Fertitta Center · at Houston · Conference game
Closing line
HOU -7.5✓ TTU covered by 3.5
HOU -7.5✓ TTU covered by 3.5Closing total142.5Under by 8.5
 TTU | This season | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 11-3 | Record | 13-1 |
| 6-8 | ATS | 7-7 |
| 7-7 | O/U | 7-7 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: TTU 68–74 HOU · ✓ HOU (69%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | T | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 31 | 34 | 65 |
| HOU | 31 | 38 | 69 |
1st half: TTU 31, HOU 31 (tied). The model had HOU by 3.3 and a total of 66.2 (actual 62).
Team stats
| TTU | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 23-56 41% | Field goals | 24-61 39% |
| 9-28 32% | 3-pointers | 4-17 24% |
| 10-11 91% | Free throws | 17-22 77% |
| 35 8 off | Rebounds | 36 12 off |
| 14 | Assists | 8 |
| 4 | Steals | 5 |
| 5 | Blocks | 2 |
| 14 | Turnovers | 6 |
| 19 | Fouls | 15 |
| 20 | Points in paint | 28 |
| 2 | Fast-break points | 9 |
Players
| TTU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Christian Anderson G | 40 | 7 | 3 | 7 | 3-11 | 1-5 |
| Donovan Atwell G | 39 | 13 | 5 | 1 | 3-10 | 3-9 |
| JT Toppin F | 38 | 18 | 11 | 1 | 9-14 | 0-2 |
| Jaylen Petty G | 35 | 20 | 3 | 2 | 6-10 | 5-9 |
| LeJuan Watts G | 30 | 5 | 7 | 3 | 1-9 | 0-3 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Leon Horner G | 11 | 2 | 3 | 0 | 1-2 | 0-0 |
| Tyeree Bryan G | 4 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Nolan Groves G | 3 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Marial Akuentok, Jazz Henderson Jr., LaTrell Hoover, Jack Francis, Josiah Moseley, Luke Bamgboye
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Emanuel Sharp G | 39 | 17 | 1 | 2 | 5-12 | 2-5 |
| Kingston Flemings G | 35 | 23 | 3 | 5 | 9-19 | 2-6 |
| Milos Uzan G | 35 | 7 | 1 | 0 | 2-12 | 0-3 |
| Joseph Tugler F | 34 | 11 | 10 | 0 | 4-8 | 0-0 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 31 | 11 | 11 | 1 | 4-8 | 0-2 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Chase McCarty F | 9 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Kalifa Sakho F | 6 | 0 | 1 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Isiah Harwell G | 6 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
| Ramon Walker Jr. G | 4 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Mercy Miller G | 1 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Bryce Jackson, Cedric Lath, Jacob McFarland, Kordel Jefferson
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOU -6.5
1 → HOU
CloseHOU -7.5
1 pt toward HOU
Total
Open140.5
▲ 2
Close142.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
TTU +295 · HOU -375
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOU -6.5 · closed HOU -7.5 · moved 1 toward HOUmodel HOU -5.5
model HOU -5.5
Opened 140.5 · closed 142.5 · moved 2 upmodel 141.5
model 141.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -7.5 | HOU -5.7 | TTU +1.8 | W TTU covered |
| Total | 142.5 | 141.3 | Under 1.2 | W Under |
| Projected score | — | TTU 67.8 · HOU 73.5 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | HOU -3.3 | PK |
| 1H total | 66.2 | 62 |
| 1H projected score | TTU 31.5 · HOU 34.7 | TTU 31 · HOU 31 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| TTU | 8-2 80% | 5-5 50% | 5-5 50% |
| HOU | 9-1 90% | 6-4 60% | 6-4 60% |
Recent meetings
Since 2021-22
TTU 1–3 HOUHOU leads · 4 games since 2021-22 · TTU 1-3 ATS
| Date | Result | Line | Covered |
|---|---|---|---|
| Feb 24, 2024-25 | HOU 69 @ TTU 61 | TTU +4.5 | HOU W |
| Feb 1, 2024-25 | TTU 82 @ HOU 81 | HOU -9.5 | TTU W |
| Mar 15, 2023-24 | TTU 59 vs HOU 82 | HOU -10.5 | HOU W |
| Jan 17, 2023-24 | TTU 54 @ HOU 77 | HOU -13.5 | HOU W |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Texas Tech
14 games played
Straight up
11-3
79% wins
Against the spread
6-8
43% covers · avg −2.4 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg +1.1 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 4 | vs LIN | W 98-60 | -29.5 | W +8.5 | 146.5 | O 158 |
| Nov 7 | vs SHSU | W 98-77 | -31.5 | L −10.5 | 156.5 | O 175 |
| Nov 11 | @ ILL | L 77-81 | +3.5 | L −0.5 | 168.5 | U 158 |
| Nov 14 | vs MILW | W 80-63 | -27.5 | L −10.5 | 165.5 | U 143 |
| Nov 20 | vs WAKE | W 84-83 | -9.5 | L −8.5 | 160.5 | O 167 |
| Nov 21 | vs PUR | L 56-86 | +3.5 | L −26.5 | 153.5 | U 142 |
| Nov 26 | vs NOLA | W 82-50 | -29.5 | W +2.5 | 157.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 30 | vs WYO | W 76-72 | -19.5 | L −15.5 | 152.5 | U 148 |
| Dec 7 | vs LSU | W 82-58 | -5.5 | W +18.5 | 154.5 | U 140 |
| Dec 13 | vs ARK | L 86-93 | -2.5 | L −9.5 | 155.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 16 | vs UNCO | W 101-90 | -25.5 | L −14.5 | 152.5 | O 191 |
| Dec 20 | vs DUKE | W 82-81 | +9.5 | W +10.5 | 152.5 | O 163 |
| Dec 28 | vs WIN | W 87-57 | -17.5 | W +12.5 | 163.5 | U 144 |
| Jan 3 | vs OKST | W 102-80 | -12.5 | W +9.5 | 167.5 | O 182 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+8.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
−10.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−0.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−10.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
−8.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−26.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
+2.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−15.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
+18.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
−9.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
−14.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
+12.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+9.5
covered 6didn’t cover 8avg −2.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
4
vsLIN
LINW 98-60
+11.5
7
vsSHSU
SHSUW 98-77
+18.5
11
@ILL
ILLL 77-81
−10.5
14
vsMILW
MILWW 80-63
−22.5
20
vsWAKE
WAKEW 84-83
+6.5
21
vsPUR
PURL 56-86
−11.5
26
vsNOLA
NOLAW 82-50
−25.5
30
vsWYO
WYOW 76-72
−4.5
7
vsLSU
LSUW 82-58
−14.5
13
vsARK
ARKL 86-93
+23.5
16
vsUNCO
UNCOW 101-90
+38.5
20
vsDUKE
DUKEW 82-81
+10.5
28
vsWIN
WINW 87-57
−19.5
3
vsOKST
OKSTW 102-80
+14.5
over 7under 7avg +1.1 ptslonger = bigger margin
Houston
14 games played
Straight up
13-1
93% wins
Against the spread
7-7
50% covers · avg −2.9 pts vs the line
Over / Under
7-7
50% overs · avg −0.4 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
| Date | Opp | Result | Line | ATS | Total | O/U |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Nov 3 | vs LEH | W 75-57 | -36.5 | L −18.5 | 136.5 | U 132 |
| Nov 8 | vs TOW | W 65-48 | -26.5 | L −9.5 | 130.5 | U 113 |
| Nov 12 | vs OAK | W 78-45 | -30.5 | W +2.5 | 138.5 | U 123 |
| Nov 16 | vs AUB | W 73-72 | -7.5 | L −6.5 | 140.5 | O 145 |
| Nov 20 | vs RID | W 91-45 | -40.5 | W +5.5 | 134.5 | O 136 |
| Nov 24 | vs SYR | W 78-74 | -14.5 | L −10.5 | 140.5 | O 152 |
| Nov 25 | vs TENN | L 73-76 | -2.5 | L −5.5 | 136.5 | O 149 |
| Nov 26 | vs ND | W 66-56 | -11.5 | L −1.5 | 132.5 | U 122 |
| Dec 6 | vs FSU | W 82-67 | -12.5 | W +2.5 | 148.5 | O 149 |
| Dec 10 | vs JKST | W 80-38 | -40.5 | W +1.5 | 137.5 | U 118 |
| Dec 13 | vsNOLA | W 99-57 | -32.5 | W +9.5 | 138.5 | O 156 |
| Dec 20 | vsARK | W 94-85 | -5.5 | W +3.5 | 146.5 | O 179 |
| Dec 29 | vs MTSU | W 69-60 | -25.5 | L −16.5 | 138.5 | U 129 |
| Jan 3 | @ CIN | W 67-60 | -4.5 | W +2.5 | 135.5 | U 127 |
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−18.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−9.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
+2.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
−6.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+5.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
−10.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
−5.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−1.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+2.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
+1.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+9.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+3.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−16.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
+2.5
covered 7didn’t cover 7avg −2.9 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−4.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−17.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
−15.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
+4.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+1.5
24
vsSYR
SYRW 78-74
+11.5
25
vsTENN
TENNL 73-76
+12.5
26
vsND
NDW 66-56
−10.5
6
vsFSU
FSUW 82-67
+0.5
10
vsJKST
JKSTW 80-38
−19.5
13
vsNOLA
NOLAW 99-57
+17.5
20
vsARK
ARKW 94-85
+32.5
29
vsMTSU
MTSUW 69-60
−9.5
3
@CIN
CINW 67-60
−8.5
over 7under 7avg −0.4 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Texas Tech
11-3 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Oklahoma St102–80
- Wvs Winthrop87–57
- Wvs Duke82–81
- Wvs N Colorado101–90
- Lvs Arkansas86–93
3 days since their last game.
Houston
13-1 overall · 1-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- W@ Cincinnati67–60
- Wvs MTSU69–60
- Wvs Arkansas94–85
- Wvs LSU N Orleans99–57
- Wvs Jackson St80–38
3 days since their last game.