MGM Grand Garden Arena · Neutral site
Closing line
HOU -14.5✓ SYR covered by 10.5
HOU -14.5✓ SYR covered by 10.5Closing total140.5Over by 11.5
 SYR | This season | HOU |
|---|---|---|
| 4-0 | Record | 5-0 |
| 3-1 | ATS | 2-3 |
| 1-3 | O/U | 2-3 |
ATS = covered-didn’t-push · O/U = overs-unders
Model before tip-off: SYR 61–75 HOU · ✓ HOU (89%) won
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Box score
Score by half
| 1H | 2H | OT | T | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| SYR | 34 | 33 | 7 | 74 |
| HOU | 37 | 30 | 11 | 78 |
1st half: SYR 34, HOU 37 (HOU by 3). The model had HOU by 8.4 and a total of 63.5 (actual 71).
Team stats
| SYR | HOU | |
|---|---|---|
| 27-63 43% | Field goals | 24-66 36% |
| 8-31 26% | 3-pointers | 11-27 41% |
| 12-29 41% | Free throws | 19-27 70% |
| 43 14 off | Rebounds | 49 17 off |
| 12 | Assists | 13 |
| 6 | Steals | 9 |
| 3 | Blocks | 5 |
| 13 | Turnovers | 13 |
| 21 | Fouls | 23 |
| 38 | Points in paint | 24 |
| 4 | Fast-break points | 2 |
Players
| SYR | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Naithan George G | 38 | 11 | 3 | 2 | 4-13 | 2-7 |
| William Kyle III F | 36 | 12 | 10 | 2 | 4-6 | 0-0 |
| Nate Kingz G | 36 | 10 | 6 | 1 | 4-10 | 1-7 |
| J.J. Starling G | 31 | 11 | 4 | 4 | 5-8 | 1-3 |
| Sadiq White Jr. F | 19 | 4 | 4 | 1 | 2-5 | 0-1 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Tyler Betsey F | 30 | 16 | 4 | 0 | 5-13 | 4-8 |
| Kiyan Anthony G | 24 | 10 | 1 | 1 | 3-8 | 0-5 |
| Akir Souare F | 9 | 0 | 1 | 1 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
| Bryce Zephir G | 2 | 0 | 0 | 0 | 0-0 | 0-0 |
Did not play: Tiefing Diawara, Aaron Womack III, Noah Lobdell, Luke Fennell, Donnie Freeman
| HOU | MIN | PTS | REB | AST | FG | 3P |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Kingston Flemings G | 39 | 9 | 6 | 6 | 3-11 | 2-4 |
| Milos Uzan G | 37 | 26 | 7 | 5 | 8-16 | 4-8 |
| Emanuel Sharp G | 36 | 26 | 4 | 0 | 6-16 | 3-9 |
| Chris Cenac Jr. F | 30 | 8 | 12 | 0 | 3-7 | 1-1 |
| Joseph Tugler F | 24 | 2 | 4 | 1 | 1-7 | 0-0 |
| Bench | ||||||
| Isiah Harwell G | 24 | 2 | 3 | 1 | 1-4 | 0-2 |
| Kalifa Sakho F | 19 | 2 | 7 | 0 | 1-1 | 0-0 |
| Chase McCarty F | 8 | 3 | 0 | 0 | 1-2 | 1-2 |
| Mercy Miller G | 8 | 0 | 2 | 0 | 0-2 | 0-1 |
Did not play: Bryce Jackson, Cedric Lath, Jacob McFarland, Kordel Jefferson, Ramon Walker Jr.
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Market
Open → close
Spread
OpenHOU -10.5
4 → HOU
CloseHOU -14.5
4 pts toward HOU
Total
Open138.5
▲ 2
Close140.5
Up 2 since the open
Moneyline
SYR +1100 · HOU -2500
Line movement
Opening and closing line · tap a dot
Opened HOU -10.5 · closed HOU -14.5 · moved 4 toward HOUmodel HOU -14
model HOU -14
Opened 138.5 · closed 140.5 · moved 2 upmodel 135.5
model 135.5
Openline modelTip-off
Pre-game lines only (ESPN, DraftKings first). After tip-off the line shown is the closing line.
Model vs market
| Market | Model | Model edge | Result | |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Spread | HOU -14.5 | HOU -14.2 | SYR +0.3 | W SYR covered |
| Total | 140.5 | 135.4 | Under 5.1 | L Over |
| Projected score | — | SYR 60.6 · HOU 74.8 |
1st-half model
| Model | Actual | |
|---|---|---|
| 1H spread | HOU -8.4 | HOU -3.0 |
| 1H total | 63.5 | 71 |
| 1H projected score | SYR 27.5 · HOU 35.9 | SYR 34 · HOU 37 |
Last 10 games
2025-26, before tip-off
| Straight up | Spread | Over / under | |
|---|---|---|---|
| SYRlast 4 | 4-0 100% | 3-1 75% | 1-3 25% |
| HOUlast 5 | 5-0 100% | 2-3 40% | 2-3 40% |
ATS History · 2025-26
WwinLloss·Wats winLats lossPpush·Owent over the totalUwent under the total
Syracuse
4 games played
Straight up
4-0
100% wins
Against the spread
3-1
75% covers · avg +8 pts vs the line
Over / Under
1-3
25% overs · avg −15.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
BING
BINGW 85-47
+16.5
8
vs
DSU
DSUW 83-43
+13.5
15
vs
DREX
DREXW 80-50
+18.5
18
vs
MONM
MONMW 78-73
−16.5
covered 3didn’t cover 1avg +8 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsBING
BINGW 85-47
−21.5
8
vsDSU
DSUW 83-43
−31.5
15
vsDREX
DREXW 80-50
−13.5
18
vsMONM
MONMW 78-73
+5.5
over 1under 3avg −15.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Houston
5 games played
Straight up
5-0
100% wins
Against the spread
2-3
40% covers · avg −5.3 pts vs the line
Over / Under
2-3
40% overs · avg −6.3 pts vs the total
Game by game: lines, results and totals
Lines, results and totalsCover margin by game · points beyond the lineTotal margin by game · points over or under the total
Day
Opp
Result
MissedCovered
Margin
3
vs
LEH
LEHW 75-57
−18.5
8
vs
TOW
TOWW 65-48
−9.5
12
vs
OAK
OAKW 78-45
+2.5
16
vs
AUB
AUBW 73-72
−6.5
20
vs
RID
RIDW 91-45
+5.5
covered 2didn’t cover 3avg −5.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Day
Opp
Result
UnderOver
Margin
3
vsLEH
LEHW 75-57
−4.5
8
vsTOW
TOWW 65-48
−17.5
12
vsOAK
OAKW 78-45
−15.5
16
vsAUB
AUBW 73-72
+4.5
20
vsRID
RIDW 91-45
+1.5
over 2under 3avg −6.3 ptslonger = bigger margin
Line = the team’s closing spread (negative = favored). ATS number = points beyond the line; total number = combined points.
Syracuse
4-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Atlantic Coast Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Monmouth78–73
- Wvs Drexel80–50
- Wvs Delaware St83–43
- Wvs Binghamton85–47
6 days since their last game.
Houston
5-0 overall · 0-0 in conference · Big 12 Conference
Last five, 2025-26
- Wvs Rider91–45
- Wvs Auburn73–72
- Wvs Oakland78–45
- Wvs Towson65–48
- Wvs Lehigh75–57
4 days since their last game.