Lehigh Mountain Hawks at Houston Cougars: Model Line and Edge

Mon, Nov 3, 8:00 PM ETFertitta Center · at Houston

#216LEHLehigh57final

Final

#2HOUHouston AP #275▲ winner

Closing lineHOU -36.5✓ LEH covered by 18.5

Closing total136.5Under by 4.5

Season records: Lehigh and Houston
LEH	This season	HOU
0-0	Record	0-0
0-0	ATS	0-0
0-0	O/U	0-0

ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders

Model before tip-off: LEH 47–87 HOU · ✓ HOU (100%) won

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Box score

Score by half

	1H	2H	T
LEH	23	34	57
HOU	44	31	75

1st half: LEH 23, HOU 44 (HOU by 21). The model had HOU by 24.2 and a total of 63.1 (actual 67).

Team stats

LEH		HOU
19-51 37%	Field goals	26-61 43%
4-15 27%	3-pointers	7-21 33%
15-23 65%	Free throws	16-20 80%
30 9 off	Rebounds	43 15 off
5	Assists	14
8	Steals	11
3	Blocks	6
15	Turnovers	13
16	Fouls	22
22	Points in paint	22
8	Fast-break points	6

Players

LEH	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Nasir Whitlock G	36	18	9	0	6-15	1-2
Joshua Ingram G	35	9	5	0	4-6	0-0
Caleb Thomas G	29	10	2	3	3-10	1-3
Hank Alvey C	29	10	8	0	4-7	0-1
Edouard Benoit F	26	0	6	1	0-7	0-5
Bench
Peter Kramer G	17	6	0	0	1-2	1-2
Alfredo Addesa F	17	3	0	0	1-4	1-2
Jalen Vazquez G	11	1	0	0	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Tommy Conniff, Jake Pike, Andrew Urosevic, Henri Adiassa, Bube Momah, Brendan Reed, Caesar Burrows

HOU	MIN	PTS	REB	AST	FG	3P
Milos Uzan G	37	12	5	5	5-17	1-5
Emanuel Sharp G	35	24	7	1	7-13	1-4
Chris Cenac Jr. F	26	12	10	0	5-10	2-4
Joseph Tugler F	22	11	2	3	4-8	1-1
Kingston Flemings G	21	8	2	2	3-4	1-2
Bench
Isiah Harwell G	19	3	1	2	1-2	1-2
Chase McCarty F	11	4	4	0	1-3	0-2
Kalifa Sakho F	9	1	1	0	0-1	0-0
Mercy Miller G	7	0	0	0	0-1	0-0
Ramon Walker Jr. G	7	0	4	0	0-2	0-1
Kordel Jefferson G	6	0	1	1	0-0	0-0

Did not play: Cedric Lath, Bryce Jackson, Jacob McFarland

Model vs market

	Market	Model	Model edge	Result
Spread	HOU -36.5	HOU -40.0	HOU +3.5	L LEH covered
Total	136.5	134.7	Under 1.8	W Under
Projected score	—	LEH 47.4 · HOU 87.3

1st-half model

1st-half slate ›

	Model	Actual
1H spread	HOU -24.2	HOU -21.0
1H total	63.1	67
1H projected score	LEH 19.5 · HOU 43.7	LEH 23 · HOU 44

The 1st-half model is fitted from the full-game model and past halves. ESPN has no 1st-half lines for college games, so there is no market to compare it with.

Showing 2024-25 until both teams have played this season.

ATS

2024-25 season

	Season	Cover	Venue	Role
LEH LLLWL	12-16	43%	7-10	9-8
HOU LLWWL	21-19	53%	9-8	19-18

Venue/role: LEH away, as underdog; HOU home, as favorite. Squares: last 5 games ATS (W covered, L didn’t), oldest first.

Totals

2024-25 season

	O-U	Over %	SU
LEH UOOOO	12-16	43%	9-19
HOU OUUUU	16-24	40%	35-5

Squares: last 5 games (O over, U under), oldest first. Tap for the score and line.

Last 10 games

2024-25

	Straight up	Spread	Over / under
LEH	4-6 40%	5-5 50%	6-4 60%
HOU	9-1 90%	5-5 50%	2-8 20%

Wins-losses (pushes last). Spread and over / under skip games without a line.

ATS History · 2024-25

WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total

Lehigh

28 games played

Straight up

9-19

32% wins

Against the spread

12-16

43% covers · avg −0.2 pts vs the line

Over / Under

12-16

43% overs · avg +0.7 pts vs the total

Straight up

9-1932%

L L L L L W W L W W L L L L L L W L W W L L W L L L W L

1 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

12-1643%

L W W L L W W L L L L W L L L W W L W W L W W L L L W L

1 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

12-1643%

U O U U O O O O U U O U U U U U U U U O O U U U O O O O

4 straight overs4 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	@NU	L 46-90	+15.5	L −28.5	138.5	U 136
Nov 6	@GTWN	L 77-85	+14.5	W +6.5	149.5	O 162
Nov 12	@COLU	L 75-76	+8.5	W +7.5	158.5	U 151
Nov 15	@UCLA	L 45-85	+22.5	L −17.5	136.5	U 130
Nov 26	@SFPA	L 78-88	-4.5	L −14.5	142.5	O 166
Nov 30	vsMRST	W 74-69	-1.5	W +3.5	139.5	O 143
Dec 4	vsMONM	W 90-63	-0.5	W +26.5	144.5	O 153
Dec 7	@DAY	L 62-86	+22.5	L −1.5	145.5	O 148
Dec 21	@LIU	W 60-59	-5.5	L −4.5	143.5	U 119
Jan 2	vsBUCK	W 66-64	-3.5	L −1.5	139.5	U 130
Jan 5	@L-MD	L 74-80	+2.5	L −3.5	143.5	O 154
Jan 8	@COLG	L 62-67	+6.5	W +1.5	138.5	U 129
Jan 11	vsARMY	L 69-74	-3.5	L −8.5	144.5	U 143
Jan 15	@BU	L 58-63	+4.5	L −0.5	132.5	U 121
Jan 18	vsL-MD	L 60-76	-2.5	L −18.5	142.5	U 136
Jan 22	@AMER	L 67-68	+5.5	W +4.5	135.5	U 135
Jan 25	vsLAF	W 86-47	+1.5	W +40.5	135.5	U 133
Jan 29	vsNAVY	L 54-79	-1.5	L −26.5	138.5	U 133
Feb 1	@HC	W 69-67	+1.5	W +3.5	139.5	U 136
Feb 3	vsCOLG	W 94-68	+3.5	W +29.5	141.5	O 162
Feb 8	vsAMER	L 75-78	-2.5	L −5.5	133.5	O 153
Feb 12	@NAVY	L 60-63	+3.5	W +0.5	138.5	U 123
Feb 15	vsHC	W 72-60	-4.5	W +7.5	139.5	U 132
Feb 17	@BUCK	L 50-67	+6.5	L −10.5	141.5	U 117
Feb 22	@LAF	L 70-78	+2.5	L −5.5	133.5	O 148
Feb 26	vsBU	L 68-79	-2.5	L −13.5	129.5	O 147
Mar 1	@ARMY	W 89-67	+3.5	W +25.5	142.5	O 156
Mar 4	@L-MD	L 73-77	+2.5	L −1.5	138.5	O 150

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

L 46-90

−28.5

GTWN

L 77-85

+6.5

COLU

L 75-76

+7.5

UCLA

L 45-85

−17.5

SFPA

L 78-88

−14.5

MRST

W 74-69

+3.5

MONM

W 90-63

+26.5

DAY

L 62-86

−1.5

LIU

W 60-59

−4.5

BUCK

W 66-64

−1.5

L-MD

L 74-80

−3.5

COLG

L 62-67

+1.5

ARMY

L 69-74

−8.5

L 58-63

−0.5

L-MD

L 60-76

−18.5

AMER

L 67-68

+4.5

LAF

W 86-47

+40.5

NAVY

L 54-79

−26.5

W 69-67

+3.5

COLG

W 94-68

+29.5

AMER

L 75-78

−5.5

NAVY

L 60-63

+0.5

W 72-60

+7.5

BUCK

L 50-67

−10.5

LAF

L 70-78

−5.5

L 68-79

−13.5

ARMY

W 89-67

+25.5

L-MD

L 73-77

−1.5

covered 12didn’t cover 16avg −0.2 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

L 46-90

−2.5

GTWN

L 77-85

+12.5

COLU

L 75-76

−7.5

UCLA

L 45-85

−6.5

SFPA

L 78-88

+23.5

MRST

W 74-69

+3.5

MONM

W 90-63

+8.5

DAY

L 62-86

+2.5

LIU

W 60-59

−24.5

BUCK

W 66-64

−9.5

L-MD

L 74-80

+10.5

COLG

L 62-67

−9.5

ARMY

L 69-74

−1.5

L 58-63

−11.5

L-MD

L 60-76

−6.5

AMER

L 67-68

−0.5

LAF

W 86-47

−2.5

NAVY

L 54-79

−5.5

W 69-67

−3.5

COLG

W 94-68

+20.5

AMER

L 75-78

+19.5

NAVY

L 60-63

−15.5

W 72-60

−7.5

BUCK

L 50-67

−24.5

LAF

L 70-78

+14.5

L 68-79

+17.5

ARMY

W 89-67

+13.5

L-MD

L 73-77

+11.5

over 12under 16avg +0.7 ptslonger = bigger margin

Houston

40 games played

Straight up

35-5

88% wins

Against the spread

21-19

53% covers · avg +1.8 pts vs the line

Over / Under

16-24

40% overs · avg −1 pts vs the total

Straight up

35-588%

W L W W L W L W W W W W W W W W W W W W L W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W W L

3 of last 4 wonno streak

Against the spread

21-1953%

W L W W L L L W L L W W W W W L L W W W L L L W W W L W L L L L W W W L L W W L

2 of last 4 coveredno streak

Over / Under

16-2440%

O O U U O U O U U U O U O U O U U U O U O O O O U O U U O U U O U U U O U U U U

4 straight unders0 of last 4 over

Game by game: lines, results and totals

TableATSO/U

Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total

Date	Opp	Result	Line	ATS	Total	O/U
Nov 4	vsJKST	W 97-40	-36.5	W +20.5	136.5	O 137
Nov 9	vsAUB	L 69-74	-5.5	L −10.5	141.5	O 143
Nov 13	vsUL	W 91-45	-31.5	W +14.5	139.5	U 136
Nov 22	vsHOF	W 80-44	-28.5	W +7.5	132.5	U 124
Nov 26	vsALA	L 80-85	-3.5	L −8.5	150.5	O 165
Nov 28	vsND	W 65-54	-16.5	L −5.5	134.5	U 119
Nov 30	vsSDSU	L 70-73	-13.5	L −16.5	127.5	O 143
Dec 7	vsBTLR	W 79-51	-17.5	W +10.5	134.5	U 130
Dec 10	vsTROY	W 62-42	-26.5	L −6.5	132.5	U 104
Dec 18	vsTOL	W 78-49	-29.5	L −0.5	140.5	U 127
Dec 21	vsAMCC	W 87-51	-30.5	W +5.5	134.5	O 138
Dec 30	@OKST	W 60-47	-11.5	W +1.5	137.5	U 107
Jan 4	vsBYU	W 86-55	-10.5	W +20.5	133.5	O 141
Jan 6	vsTCU	W 65-46	-18.5	W +0.5	128.5	U 111
Jan 11	@KSU	W 87-57	-10.5	W +19.5	128.5	O 144
Jan 15	vsWVU	W 70-54	-16.5	L −0.5	125.5	U 124
Jan 18	@UCF	W 69-68	-13.5	L −12.5	138.5	U 137
Jan 22	vsUTAH	W 70-36	-17.5	W +16.5	133.5	U 106
Jan 25	@KU	W 92-86	+1.5	W +7.5	127.5	O 178
Jan 29	@WVU	W 63-49	-9.5	W +4.5	124.5	U 112
Feb 1	vsTTU	L 81-82	-9.5	L −10.5	127.5	O 163
Feb 4	vsOKST	W 72-63	-21.5	L −12.5	129.5	O 135
Feb 8	@COLO	W 69-59	-14.5	L −4.5	127.5	O 128
Feb 10	vsBAY	W 76-65	-9.5	W +1.5	133.5	O 141
Feb 15	@ARIZ	W 62-58	-2.5	W +1.5	137.5	U 120
Feb 18	@ASU	W 80-65	-12.5	W +2.5	134.5	O 145
Feb 22	vsISU	W 68-59	-11.5	L −2.5	130.5	U 127
Feb 24	@TTU	W 69-61	-4.5	W +3.5	130.5	U 130
Mar 1	vsCIN	W 73-64	-13.5	L −4.5	125.5	O 137
Mar 3	vsKU	W 65-59	-9.5	L −3.5	132.5	U 124
Mar 8	@BAY	W 65-61	-4.5	L −0.5	131.5	U 126
Mar 13	vsCOLO	W 77-68	-17.5	L −8.5	126.5	O 145
Mar 14	vsBYU	W 74-54	-6.5	W +13.5	134.5	U 128
Mar 15	vsARIZ	W 72-64	-5.5	W +2.5	138.5	U 136
Mar 20	vsSIUE	W 78-40	-28.5	W +9.5	127.5	U 118
Mar 22	vsGONZ	W 81-76	-5.5	L −0.5	141.5	O 157
Mar 28	vsPUR	W 62-60	-8.5	L −6.5	134.5	U 122
Mar 30	vsTENN	W 69-50	-2.5	W +16.5	126.5	U 119
Apr 5	vsDUKE	W 70-67	+4.5	W +7.5	137.5	U 137
Apr 7	vsFLA	L 63-65	+1.5	L −0.5	141.5	U 128

Day

Opp

Result

MissedCovered

Margin

JKST

W 97-40

+20.5

AUB

L 69-74

−10.5

W 91-45

+14.5

HOF

W 80-44

+7.5

ALA

L 80-85

−8.5

W 65-54

−5.5

SDSU

L 70-73

−16.5

BTLR

W 79-51

+10.5

TROY

W 62-42

−6.5

TOL

W 78-49

−0.5

AMCC

W 87-51

+5.5

OKST

W 60-47

+1.5

BYU

W 86-55

+20.5

TCU

W 65-46

+0.5

KSU

W 87-57

+19.5

WVU

W 70-54

−0.5

UCF

W 69-68

−12.5

UTAH

W 70-36

+16.5

W 92-86

+7.5

WVU

W 63-49

+4.5

TTU

L 81-82

−10.5

OKST

W 72-63

−12.5

COLO

W 69-59

−4.5

BAY

W 76-65

+1.5

ARIZ

W 62-58

+1.5

ASU

W 80-65

+2.5

ISU

W 68-59

−2.5

TTU

W 69-61

+3.5

CIN

W 73-64

−4.5

W 65-59

−3.5

BAY

W 65-61

−0.5

COLO

W 77-68

−8.5

BYU

W 74-54

+13.5

ARIZ

W 72-64

+2.5

SIUE

W 78-40

+9.5

GONZ

W 81-76

−0.5

PUR

W 62-60

−6.5

TENN

W 69-50

+16.5

DUKE

W 70-67

+7.5

FLA

L 63-65

−0.5

covered 21didn’t cover 19avg +1.8 ptslonger = bigger margin

Day

Opp

Result

UnderOver

Margin

JKST

W 97-40

+0.5

AUB

L 69-74

+1.5

W 91-45

−3.5

HOF

W 80-44

−8.5

ALA

L 80-85

+14.5

W 65-54

−15.5

SDSU

L 70-73

+15.5

BTLR

W 79-51

−4.5

TROY

W 62-42

−28.5

TOL

W 78-49

−13.5

AMCC

W 87-51

+3.5

OKST

W 60-47

−30.5

BYU

W 86-55

+7.5

TCU

W 65-46

−17.5

KSU

W 87-57

+15.5

WVU

W 70-54

−1.5

UCF

W 69-68

−1.5

UTAH

W 70-36

−27.5

W 92-86

+50.5

WVU

W 63-49

−12.5

TTU

L 81-82

+35.5

OKST

W 72-63

+5.5

COLO

W 69-59

+0.5

BAY

W 76-65

+7.5

ARIZ

W 62-58

−17.5

ASU

W 80-65

+10.5

ISU

W 68-59

−3.5

TTU

W 69-61

−0.5

CIN

W 73-64

+11.5

W 65-59

−8.5

BAY

W 65-61

−5.5

COLO

W 77-68

+18.5

BYU

W 74-54

−6.5

ARIZ

W 72-64

−2.5

SIUE

W 78-40

−9.5

GONZ

W 81-76

+15.5

PUR

W 62-60

−12.5

TENN

W 69-50

−7.5

DUKE

W 70-67

−0.5

FLA

L 63-65

−13.5

over 16under 24avg −1 ptslonger = bigger margin

Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.

Lehigh Mountain Hawks at Houston Cougars

Box score

Team stats

Players

Market

Model vs market

1st-half model

ATS

Totals

Last 10 games

ATS History · 2024-25

Lehigh

Houston

Lehigh

Houston