-73
+10.5
8
@MD
MDL 61-74
−8.5
12
vsMINN
MINNW 72-64
+7.5
13
vsWIS
WISL 63-70
−8.5
over 22under 11avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Mercyhurst
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Northeast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.
Northwestern
0-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- No games yet
A week or more of rest.