Welsh-Ryan Arena · at Northwestern
Closing line
NU -17.5✓ NU covered by 6.5
NU -17.5✓ NU covered by 6.5Closing total136.5Under by 8.5
 BU | This season | NU |
|---|---|---|
| 1-0 | Record | 1-0 |
| 1-0 | ATS | 0-1 |
| 1-0 | O/U | 0-1 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: BU 61–79 NU · ✓ NU (95%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BU | 26 | 26 | 52 |
| NU | 45 | 31 | 76 |
1st half: BU 26, NU 45 (NU by 19). The model had NU by 10.9 and a total of 65.6 (actual 71).
Team stats
| BU | NU | |
|---|---|---|
| 19-58 33% | Field goals | 31-60 52% |
| 9-23 39% | 3-pointers | 7-19 37% |
| 5-7 71% | Free throws | 7-13 54% |
| 37 15 off | Rebounds | 36 11 off |
| 14 | Assists | 20 |
| 0 | Steals | 7 |
| 1 | Blocks | 5 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 5 |
| 17 | Fouls | 10 |
| 16 | Points in paint | 40 |
| 5 | Fast-break points | 12 |
Players
| BU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike McNair Jr. G | 31 | 20 | 5 | 5 | 6-14 | 6-10 |
| Malcolm Chimezie F | 26 | 5 | 10 | 0 | 2-3 | 0-0 |
| Ben Roy G | 25 | 4 | 2 | 2 | 2-4 | 0-1 |
| Azmar Abdullah G | 23 | 2 | 5 | 3 | 1-9 | 0-4 |
| Ben Defty C | 21 | 2 | 2 | 2 | 1-5 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Sam Hughes F | 29 | 9 | 4 | 1 | 3-9 | 3-5 |
| Chance Gladden G | 23 | 8 | 2 | 1 | 3-9 | 0-2 |
| Ethan Okwuosa G | 15 | 2 | 0 | 0 | 1-5 | 0-1 |
| Quinn Nielsen F | 5 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Peter Carr G | 2 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Spencer Joyner, Kyrone Alexander, Matai Baptiste, Otto Landrum, Andrew Bhesania, Donte Tisinger Jr.
| NU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nick Martinelli F | 31 | 20 | 9 | 1 | 7-12 | 1-1 |
| Jayden Reid G | 28 | 17 | 1 | 8 | 8-14 | 1-3 |
| Arrinten Page F | 24 | 7 | 7 | 2 | 3-7 | 1-2 |
| Angelo Ciaravino G | 24 | 9 | 3 | 0 | 4-6 | 1-2 |
| Tre Singleton F | 21 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 2-4 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| K.J. Windham G | 17 | 3 | 0 | 3 | 1-4 | 1-3 |
| Tyler Kropp F | 14 | 6 | 2 | 0 | 2-2 | 0-0 |
| Max Green G | 11 | 2 | 0 | 1 | 1-3 | 0-2 |
| Jake West G | 11 | 8 | 0 | 1 | 3-6 | 2-3 |
| Justin Mullins G | 10 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-1 | 0-1 |
| Jordan Clayton G | 7 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-1 | 0-0 |
| Phoenix Gill G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Cade Bennerman, Gus Hurlburt, Blake Smith
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenNU -16.5
1 → NU
CloseNU -17.5
1 pt toward NU
Total
Open136.5
no move
Close136.5
No change since the open
Moneyline
BU +1000 · NU -2000
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened NU -16.5 · closed NU -17.5 · moved 1 toward NUmodel NU -18.5
model NU -18.5
Opened 136.5 · unchangedmodel 140
model 140
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | NU -17.5 | NU -18.3 | NU +0.8 | W NU covered |
| Total | 136.5 | 140.0 | Over 3.5 | L Under |
| Projected score | — | BU 60.8 · NU 79.1 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | NU -10.9 | NU -19.0 |
| 1H total | 65.6 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | BU 27.3 · NU 38.3 | BU 26 · NU 45 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| BUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% | 1-0 100% |
| NUlast 1 | 1-0 100% | 0-1 0% | 0-1 0% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Boston U
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
1-0
100% covers · avg +3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-0
100% overs · avg +8.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | @ NE | W 76-75 | +2.5 | W +3.5 | 142.5 | O 151 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+3.5
covered 1didn’t cover 0avg +3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
@NE
NEW 76-75
+8.5
over 1under 0avg +8.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Northwestern
1 game played
Straight up
1-0
100% wins
Against the spread
0-1
0% covers · avg −3.5 pts vs the line
Over / Under
0-1
0% overs · avg −23.5 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs MERC | W 70-47 | -26.5 | L −3.5 | 140.5 | U 117 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−3.5
covered 0didn’t cover 1avg −3.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsMERC
MERCW 70-47
−23.5
over 0under 1avg −23.5 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Boston U
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Patriot League
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Northeastern76–75
4 days since their last game.
Northwestern
1-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big Ten Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Mercyhurst70–47
4 days since their last game.